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Suppose we observe a trajectory of length $n$ from an exponentially $\alpha$-mixing stochastic process over a finite but potentially large state space. We consider the problem of estimating the probability mass placed by the stationary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-09 Milind Nakul , Vidya Muthukumar , Ashwin Pananjady

We present a theory and accompanying importance sampling method for computing rate constants in spatially inhomogenious systems. Using the relationship between rate constants and path space partition functions, we illustrate that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-05 Addison J. Schile , David T. Limmer

In this paper, we deal with the problem of calibrating thresholding rules in the setting of Poisson intensity estimation. By using sharp concentration inequalities, oracle inequalities are derived and we establish the optimality of our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-08 Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Vincent Rivoirard

Nonparametric density estimation is considered for a discretely observed stationary continuous-time process. For each of three given time sampling procedures either random or deterministic, we establish that histograms and frequency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-19 François-Xavier Lejeune

Statistical estimation and inference for marginal hazard models with varying coefficients for multivariate failure time data are important subjects in survival analysis. A local pseudo-partial likelihood procedure is proposed for estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jianwen Cai , Jianqing Fan , Haibo Zhou , Yong Zhou

Given a homogeneous Poisson process on ${\mathbb{R}}^d$ with intensity $\lambda$, we prove that it is possible to partition the points into two sets, as a deterministic function of the process, and in an isometry-equivariant way, so that…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-09 Alexander E. Holroyd , Russell Lyons , Terry Soo

We compute bias, variance, and approximate confidence intervals for the efficiency of a random selection process under various special conditions that occur in practical data analysis. We consider the following cases: a) the number of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-30 Hans Dembinski , Michael Schmelling

This paper addresses the estimation of locally stationary long-range dependent processes, a methodology that allows the statistical analysis of time series data exhibiting both nonstationarity and strong dependency. A time-varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Wilfredo Palma , Ricardo Olea

We study the Hausdorff dimension of Poissonian cutout sets defined via inhomogeneous intensity measures on Ahlfors-regular metric spaces. We obtain formulas for the Hausdorff dimension of such cutouts in self-similar and self-conformal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-02 Tuomo Ojala , Ville Suomala , Meng Wu

In Bayesian inference, we seek to compute information about random variables such as moments or quantiles on the basis of {available data} and prior information. When the distribution of random variables is {intractable}, Monte Carlo (MC)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Alec Koppel , Amrit Singh Bedi , Brian M. Sadler , Victor Elvira

In this paper we propose an estimator of the distribution of events of different kinds in a homogeneous Poisson process. We give an explicit solution for the maximum likelihood estimator of the distribution and derive its strong consistency…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Dragi Anevski , Vladimir Pastukhov

In this article, we study the problem of parameter estimation for a discrete Ornstein - Uhlenbeck model driven by Poisson fractional noise. Based on random walk approximation for the noise, we study least squares and maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Héctor Araya , Natalia Bahamonde , Tania Roa , Soledad Torres

The problem of estimating a piecewise monotone sequence of normal means is called the nearly isotonic regression. For this problem, an efficient algorithm has been devised by modifying the pool adjacent violators algorithm (PAVA). In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-25 Takeru Matsuda , Yuto Miyatake

We study a non-parametric approach to multivariate density estimation. The estimators are piecewise constant density functions supported by binary partitions. The partition of the sample space is learned by maximizing the likelihood of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-21 Linxi Liu , Wing Hung Wong

Good robust estimators can be tuned to combine a high breakdown point and a specified asymptotic efficiency at a central model. This happens in regression with MM- and tau-estimators among others. However, the finite-sample efficiency of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Ricardo Maronna , Víctor Yohai

Product measures of dimension $n$ are known to be concentrated in Hamming distance: for any set $S$ in the product space of probability $\epsilon$, a random point in the space, with probability $1-\delta$, has a neighbor in $S$ that is…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-07-12 Omid Etesami , Saeed Mahloujifar , Mohammad Mahmoody

In the matter of selection of sample time points for the estimation of the power spectral density of a continuous time stationary stochastic process, irregular sampling schemes such as Poisson sampling are often preferred over regular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-19 Radhendushka Srivastava , Debasis Sengupta

Estimating the spectral characteristics of a nonstationary random process is an important but challenging task, which can be facilitated by exploiting structural properties of the process. In certain applications, the observed processes are…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-25 Alexander Jung , Georg Tauböck , Franz Hlawatsch

Consider a sequence of real data points $X_1,\ldots, X_n$ with underlying means $\theta^*_1,\dots,\theta^*_n$. This paper starts from studying the setting that $\theta^*_i$ is both piecewise constant and monotone as a function of the index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-05 Chao Gao , Fang Han , Cun-Hui Zhang

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-11 Cheng-Der Fuh , Huei-Wen Teng , Ren-Her Wang