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Linear ARCH (LARCH) processes were introduced by Robinson [J. Econometrics 47 (1991) 67--84] to model long-range dependence in volatility and leverage. Basic theoretical properties of LARCH processes have been investigated in the recent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Jan Beran , Martin Schützner

We propose a class of estimators for the parameters of a GARCH(p,q) sequence. We show that our estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal under mild conditions. The quasi-maximum likelihood and the likelihood estimators are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth

We extend the theory from Fan and Li (2001) on penalized likelihood-based estimation and model-selection to statistical and econometric models which allow for non-negativity constraints on some or all of the parameters, as well as…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-07 Heino Bohn Nielsen , Anders Rahbek

We propose a novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric time series models where the conditional expectation is modeled through a parametric function. The proposed class of estimators is based on a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta , Paolo Gorgi

We study asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators for Heston models based on continuous time observations of the log-price process. We distinguish three cases: subcritical (also called ergodic), critical and supercritical. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Matyas Barczy , Gyula Pap

Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimator (QMLE) are given for a general class of multidimensional causal processes. For particular cases already studied in the literature (for instance univariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-09 Jean-Marc Bardet , Olivier Wintenberger

We consider maximum likelihood estimation with data from a bivariate Gaussian process with a separable exponential covariance model under fixed domain asymptotic. We first characterize the equivalence of Gaussian measures under this model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Daira Velandia , François Bachoc , Moreno Bevilacqua , Xavier Gendre , Jean-Michel Loubes

This paper establishes the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) for a GARCH process with periodically time-varying parameters. We first give a necessary and sufficient condition for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-20 Abdehakim Aknouche , Abdelouhab Bibi

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

We consider covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes with functional inputs. From an increasing-domain asymptotics perspective, we prove the asymptotic consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator. We extend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Lucas Reding , Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc

This article provides an introduction to the asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes. Maximum likelihood estimation is considered. The aim of this introduction is to be accessible to a wide audience and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-16 François Bachoc

We investigate parameter estimation in subcritical continuous-time birth-and-death processes with multiple births. We show that the classical maximum likelihood estimators for the model parameters, based on the continuous observation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Sophie Hautphenne , Emma Horton

The pseudo-marginal algorithm is a variant of the Metropolis--Hastings algorithm which samples asymptotically from a probability distribution when it is only possible to estimate unbiasedly an unnormalized version of its density.…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-04 Sebastian M. Schmon , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Michael K. Pitt

We consider the problems of parameter estimation for several models of threshold ergodic diffusion processes in the asymptotics of large samples. These models are the direct continuous time analogues of the well-known in time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

We prove the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameters of a general conditionally heteroscedastic model with $\alpha$-stable innovations. Then, we relax the assumptions and only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Guillaume Lepage

Certain extremum estimators have asymptotic distributions that are non-Gaussian, yet characterizable as the distribution of the $\argmax$ of a Gaussian process. This paper presents high-level sufficient conditions under which such…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-24 Matias D. Cattaneo , Gregory Fletcher Cox , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

The paper offers a novel unified approach to studying the accuracy of parameter estimation by the quasi likelihood method. Important features of the approach are: (1) The underlying model {is not assumed to be parametric}. (2) No conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-11 V. Spokoiny

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a linear univariate autoregressive model with sub-Gaussian innovations from a limited sequence of consecutive observations. Assuming that the parameters are compressible, we analyze…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Abbas Kazemipour , Sina Miran , Piya Pal , Behtash Babadi , Min Wu

We provide finite sample properties of sparse multivariate ARCH processes, where the linear representation of ARCH models allows for an ordinary least squares estimation. Under the restricted strong convexity of the unpenalized loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-22 Benjamin Poignard

We consider the strongly consistent question for model selection in a large class of causal time series models, including AR($\infty$), ARCH($\infty$), TARCH($\infty$), ARMA-GARCH and many classical others processes. We propose a penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-21 William Kengne
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