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The minimax risk is often considered as a gold standard against which we can compare specific statistical procedures. Nevertheless, as has been observed recently in robust and heavy-tailed estimation problems, the inherent reduction of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Tianyi Ma , Kabir A. Verchand , Richard J. Samworth

Quantitative multivariate central limit theorems for general functionals of possibly non-symmetric and non-homogeneous infinite Rademacher sequences are proved by combining discrete Malliavin calculus with the smart path method for normal…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-06 Kai Krokowski , Christoph Thaele

Sums of independent, bounded random variables concentrate around their expectation approximately as well a Gaussian of the same variance. Well known results of this form include the Bernstein, Hoeffding, and Chernoff inequalities and many…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Thomas Steinke , Jonathan Ullman

The paper deals with studying a connection of the Littlewood--Offord problem with estimating the concentration functions of some symmetric infinitely divisible distributions. It is shown that the values at zero of the concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

The work [8] established memory loss in the time-dependent (non-random) case of uniformly expanding maps of the interval. Here we find conditions under which we have convergence to the normal distribution of the appropriately scaled…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Peter Nandori , Domokos Szasz , Tamas Varju

Murthy and Sethi (Sankhya Ser B \textbf{27}, 201--210 (1965)) gave a sharp upper bound on the variance of a real random variable in terms of the range of values of that variable. We generalise this bound to the complex case and, more…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2011-04-28 Koenraad M. R. Audenaert

We propose a consistent estimator of sharp bounds on the variance of the difference-in-means estimator in completely randomized experiments. Generalizing Robins [Stat. Med. 7 (1988) 773-785], our results resolve a well-known identification…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Peter M. Aronow , Donald P. Green , Donald K. K. Lee

For a risk vector $V$, whose components are shared among agents by some random mechanism, we obtain asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the individual agents' exposure risk and the aggregated risk in the market. Risk is measured by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-12 Oliver Kley , Claudia Kluppelberg

Let $\zeta = \xi + i\xi'$ where $\xi, \xi'$ are iid copies of a mean zero, variance one, subgaussian random variable. Let $N_n$ be a $n \times n$ random matrix with entries that are iid copies of $\zeta$. We prove that there exists a $c \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Kyle Luh

We explore the question whether Lipschitz functions of random variables under various forms of negative correlation satisfy concentration bounds similar to McDiarmid's inequality for independent random variables. We prove such a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-27 Kevin Garbe , Jan Vondrak

We obtain nonasymptotic bounds on the spectral norm of random matrices with independent entries that improve significantly on earlier results. If $X$ is the $n\times n$ symmetric matrix with $X_{ij}\sim N(0,b_{ij}^2)$, we show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Afonso S. Bandeira , Ramon van Handel

Consider an expander graph in which a $\mu$ fraction of the vertices are marked. A random walk starts at a uniform vertex and at each step continues to a random neighbor. Gillman showed in 1993 that the number of marked vertices seen in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-25 Shravas Rao , Oded Regev

Let $X_1,X_2,...$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables, and put $S_n=X_1+...+X_n$. Under some conditions on the positive sequence $\tau_n$ and the positive increasing sequence $a_n$, we give necessary…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander R. Pruss

We provide a generalisation of Pinelis' Rademacher-Gaussian tail comparison to complex coefficients. We also establish uniform bounds on the probability that the magnitude of weighted sums of independent random vectors uniform on Euclidean…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-15 Giorgos Chasapis , Ruoyuan Liu , Tomasz Tkocz

The sums and maxima of non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraint is that there exists a unique series in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Natalia Markovich

For a martingale $(X_n)$ converging almost surely to a random variable $X$, the sequence $(X_n - X)$ is called martingale tail sum. Recently, Neininger [Random Structures Algorithms, 46 (2015), 346-361] proved a central limit theorem for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-23 Henning Sulzbach

For the distributions of finitely many binary random variables, we study the interaction of restrictions of the supports with conditional independence constraints. We prove a generalization of the Hammersley-Clifford theorem for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-06 Thomas Kahle , Seth Sullivant

Let $A_1, A_2, \ldots, A_n$ be events in a sample space. Given the probability of the intersection of each collection of up to $k+1$ of these events, what can we say about the probability that at least $r$ of the events occur? This question…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Ilan Adler , Richard M. Karp , Sheldon M. Ross

Random walks in random scenery are processes defined by $Z_n:=\sum_{k=1}^n\xi_{X_1+...+X_k}$, where $(X_k,k\ge 1)$ and $(\xi_y,y\in\mathbb Z)$ are two independent sequences of i.i.d. random variables. We assume here that their distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-10 Fabienne Castell , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Françoise Pène , Bruno Schapira

Large deviations for sums of i.i.d.\ random variables with stretched-exponential tails (also called Weibull or semi-exponential tails) have been well understood since the 60's, going back to Nagaev's seminal work. Many extensions in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Nina Gantert , Joscha Prochno , Philipp Tuchel