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We construct intrinsic on-and off-diagonal upper and lower estimates for the transition probability density of a L\'evy process in small time. By intrinsic we mean that such estimates reflect the structure of the characteristic exponent of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-09 Victoria Knopova , Alexei Kulik

We study the problem of estimating the average of a Lipschitz continuous function $f$ defined over a metric space, by querying $f$ at only a single point. More specifically, we explore the role of randomness in drawing this sample. Our goal…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2011-01-21 Abhimanyu Das , David Kempe

The propagation of chaos and associated law of large numbers for mean-field interacting age-dependent Hawkes processes (when the number of processes n goes to +$\infty$) being granted by the study performed in (Chevallier, 2015), the aim of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-08 Julien Chevallier

The Median of Means (MoM) is a mean estimator that has gained popularity in the context of heavy-tailed data. In this work, we analyze its performance in the task of simultaneously estimating the mean of each function in a class…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-23 Mikael Møller Høgsgaard , Andrea Paudice

We analyze energetics of a non-Gaussian process described by a stochastic differential equation of the Langevin type. The process represents a paradigmatic model of a nonequilibrium system subject to thermal fluctuations and additional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-16 L. Kusmierz , J. M. Rubi , E. Gudowska-Nowak

In the present paper, a systematic study is made of quantitative semicontinuity (a.k.a. Lipschitzian) properties of certain multifunctions, which are defined as a solution map associated to a family of parameterized ``split" feasibility…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Amos Uderzo

We analyze the statistics of an estimator, denoted by xi_t and referred to as the slave, for the equilibrium susceptibility of a one dimensional Langevin process x_t in a potential phi(x). The susceptibility can be measured by evolving the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-10-14 David S. Dean , Ian T. Drummond , Ron R. Horgan , Satya N. Majumdar

Motivated by classical considerations from risk theory, we investigate boundary crossing problems for refracted L\'evy processes. The latter is a L\'evy process whose dynamics change by subtracting off a fixed linear drift (of suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-12 Andreas E. Kyprianou , Ronnie Loeffen

We consider a system of multiscale stochastic differential equations whose slow component is drivenby a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H greater than 1/2. Under ergodic assumptions ensuring the applicability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Xue-Mei Li , Colin Piernot , Szymon Sobczak , Kexing Ying

In the present work, we provide the general expression of the normalized centered moments of the Fr\'echet extreme-value distribution. In order to try to represent a set of data corresponding to rare events by a Fr\'echet distribution, it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-29 Jean-Christophe Pain

We compare the rate of convergence to the time average of a function over an integrable Hamiltonian flow with the one obtained by a stochastic perturbation of the same flow. Precisely, we provide detailed estimates in different Fourier…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-07-23 Olga Bernardi , Franco Cardin , Massimiliano Guzzo

Let X_1 ,..., X_n be a collection of binary valued random variables and let f : {0,1}^n -> R be a Lipschitz function. Under a negative dependence hypothesis known as the {\em strong Rayleigh} condition, we show that f - E f satisfies a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-30 Robin Pemantle , Yuval Peres

Several long-time limit theorems of one-dimensional L\'evy processes weighted and normalized by functions of its supremum are studied. The long-time limits are taken via the families of exponential times and that of constant times, called…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Shosei Takeda

The Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) approach usually works well when estimating the expected value of a quantity which is a Lipschitz function of intermediate quantities, but if it is a discontinuous function it can lead to a much slower…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Michael B Giles

A method for an evaluation of fluctuations in the mixed event technique is proposed. It is shown, that, generally, the magnitude of the fluctuations is proportional to $N^{3/4}$, where $N$ is the number of produced events, which should be…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 Sergei Voloshin

We consider the asymptotic behaviour of the fluctuation process for large stochastic systems of interacting particles driven by both idiosyncratic and common noise with an interaction kernel \(k \in L^2(\R^d) \cap L^\infty(\R^d)\). Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Paul Nikolaev

We study the current of particles that move independently in a common static random environment on the one-dimensional integer lattice. A two-level fluctuation picture appears. On the central limit scale the quenched mean of the current…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Jonathon Peterson , Timo Seppäläinen

Let $Z = (Z_t)_{t\in[0,\infty)}$ be an ergodic Markov process and, for every $n\in\mathbb{N}$, let $Z^n = (Z_{n^2 t})_{t\in[0,\infty)}$ drive a process $X^n$. Classical results show under suitable conditions that the sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Martin Hutzenthaler , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Clemens Printz

We study the effect of observing a stationary process at irregular time points via a renewal process. We establish a sharp difference in the asymptotic behaviour of the self-normalized sample mean of the observed process depending on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-04 Mohamedou Ould-Haye , Anne Philippe

In this article, we consider the problem of estimating the parameters of the Fr\'echet distribution from both frequentist and Bayesian points of view. First we briefly describe different frequentist approaches, namely, maximum likelihood,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-17 Pedro Luiz Ramos , Francisco Louzada , Eduardo Ramos , Sanku Dey