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Deploying LLMs raises two coupled challenges: (1) monitoring--estimating where a model underperforms as traffic and domains drift--and (2) improvement--prioritizing data acquisition to close the largest performance gaps. We test whether an…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Pedro Memoli Buffa , Luciano Del Corro

In latent-position random graph models (LPMs), latent vertex positions $U_{1},\ldots,U_{n}$ are sampled from some distribution on a latent space $\Omega$, then edges of an observed graph $G = ([n],E)$ are sampled with some probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Jeannette Janssen , Na Lin , Aaron Smith

Bayesian inference for rank-order problems is frustrated by the absence of an explicit likelihood function. This hurdle can be overcome by assuming a latent normal representation that is consistent with the ordinal information in the data:…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-20 Johnny van Doorn , Alexander Ly , Maarten Marsman , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

We study sequential multiple testing with independent data streams, where the goal is to identify an unknown subset of signals while controlling commonly used error metrics, including generalized familywise rates and false discovery and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jingyu Liu , Yanglei Song

We consider the problem of sequential hypothesis testing by betting. For a general class of composite testing problems -- which include bounded mean testing, equal mean testing for bounded random tuples, and some key ingredients of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Ian Waudby-Smith , Ricardo Sandoval , Michael I. Jordan

We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

We introduce estimation and test procedures through divergence minimization for models satisfying linear constraints with unknown parameter. Several statistical examples and motivations are given. These procedures extend the empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-24 Michel Broniatowski , Amor Keziou

We introduce a comprehensive method for establishing stochastic orders among order statistics in the i.i.d. case. This approach relies on the assumption that the underlying distribution is linked to a reference distribution through a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Tommaso Lando Idir Arab , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

This paper investigates the supervised learning problem with observations drawn from certain general stationary stochastic processes. Here by \emph{general}, we mean that many stationary stochastic processes can be included. We show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-11 Hanyuan Hang , Yunlong Feng , Ingo Steinwart , Johan A. K. Suykens

The generalized quantum Stein's lemma characterizes the optimal asymptotic exponent of the type-II error in quantum hypothesis testing for an independent and identically distributed (IID) null hypothesis against a composite alternative…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-21 Haruka Kanazawa , Hayata Yamasaki

This chapter introduces the \emph{random-order model} in online algorithms. In this model, the input is chosen by an adversary, then randomly permuted before being presented to the algorithm. This reshuffling often weakens the power of the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Anupam Gupta , Sahil Singla

The motivation of this work is to improve the performance of standard stacking approaches or ensembles, which are composed of simple, heterogeneous base models, through the integration of the generation and selection stages for regression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-03-31 Roberto Aldave , Jean-Pierre Dussault

We consider Bayesian multiple statistical classification problem in the case where the unknown source distributions are estimated from the labeled training sequences, then the estimates are used as nominal distributions in a robust…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Hüseyin Afşer

Several researchers have experimentally shown that substantial improvements can be obtained in difficult pattern recognition problems by combining or integrating the outputs of multiple classifiers. This chapter provides an analytical…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Kagan Tumer , Joydeep Ghosh

There is a substantial literature on testing for the equality of the cumulative incidence functions associated with one specific cause in a competing risks setting across several populations against specific or all alternatives. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Hammou El Barmi , Subhash Kochar , Hari Mukerjee

We use algorithmic methods from online learning to explore some important objects at the intersection of model theory and combinatorics, and find natural ways that algorithmic methods can detect and explain (and improve our understanding…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Maryanthe Malliaris , Shay Moran

State estimation is key to both analyzing physical mechanisms and enabling real-time control of fluid flows. A common estimation approach is to relate sensor measurements to a reduced state governed by a reduced-order model (ROM). (When…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-06-10 Nirmal J. Nair , Andres Goza

Comparisons of different treatments or production processes are the goals of a significant fraction of applied research. Unsurprisingly, two-sample problems play a main role in Statistics through natural questions such as `Is the the new…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-05 P. C. Álvarez-Esteban , E. del Barrio , J. A. Cuesta-Albertos , C. Matrán

This paper introduces an algorithm to select demonstration examples for in-context learning of a query set. Given a set of $n$ examples, how can we quickly select $k$ out of $n$ to best serve as the conditioning for downstream inference?…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Ziniu Zhang , Zhenshuo Zhang , Dongyue Li , Lu Wang , Jennifer Dy , Hongyang R. Zhang

Let $X_1, X_2,\ldots, X_n$ (resp. $Y_1, Y_2,\ldots, Y_n$) be independent random variables such that $X_i$ (resp. $Y_i$) follows generalized exponential distribution with shape parameter $\theta_i$ and scale parameter $\lambda_i$ (resp.…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-18 Amarjit Kundu , Shovan Chowdhury , Asok K. Nanda , Nil Kamal Hazra
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