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We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier

We provide finite sample upper and lower bounds on the Binomial tail probability which are a direct application of Sanov's theorem. We then use these to obtain high probability upper and lower bounds on the minimum of i.i.d. Binomial random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Xiaohan Zhu , Mesrob I. Ohannessian , Nathan Srebro

Correcting for skewness can result in more accurate tail probability approximations in the central limit theorem for sums of independent random variables. In this paper, we extend the theory to sums of local statistics of independent random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-05 Xiao Fang , Li Luo , Qi-Man Shao

The approach used by Kalashnikov and Tsitsiashvili for constructing upper bounds for the tail distribution of a geometric sum with subexponential summands is reconsidered. By expressing the problem in a more probabilistic light, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-18 Andrew Richards

For a random variable with a unimodal distribution and finite second moment Gau\ss \, (1823) proved a sharp bound on the probability of the random variable to be outside a symmetric interval around its mode. An alternative proof for it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Chris A. J. Klaassen

The sum of $n$ {non-independent} Bernoulli random variables could be modeled in several different ways. One of these is the Multiplicative Binomial Distribution (MBD), introduced by Altham (1978) and revised by Lovison (1998). In this work,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-26 Francesca Fortunato

How low can the joint entropy of $n$ $d$-wise independent (for $d\ge2$) discrete random variables be, subject to given constraints on the individual distributions (say, no value may be taken by a variable with probability greater than $p$,…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Dmytro Gavinsky , Pavel Pudlák

The Rotar central limit theorem is a remarkable theorem in the non-classical version since it does not use the condition of asymptotic infinitesimality for the independent individual summands, unlike the theorems named Lindeberg's and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Tran Loc Hung

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

Lower bounds for the R\'enyi entropies of sums of independent random variables taking values in cyclic groups of prime order under permutations are established. The main ingredients of our approach are extended rearrangement inequalities in…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-10-20 Mokshay Madiman , Liyao Wang , Jae Oh Woo

We develop a class of exponential bounds for the probability that a martingale sequence crosses a time-dependent linear threshold. Our key insight is that it is both natural and fruitful to formulate exponential concentration inequalities…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Steven R. Howard , Aaditya Ramdas , Jon McAuliffe , Jasjeet Sekhon

A survey is given of some Chernoff type bounds for the tail probabilities P(X-EX > a) and P(X-EX < a) when X is a random variable that can be written as a sum of indicator variables that are either independent or negatively related. Most…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-05 Svante Janson

Chebyshev's inequality provides an upper bound on the tail probability of a random variable based on its mean and variance. While tight, the inequality has been criticized for only being attained by pathological distributions that abuse the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Ernst Roos , Ruud Brekelmans , Wouter van Eekelen , Dick den Hertog , Johan van Leeuwaarden

A common problem in analytic number theory is to bound the sum of an arithmetic function over a set of integers. Nair and Tenenbaum found a very general bound that applies to short sums of a multivariable arithmetic function over polynomial…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Kevin Henriot

We prove tail estimates for variables $\sum_i f(X_i)$, where $(X_i)_i$ is the trajectory of a random walk on an undirected graph (or, equivalently, a reversible Markov chain). The estimates are in terms of the maximum of the function $f$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-25 Roy Wagner

We obtain lower tail estimates for the smallest singular value of random matrices with independent but non-identically distributed entries. Specifically, we consider $n\times n$ matrices with complex entries of the form \[ M = A\circ X + B…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-21 Nicholas A. Cook

We show an extension of Sanov's theorem on large deviations, controlling the tail probabilities of i.i.d. random variables with matching concentration and anti-concentration bounds. This result has a general scope, applies to samples of any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Akshay Balsubramani

This paper describes the construction of a lower bound for the tails of general random variables, using solely knowledge of their moment generating function. The tilting procedure used allows for the construction of lower bounds that are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ted Theodosopoulos

We provide an elementary proof of the lower bound for the variance of continuous unimodal distributions and obtain analogous bounds for the higher order central moments. A lower bound for the rth central moment of discrete distribution is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-16 R. Sharma , R. Bhandari , R. Saini

Since the appearance of H. Robbins article (1948), the central limit theorems for random sums have been studied for about 70 years. The central limit theorems for random sums of independent random variables play a very important role in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Tran Loc Hung