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We propose a two-step algorithm for the construction of a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) of assigned size, i.e. cardinality of the state space of the underlying Markov chain, whose $n$-dimensional distribution is closest in divergence to a given…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-27 L. Finesso , A. Grassi , P. Spreij

The hidden Markov model (HMM) provides a powerful framework for inference in time-varying environments, where the underlying state evolves according to a Markov chain. To address the optimal filtering problem in general dynamic settings, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-10 Dongyan Sui , Haotian Pu , Siyang Leng , Stefan Vlaski

Consider a stationary discrete random process with alphabet size d, which is assumed to be the output process of an unknown stationary Hidden Markov Model (HMM). Given the joint probabilities of finite length strings of the process, we are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-15 Qingqing Huang , Rong Ge , Sham Kakade , Munther Dahleh

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are probabilistic functions of finite Markov chains, or, put in other words, state space models with finite state space. In this paper, we examine subspace estimation methods for HMMs whose output lies a finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Sofia Andersson , Tobias Rydén

The hidden Markov model (HMM) is a fundamental tool for sequence modeling that cleanly separates the hidden state from the emission structure. However, this separation makes it difficult to fit HMMs to large datasets in modern NLP, and they…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Justin T. Chiu , Alexander M. Rush

We present an efficient exact algorithm for estimating state sequences from outputs (or observations) in imprecise hidden Markov models (iHMM), where both the uncertainty linking one state to the next, and that linking a state to its…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-10-08 Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

Motivated by Hubert's segmentation procedure we discuss the application of hidden Markov models (HMM) to the segmentation of hydrological and enviromental time series. We use a HMM algorithm which segments time series of several hundred…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Ath. Kehagias

Hidden Markov models (HMM) have been widely used by scientists to model stochastic systems: the underlying process is a discrete Markov chain and the observations are noisy realizations of the underlying process. Determining the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-18 Yang Chen , Cheng-Der Fuh , Chu-Lan Michael Kao

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are popular models to identify a finite number of latent states from sequential data. However, fitting them to large data sets can be computationally demanding because most likelihood maximization techniques…

Automated fault localization is an important issue in model validation and verification. It helps the end users in analyzing the origin of failure. In this work, we show the early experiments with probabilistic analysis approaches in fault…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-11-21 Ning Ge , Marc Pantel , Xavier Crégut

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) can predict the future value of a time series based on its current and previous values, making it a powerful algorithm for handling various types of time series. Numerous studies have explored the improvement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 YeXin Huang

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are one of the most widely used statistical methods for analyzing sequence data. However, the reporting of output from HMMs has largely been restricted to the presentation of the most-probable (MAP) hidden state…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-01 Michalis K. Titsias , Christopher Yau , Christopher C. Holmes

We describe a generalization of the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) which is able to encode prior information that state transitions are more likely between "nearby" states. This is accomplished by defining a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-24 Colin Reimer Dawson , Chaofan Huang , Clayton T. Morrison

In this paper, we explore the class of the Hidden Semi-Markov Model (HSMM), a flexible extension of the popular Hidden Markov Model (HMM) that allows the underlying stochastic process to be a semi-Markov chain. HSMMs are typically used less…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-26 Patrick Aschermayr , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

In this paper, we propose a novel supervised single-channel speech enhancement method combing the the Kullback-Leibler divergence-based non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) and hidden Markov model (NMF-HMM). With the application of HMM,…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-01 Yang Xiang , Liming Shi , Jesper Lisby Højvang , Morten Højfeldt Rasmussen , Mads Græsbøll Christensen

Hidden semi-Markov models (HSMMs) are latent variable models which allow latent state persistence and can be viewed as a generalization of the popular hidden Markov models (HMMs). In this paper, we introduce a novel spectral algorithm to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-01 Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

We present and analyse three online algorithms for learning in discrete Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) and compare them with the Baldi-Chauvin Algorithm. Using the Kullback-Leibler divergence as a measure of generalisation error we draw…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2007-08-20 Roberto C. Alamino , Nestor Caticha

There is much interest in the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) as a natural Bayesian nonparametric extension of the ubiquitous Hidden Markov Model for learning from sequential and time-series data. However, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-11 Matthew J. Johnson , Alan S. Willsky

The Baum-Welsh algorithm together with its derivatives and variations has been the main technique for learning Hidden Markov Models (HMM) from observational data. We present an HMM learning algorithm based on the non-negative matrix…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-01-11 George Cybenko , Valentino Crespi

The objective is to study an on-line Hidden Markov model (HMM) estimation-based Q-learning algorithm for partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) on finite state and action sets. When the full state observation is available,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-25 Hyung-Jin Yoon , Donghwan Lee , Naira Hovakimyan
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