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We are interested in assessing the order of a finite-state Hidden Markov Model (HMM) with the only two assumptions that the transition matrix of the latent Markov chain has full rank and that the density functions of the emission…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Salima El Kolei , Marie-Pierre Etienne , Matthieu Marbac

We present an asymptotic analysis of Viterbi Training (VT) and contrast it with a more conventional Maximum Likelihood (ML) approach to parameter estimation in Hidden Markov Models. While ML estimator works by (locally) maximizing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-18 Armen E. Allahverdyan , Aram Galstyan

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are flexible tools for clustering dependent data coming from unknown populations, allowing nonparametric modelling of the population densities. Identifiability fails when the data is in fact independent and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Kweku Abraham , Elisabeth Gassiat , Zacharie Naulet

The Hankel-norm approximation is a model reduction method which provides the best approximation in the Hankel semi-norm. In this paper the computation of the optimal Hankel-norm approximation is generalized to the case of linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Peter Benner , Steffen W. R. Werner

Industrial processes generate a massive amount of monitoring data that can be exploited to uncover hidden time losses in the system. This can be used to enhance the accuracy of maintenance policies and increase the effectiveness of the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-27 Fernando Miguelez , Josu Doncel , Maria Dolores Ugarte

An intrinsic problem of classifiers based on machine learning (ML) methods is that their learning time grows as the size and complexity of the training dataset increases. For this reason, it is important to have efficient computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-04-16 Khadoudja Ghanem

De-interleaving of the mixtures of Hidden Markov Processes (HMPs) generally depends on its representation model. Existing representation models consider Markov chain mixtures rather than hidden Markov, resulting in the lack of robustness to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Jiadi Bao , Mengtao Zhu , Yunjie Li , Shafei Wang

We present a new algorithm for discovering patterns in time series and other sequential data. We exhibit a reliable procedure for building the minimal set of hidden, Markovian states that is statistically capable of producing the behavior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Kristina Lisa Shalizi , James P. Crutchfield

The Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) is a natural Bayesian nonparametric extension of the classical Hidden Markov Model for learning from (spatio-)temporal data. A sticky HDP-HMM has been proposed to strengthen…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Mikołaj Słupiński , Piotr Lipiński

Given a nonparametric Hidden Markov Model (HMM) with two states, the question of constructing efficient multiple testing procedures is considered, treating one of the states as an unknown null hypothesis. A procedure is introduced, based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Kweku Abraham , Ismael Castillo , Elisabeth Gassiat

Lane determination and lane sequence determination are important components for many Connected and Automated Vehicle (CAV) applications. Lane determination has been solved using Hidden Markov Model (HMM) among other methods. The existing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Mike Stas , Wang Hu , Jay A. Farrell

We propose sequential Monte Carlo based algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation of the static parameters in hidden Markov models with an intractable likelihood using ideas from approximate Bayesian computation. The static parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2013-11-19 Sinan Yildirim , Sumeetpal Singh , Thomas Dean , Ajay Jasra

I describe a new Markov chain method for sampling from the distribution of the state sequences in a non-linear state space model, given the observation sequence. This method updates all states in the sequence simultaneously using an…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Radford M. Neal

The model of partially observed linear system depending on some unknown parameters is considered. An approximation of the unobserved component is proposed. This approximation is realized in three steps. First an estimator of the method of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-20 Yury A. Kutoyants

The conformational kinetics of enzymes can be reliably revealed when they are governed by Markovian dynamics. Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are appropriate especially in the case of conformational states that are hardly distinguishable.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-05 A. Kovalev , N. Zarrabi , F. Werz , M. Boersch , Z. Ristic , H. Lill , D. Bald , C. Tietz , J. Wrachtrup

The model of partially observed linear stochastic differential equations depending on some unknown parameters is considered. An proximation of the unobserved component is proposed. This approximation is realized in three steps. First an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

This paper presents algorithms for parallelization of inference in hidden Markov models (HMMs). In particular, we propose parallel backward-forward type of filtering and smoothing algorithm as well as parallel Viterbi-type…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Sakira Hassan , Simo Särkkä , Ángel F. García-Fernández

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) offer a robust and efficient framework for analyzing time series data, modelling both the underlying latent state progression over time and the observation process, conditional on the latent state. However, a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-19 Ioannis Rotous , Alex Diana , Alessio Farcomeni , Eleni Matechou , Andréa Thiebault

The problem of discrete universal filtering, in which the components of a discrete signal emitted by an unknown source and corrupted by a known DMC are to be causally estimated, is considered. A family of filters are derived, and are shown…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Taesup Moon , Tsachy Weissman

The Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm is a versatile tool for model parameter estimation in latent data models. When processing large data sets or data stream however, EM becomes intractable since it requires the whole data set to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-18 Sylvain Le Corff , Gersende Fort
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