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Existence of stochastic financial equilibria giving rise to semimartingale asset prices is established under a general class of assumptions. These equilibria are expressed in real terms and span complete markets or markets with withdrawal…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Gordan Zitkovic

Many dynamical phenomena display a cyclic behavior, in the sense that time can be partitioned into units within which distributional aspects of a process are homogeneous. In this paper, we introduce a class of models - called conjugate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Eduardo Horta , Flavio Ziegelmann

We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in a banking system model. The banking system model consists in an initial value problem for a system of stochastic differential equations whose dependent variables are the log-monetary…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-19 Lorella Fatone , Francesca Mariani

In this paper, we seek to understand the behavior of dynamical systems that are perturbed by a parameter that changes discretely in time. If we impose certain conditions, we can study certain embedded systems within a hybrid system as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-08-04 Xavier Garcia , Jennifer Kunze , Thomas Rudelius , Anthony Sanchez , Sijing Shao , Emily Speranza , Chad Vidden

As a main step in the numerical solution of control problems in continuous time, the controlled process is approximated by sequences of controlled Markov chains, thus discretising time and space. A new feature in this context is to allow…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Markus Fischer , Markus Reiss

Previous literature shows that prevalent risk measures such as Value at Risk or Expected Shortfall are ineffective to curb excessive risk-taking by a tail-risk-seeking trader with S-shaped utility function in the context of portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-09 John Armstrong , Damiano Brigo , Alex S. L. Tse

Nonlinear stabilization using control contraction metric (CCM) method usually involves an online optimization problem to compute a minimal geodesic (a shortest path) between pair of states, which is not desirable for real-time applications.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-01 Ruigang Wang , Ian R. Manchester

We derive integral tests for the existence and absence of arbitrage in a financial market with one risky asset which is either modeled as stochastic exponential of an Ito process or a positive diffusion with Markov switching. In particular,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-13 David Criens

Motivated by the recent interest in risk-aware control, we study a continuous-time control synthesis problem to bound the risk that a stochastic linear system violates a given specification. We use risk signal temporal logic as a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-12 Sleiman Safaoui , Lars Lindemann , Iman Shames , Tyler H. Summers

Dynamic quantiles, or Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk (CAViaR) models, have been extensively studied at the individual level. However, efforts to estimate multiple dynamic quantiles jointly have been limited. Existing approaches…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-22 Tibor Szendrei

The Constant Elasticity of Variance (CEV) model is mathematically presented and then used in a Credit-Equity hybrid framework. Next, we propose extensions to the CEV model with default: firstly by adding a stochastic volatility diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marc Atlan , Boris Leblanc

This paper studies the dynamic programming principle using the measurable selection method for stochastic control of continuous processes. The novelty of this work is to incorporate intermediate expectation constraints on the canonical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Yuk-Loong Chow , Xiang Yu , Chao Zhou

Strongly contracting dynamical systems have numerous properties (e.g., incremental ISS), find widespread applications (e.g., in controls and learning), and their study is receiving increasing attention. This work starts with the simple…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Kevin D. Smith , Francesco Bullo

We use the abstract method of (local) martingale problems in order to give criteria for convergence of stochastic processes. Extending previous notions, the formulation we use is neither restricted to Markov processes (or semimartingales),…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-27 David Criens , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Thorsten Schmidt

We consider a large family of discrete and continuous time controlled Markov processes and study an ergodic risk-sensitive minimization problem. Under a blanket stability assumption, we provide a complete analysis to this problem. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-18 Anup Biswas , Somnath Pradhan

This work concerns controlled Markov chains with finite state and action spaces. The transition law satisfies the simultaneous Doeblin condition, and the performance of a control policy is measured by the (long-run) risk-sensitive average…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rolando Cavazos-Cadena , Daniel Hernandez-Hernandez

The interconnectedness of financial institutions affects instability and credit crises. To quantify systemic risk we introduce here the PD model, a dynamic model that combines credit risk techniques with a contagion mechanism on the network…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-10 Daniele Petrone , Vito Latora

In the paper, we introduce the notion of a local regular supermartingale relative to a convex set of equivalent measures and prove for it the necessary and sufficient conditions of optional Doob decomposition in the discrete case. This…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-04 N. S. Gonchar

A weakly dependent time series regression model with multivariate covariates and univariate observations is considered, for which we develop a procedure to detect whether the nonparametric conditional mean function is stable in time against…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-25 Maria Mohr , Natalie Neumeyer

The paper analyzes risk assessment for cash flows in continuous time using the notion of convex risk measures for processes. By combining a decomposition result for optional measures, and a dual representation of a convex risk measure for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Irina Penner , Anthony Reveillac