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Recent advances in quasi-Monte Carlo integration have shown that for linearly scrambled digital net estimators, the convergence rate can be dramatically improved by taking the median rather than the mean of multiple independent replicates.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Zexin Pan

It is well known that it is impossible to construct useful confidence intervals (CIs) about the mean or median of a response $Y$ conditional on features $X = x$ without making strong assumptions about the joint distribution of $X$ and $Y$.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Jayoon Jang , Emmanuel Candès

We tackle the problem of the estimation of the level sets L_f({\lambda}) of the density f of a random vector X supported on a smooth manifold M\subsetR^d , from an iid sample of X. To do that we introduce a kernel-based estimator f^n,h ,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Ricardo Fraiman , Leonardo Moreno

Concentration inequalities for the sample mean, like those due to Bernstein, Hoeffding, and Bentkus, are valid for any sample size but overly conservative, yielding confidence intervals that are unnecessarily wide. The central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Morgane Austern , Lester Mackey

Our confidence set quantifies the statistical uncertainty from data-driven group assignments in grouped panel models. It covers the true group memberships jointly for all units with pre-specified probability and is constructed by inverting…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-28 Andreas Dzemski , Ryo Okui

This paper develops distribution theory and bootstrap-based inference methods for a broad class of convex pairwise difference estimators. These estimators minimize a kernel-weighted convex-in-parameter function over observation pairs with…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-29 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

We establish uniform-in-bandwidth consistency for kernel-type estimators of the differential entropy. We consider two kernel-type estimators of Shannon's entropy. As a consequence, an asymptotic 100% confidence interval of entropy is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Salim Bouzebda , Issam Elhattab

In many problems, a sensible estimator of a possibly multivariate monotone function may itself fail to be monotone. We study the correction of such an estimator obtained via projection onto the space of functions monotone over a finite grid…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-06 Ted Westling , Mark van der Laan , Marco Carone

A method for estimating the axis of reflectional symmetry of an image $f(x,y)$ on the unit disc $D=\{(x,y):x^2+y^2\leq1\}$ is proposed, given that noisy data of $f(x,y)$ are observed on a discrete grid of edge width $\Delta$. Our estimation…

Applications · Statistics 2011-02-04 Nicolai Bissantz , Hajo Holzmann , Mirosław Pawlak

For fixed size sampling designs with high entropy it is well known that the variance of the Horvitz-Thompson estimator can be approximated by the H\'ajek formula. The interest of this asymptotic variance approximation is that it only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-01 Hervé Cardot , Camelia Goga , Pauline Lardin

Density-based clustering relies on the idea of linking groups to some specific features of the probability distribution underlying the data. The reference to a true, yet unknown, population structure allows to frame the clustering problem…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-01 Alessandro Casa , José E. Chacón , Giovanna Menardi

Income inequality measures are often used as an indication of economic health. How to obtain reliable confidence intervals for these measures based on sampled data has been studied extensively in recent years. To preserve confidentiality,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-22 Dilanka S. Dedduwakumara , Luke A. Prendergast

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for the median of a response $Y \in \mathbb{R}$ conditional on features $X \in \mathbb{R}^d$ in a situation where we are not willing to make any assumption whatsoever on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Dhruv Medarametla , Emmanuel J. Candès

Let $M$ be a relatively compact connected open subset with smooth connected boundary of a complex manifold $M'$. Let $(L,h^L)\rightarrow M'$ be a positive line bundle over $M'$. Suppose that $M'$ admits a holomorphic $\mathbb{R}$-action…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Chin-Yu Hsiao , Xiaoshan Li , George Marinescu

It is well known that the asymptotic variance of sample quantiles can be reduced under heterogeneity relative to the i.i.d. setting. However, asymptotically correct confidence intervals for quantiles are not yet available. We propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 John H. J. Einmahl , Yi He

Functional Data Analysis represents a field of growing interest in statistics. Despite several studies have been proposed leading to fundamental results, the problem of obtaining valid and efficient prediction sets has not been thoroughly…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Matteo Fontana , Simone Vantini

We provide new non-asymptotic false discovery proportion (FDP) confidence envelopes in several multiple testing settings relevant for modern high dimensional-data methods. We revisit the multiple testing scenarios considered in the recent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Iqraa Meah , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

We consider interval estimation of the difference between two binomial proportions. Several methods of constructing such an interval are known. Unfortunately those confidence intervals have poor coverage probability: it is significantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-11 Wojciech Zieliński

The paper deals with minimax optimal statistical tests for two composite hypotheses, where each hypothesis is defined by a non-parametric uncertainty set of feasible distributions. It is shown that for every pair of uncertainty sets of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Michael Fauss , Abdelhak M. Zoubir , H. Vincent Poor

The goal of this paper is to study the bootstrap for the Grenander estimator. The first result is a proof of the inconsistency of the nonparametric bootstrap for the Grenander estimator at a given point. The second result is the development…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Michael R. Kosorok