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In this work we derive an inversion formula for the Laplace transform of a density observed on a curve in the complex domain, which generalizes the well known Post-Widder formula. We establish convergence of our inversion method and derive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-01 Denis Belomestny , Hilmar Mai , John Schoenmakers

The frequentist behavior of nonparametric Bayes estimates, more specifically, rates of contraction of the posterior distributions to shrinking $L^r$-norm neighborhoods, $1\le r\le\infty$, of the unknown parameter, are studied. A theorem for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-12 Evarist Giné , Richard Nickl

Non-linear latent variable models have become increasingly popular in a variety of applications. However, there has been little study on theoretical properties of these models. In this article, we study rates of posterior contraction in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-27 Shuang Zhou , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , David Dunson

From a suitable integral representation of the Laplace transform of a positive semi-definite quadratic form of independent real random variables with not necessarily identical densities a univariate integral representation is derived for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-01 T. Royen

Caffarelli's contraction theorem and the analogous Laplacian result in [arXiv:2411.12109, arXiv:2501.11382] are two examples of how log-Hessian bounds on probability densities yield estimates on the derivative of the corresponding Brenier…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Andrea Bidoia

We study the problem of estimating linear response statistics under external perturbations using time series of unperturbed dynamics. Based on the fluctuation-dissipation theory, this problem is reformulated as an unsupervised learning task…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-09 He Zhang , John Harlim , Xiantao Li

We study nonparametric estimation of density functions for undirected dyadic random variables (i.e., random variables defined for all n\overset{def}{\equiv}\tbinom{N}{2} unordered pairs of agents/nodes in a weighted network of order N).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-01 Bryan S. Graham , Fengshi Niu , James L. Powell

Kernel techniques are among the most popular and flexible approaches in data science allowing to represent probability measures without loss of information under mild conditions. The resulting mapping called mean embedding gives rise to a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-27 Linda Chamakh , Zoltan Szabo

Weak gravitational lensing surveys are rapidly becoming important tools to probe directly the mass density fluctuations in the universe and its background dynamics. Earlier studies have shown that it is possible to model the statistics of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 Patrick Valageas , Andrew J. Barber , Dipak Munshi

Recent works have demonstrated that the convergence rate of a nonparametric density estimator can be greatly improved by using a low-rank estimator when the target density is a convex combination of separable probability densities with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-10 Robert A. Vandermeulen

The concentration of measure phenomenon in Gauss' space states that every $L$-Lipschitz map $f$ on $\mathbb R^n$ satisfies \[ \gamma_{n} \left(\{ x : | f(x) - M_{f} | \geqslant t \} \right) \leqslant 2 e^{ - \frac{t^2}{ 2L^2} }, \quad t>0,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-30 Petros Valettas

The Moderate Deviations Principle (MDP) is well-understood for sums of independent random variables, worse understood for stationary random sequences, and scantily understood for random fields. Here it is established for some planary random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Boris Tsirelson

In this paper we consider the stacking of isotonic regression and the method of rearrangement with the empirical estimator to estimate a discrete distribution with an infinite support. The estimators are proved to be strongly consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-23 Vladimir Pastukhov

Accurate representation of non-Gaussian distributions of quantities of interest in nonlinear dynamical systems is critical for estimation, control, and decision-making, but can be challenging when forward propagations are expensive to carry…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Aaron R. Liao , Kenshiro Oguri , Michele D. Carpenter

Pencils of Hankel matrices whose elements have a joint Gaussian distribution with nonzero mean and not identical covariance are considered. An approximation to the distribution of the squared modulus of their determinant is computed which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-28 Piero Barone

Given i.i.d samples from some unknown continuous density on hyper-rectangle $[0, 1]^d$, we attempt to learn a piecewise constant function that approximates this underlying density non-parametrically. Our density estimate is defined on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-24 Kun Yang , Hao Su , Wing Hung Wang

A stationary Gaussian process is said to be long-range dependent (resp., anti-persistent) if its spectral density $f(\lambda)$ can be written as $f(\lambda)=|\lambda|^{-2d}g(|\lambda|)$, where $0<d<1/2$ (resp., $-1/2<d<0$), and $g$ is…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-24 Judith Rousseau , Nicolas Chopin , Brunero Liseo

We use the presently observed number density of large X-ray clusters and linear mass power spectra to constrain the shape parameter ($\Gamma$), the spectral index ($n$), the amplitude of matter density perturbations on the scale of $8…

Astrophysics · Physics 2010-12-13 Jiun-Huei Proty Wu

In this paper, we study the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a convex hazard function. We show that the MLE is consistent and converges at a local rate of $n^{2/5}$ at points $x_0$ where the true hazard function is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Hanna K. Jankowski , Jon A. Wellner

We introduce a new approach for estimating the invariant density of a multidimensional diffusion when dealing with high-frequency observations blurred by independent noises. We consider the intermediate regime, where observations occur at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Raphaël Maillet , Grégoire Szymanski