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In the autoregressive process of first order AR(1), a homogeneous correlated time series $u_t$ is recursively constructed as $u_t = q\; u_{t-1} + \sigma \;\epsilon_t$, using random Gaussian deviates $\epsilon_t$ and fixed values for the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-10 Christoph Mark , Claus Metzner , Ben Fabry

In this work, we explore the latent space of a denoising variational autoencoder with a mixture-of-Gaussians prior (VAE-MoG), trained on gravitational wave data from event GW150914. To evaluate how well the model captures the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Fernanda Zapata Bascuñán

Modeling nonstationary processes is of paramount importance to many scientific disciplines including environmental science, ecology, and finance, among others. Consequently, flexible methodology that provides accurate estimation across a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-13 Wen-Hsi Yang , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

In this paper, we revisit batch state estimation through the lens of Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider continuous-discrete estimation problems wherein a trajectory is viewed as a one-dimensional GP, with time as the independent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Sean Anderson , Timothy D. Barfoot , Chi Hay Tong , Simo Särkkä

We develop a mixture model for transition density approximation, together with soft model selection, in the presence of noisy and heterogeneous nonlinear dynamics. Our model builds on the Gaussian mixture transition distribution (MTD) model…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-03 Matthew Heiner , Athanasios Kottas

For many applications with multivariate data, random field models capturing departures from Gaussianity within realisations are appropriate. For this reason, we formulate a new class of multivariate non-Gaussian models based on systems of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 David Bolin , Jonas Wallin

A new modification of the minimum-contrast estimator (the weighted MCE) of drift parameter in a linear stochastic evolution equation with additive fractional noise is introduced in the setting of the spectral approach (Fourier coordinates…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-30 Pavel Kriz

The solutions of Hamiltonian equations are known to describe the underlying phase space of a mechanical system. In this article, we propose a novel spatio-temporal model using a strategic modification of the Hamiltonian equations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Satyaki Mazumder , Sayantan Banerjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Tomographic reconstruction, despite its revolutionary impact on a wide range of applications, suffers from its ill-posed nature in that there is no unique solution because of limited and noisy measurements. Therefore, in the absence of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-10 Agnimitra Dasgupta , Carlo Graziani , Zichao Wendy Di

We consider stochastic model based on the linear stochastic differential equation with the linear relaxation and with the diffusion-like fluctuations of the relaxation rate. The model generates monofractal signals with the non-Gaussian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-18 B. Kaulakys , M. Alaburda , J. Ruseckas

We introduce a Gaussian measure formally preserved by the 2-dimensional Primitive Equations driven by additive Gaussian noise. Under such measure the stochastic equations under consideration are singular: we propose a solution theory based…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-13 Francesco Grotto , Umberto Pappalettera

This paper introduces a flexible time-varying network vector autoregressive model framework for large-scale time series. A latent group structure is imposed on the heterogeneous and node-specific time-varying momentum and network spillover…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Degui Li , Bin Peng , Songqiao Tang , Weibiao Wu

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the marginal density in some nonlinear autoregressive time series models for which the conditional mean and variance have a parametric specification. Under some regularity conditions, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-31 Lionel Truquet

This paper investigates the state estimation problem for linear systems subject to Gaussian noise, where the model parameters are unknown. By formulating and solving an optimization problem that incorporates both offline and online system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-10 Peihu Duan , Jiabao He , Yuezu Lv , Guanghui Wen

Estimating hidden processes from non-linear noisy observations is particularly difficult when the parameters of these processes are not known. This paper adopts a machine learning approach to devise variational Bayesian inference for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Komlan Atitey , Pavel Loskot , Lyudmila Mihaylova

In this paper we propose and analyze finite element discontinuous Galerkin methods for the one- and two-dimensional stochastic Maxwell equations with multiplicative noise. The discrete energy law of the semi-discrete DG methods were…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-21 Jiawei Sun , Chi-Wang Shu , Yulong Xing

Sparsity promoting norms are frequently used in high dimensional regression. A limitation of such Lasso-type estimators is that the optimal regularization parameter depends on the unknown noise level. Estimators such as the concomitant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-04 Quentin Bertrand , Mathurin Massias , Alexandre Gramfort , Joseph Salmon

We propose a rectangular rotational invariant estimator to recover a real matrix from noisy matrix observations coming from an arbitrary additive rotational invariant perturbation, in the large dimension limit. Using the Bayes-optimality of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Farzad Pourkamali , Nicolas Macris

The sub-Gaussian stable distribution is a heavy-tailed elliptically contoured law which has interesting applications in signal processing and financial mathematics. This work addresses the problem of feasible estimation of distributions. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Taras Bodnar , Dmitry Otryakhin , Erik Thorsen

In this article, we study the stochastic wave equation in arbitrary spatial dimension $d$, with a multiplicative term of the form $\sigma(u)=u$, also known in the literature as the Hyperbolic Anderson Model. This equation is perturbed by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-26 Raluca M. Balan , Jian Song