Related papers: Some heuristics about elliptic curves

This is an introduction to a probabilistic model for the arithmetic of elliptic curves, a model developed in a series of articles of the author with Bhargava, Kane, Lenstra, Park, Rains, Voight, and Wood. We discuss the theoretical evidence…

We determine the distribution of the conductors $N$ of rational elliptic curves when ordered by naive height $H$, in the form of an explicit density function for the ratios $N/H$. Our work is essentially an effective version of the…

We describe a method for bounding the rank of an elliptic curve under the assumptions of the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture and the generalized Riemann hypothesis. As an example, we compute, under these conjectures, exact upper bounds…

We present a heuristic that suggests that ranks of elliptic curves over the rationals are bounded. In fact, it suggests that there are only finitely many elliptic curves of rank greater than 21. Our heuristic is based on modeling the ranks…

This article presents a comprehensive data-scientific investigation into the arithmetic statistics of congruent number elliptic curves, leveraging a dataset of square-free integers up to $3$ million. We analyze the Mordell-Weil ranks,…

We establish a congruence formula between $p$-adic logarithms of Heegner points for two elliptic curves with the same mod $p$ Galois representation. As a first application, we use the congruence formula when $p=2$ to explicitly construct…

This paper addresses the prediction of positive rank for elliptic curves without the need to find a point of infinite order or compute L-functions. While the most common method relies on parity conjectures, a recent technique introduced by…

For certain elliptic curves $E/\mathbb{Q}$ with $E(\mathbb{Q})[2]=\mathbb{Z}/2 \mathbb{Z}$, we prove a criterion for prime twists of $E$ to have analytic rank 0 or 1, based on a mod 4 congruence of 2-adic logarithms of Heegner points. As an…

The parity conjecture has a long and distinguished history. It gives a way of predicting the existence of points of infinite order on elliptic curves without having to construct them, and is responsible for a wide range of unexplained…

In this article, we propose a new probabilistic model for the distribution of ranks of elliptic curves in families of fixed Selmer rank, and compare the predictions with previous results, and with the databases of curves over the rationals…

A weaker form of a 1979 conjecture of Goldfeld states that for every elliptic curve $E/\mathbb{Q}$, a positive proportion of its quadratic twists $E^{(d)}$ have rank 1. Using tools from Galois cohomology, we give criteria on E and d which…

We prove that, when all elliptic curves over $\mathbb{Q}$ are ordered by naive height, a positive proportion have both algebraic and analytic rank one. It follows that the average rank and the average analytic rank of elliptic curves are…

Rank computation of elliptic curves has deep relations with various unsolved questions in number theory, most notably in the congruent number problem for right-angled triangles. Similar relations between elliptic curves and Heron triangles…

In this paper, we present details of seven elliptic curves over $\mathbb{Q}(u)$ with rank $2$ and torsion group $\mathbb{Z}/ 8\mathbb{Z}$ and five curves over $\mathbb{Q}(u)$ with rank $2$ and torsion group $\mathbb{Z}/ 2\mathbb{Z} \times…

In this paper, under GRH for elliptic $L$-functions, we give an upper bound for the probability for an elliptic curve with analytic rank $\leq a$ for $a \geq 11$, and also give an upper bound of $n$-th moments of analytic ranks of elliptic…

Watkins's conjecture suggests that for an elliptic curve $E/\mathbb{Q}$, the rank of the group $E(\mathbb{Q})$ of rational points is bounded above by $\nu_2 (m_E)$, where $m_E$ is the modular degree associated with $E$. It is known that…

In 1979 Goldfeld conjectured: 50\% of the quadratic twists of an elliptic curve defined over the rationals have analytic rank zero. In this expository article we present a few recent developments towards the conjecture, especially its first…

We give new parametrisations of elliptic curves in Weierstrass normal form $y^2=x^3+ax^2+bx$ with torsion groups $\mathbb{Z}/10\mathbb{Z}$ and $\mathbb{Z}/12\mathbb{Z}$ over $\mathbb{Q}$, and with $\mathbb{Z}/14\mathbb{Z}$ and…

Given an elliptic curve $E$ and a positive integer $N$, we consider the problem of counting the number of primes $p$ for which the reduction of $E$ modulo $p$ possesses exactly $N$ points over $\mathbb F_p$. On average (over a family of…

In this paper we refine recent work due to A. Shankar, A. N. Shankar, and X. Wang on counting elliptic curves by conductor to the case of elliptic curves with a rational 2-torsion point. This family is a small family, as opposed to the…