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In this paper, the weak convergence of additive functionals of processes with locally independent increments and with Markov switching in the scheme of Poisson approximation is proved. For the relative compactness, a method proposed by R.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-20 V. S. Koroliuk , N. Limnios , I. V. Samoilenko

In work on the two alleles Moran model, Ewens showed that the stationary distribution for the number of genes of one type can be approximated by a Beta distribution. In this short note, we provide a sharp error term for this approximation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-27 Jason Fulman

Potts models, which can be used to analyze dependent observations on a lattice, have seen widespread application in a variety of areas, including statistical mechanics, neuroscience, and quantum computing. To address the intractability of…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-15 Anirban Chakraborty , Matthias Katzfuss , Joseph Guinness

In the era of open data, Poisson and other count regression models are increasingly important. Still, conventional Poisson regression has remaining issues in terms of identifiability and computational efficiency. Especially, due to an…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Daisuke Murakami , Tomoko Matsui

A basic condition for efficient transfer learning is the similarity between a target model and source models. In practice, however, the similarity condition is difficult to meet or is even violated. Instead of the similarity condition, a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-14 Lu Lin , Weiyu Li

Let $X_1,X_2,...,X_n$ be a sequence of independent or locally dependent random variables taking values in $\mathbb{Z}_+$. In this paper, we derive sharp bounds, via a new probabilistic method, for the total variation distance between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-11 Michael V. Boutsikas , Eutichia Vaggelatou

In the analysis of count data often the equidispersion assumption is not suitable, hence the Poisson regression model is inappropriate. As a generalization of the Poisson distribution, the COM-Poisson distribution can deal with under-,…

In this paper, we develop an approach for the exact determination of the minimum sample size for the estimation of a Poisson parameter with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. The exact computation is made possible by reducing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Xinjia Chen

This paper considers the entropy of the sum of (possibly dependent and non-identically distributed) Bernoulli random variables. Upper bounds on the error that follows from an approximation of this entropy by the entropy of a Poisson random…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Igal Sason

Multiplicative noise models are often used instead of additive noise models in cases in which the noise variance depends on the state. Furthermore, when Poisson distributions with relatively small counts are approximated with normal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Ruanui Nicholson , Jari P. Kaipio

The generalized perturbative approach is an all purpose variant of Stein's method used to obtain rates of normal approximation. Originally developed for functions of independent random variables this method is here extended to functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-12 Christian Houdré , George Kerchev

Poisson representation techniques provide a powerful method for mapping master equations for birth/death processes -- found in many fields of physics, chemistry and biology -- into more tractable stochastic differential equations. However,…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. D. Drummond

An introduction to the Propp-Wilson method of coupling-from-the-past for the Ising model is presented. It enables one to obtain exact samples from the equilibrium spin distribution for ferromagnetic interactions. Both uniform and random…

Materials Science · Physics 2007-05-23 Mark A. Novotny

Let $\eta_t$ be a Poisson point process of intensity $t\geq 1$ on some state space $\Y$ and $f$ be a non-negative symmetric function on $\Y^k$ for some $k\geq 1$. Applying $f$ to all $k$-tuples of distinct points of $\eta_t$ generates a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

Filtering algorithms are fundamental for inference on partially observed stochastic dynamic systems, since they provide access to the likelihood function and hence enable likelihood-based or Bayesian inference. A novel Poisson approximate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-19 Yize Hao , Aaron A. Abkemeier , Edward L. Ionides

In this paper we study recent developments in the approximation of the spread option pricing. As the Kirk\'s Approximation is extremely flawed in the cases when the correlation is very high, we explore a recent development that allows…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-13 Suren Harutyunyan , AdriÀ Masip BorrÀs

Motivated by its appearance as a limiting distribution for random and non-random sums of independent random variables, in this paper we develop Stein's method for approximation by the asymmetric Laplace distribution. Our results generalise…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Fraser Daly , Robert E. Gaunt , Heather L. Sutcliffe

An algorithm for the unbiased simulation of continuous max-(resp.\ min-)id stochastic processes is developed. The algorithm only requires the simulation of finite Poisson random measures on the space of continuous functions and avoids the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-03 Florian Brück

We prove an exact fourth moment bound for the normal approximation of random variables belonging to the Wiener chaos of a general Poisson random measure. Such a result -- that has been elusive for several years -- shows that the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-01 Christian Döbler , Giovanni Peccati

Neural computations arising from myriads of interactions between spiking neurons can be modeled as network dynamics with punctuate interactions. However, most relevant dynamics do not allow for computational tractability. To circumvent this…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Michel Davydov