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A novel model of intermittency is presented in which the dynamics of the rates of energy transfer between successive steps in the energy cascade is described by a hierarchy of stochastic differential equations. The probability distribution…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2010-10-27 Domingos S. P. Salazar , Giovani L. Vasconcelos

In this paper, we study the estimation of drift and diffusion coefficients in a two dimensional system of N interacting particles modeled by a degenerate stochastic differential equation. We consider both complete and partial observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Chiara Amorino , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė

The aim of this paper is to examine the time scaling of the semivariance when returns are modeled by various types of jump-diffusion processes, including stochastic volatility models with jumps in returns and in volatility. In particular,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-06 Rodrigue Oeuvray , Pascal Junod

We study the problem of parameter estimation for a univariate discretely observed ergodic diffusion process given as a solution to a stochastic differential equation. The estimation procedure we propose consists of two steps. In the first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

This paper generalizes a part of the theory of $Z$-estimation which has been developed mainly in the context of modern empirical processes to the case of stochastic processes, typically, semimartingales. We present a general theorem to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Yoichi Nishiyama

A particle with internal unobserved states diffusing in a force field will generally display effective advection-diffusion. The drift velocity is proportional to the mobility averaged over the internal states, or effective mobility, while…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-13 Erik Aurell , Stefano Bo

This paper deals with uncertain dynamical systems in which predictions about the future state of a system are assessed by so called pseudomeasures. Two special cases are stochastic dynamical systems, where the pseudomeasure is the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2016-08-31 Andreas Hamm

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

This paper gives a brief overview on the nonparametric techniques that are useful for financial econometric problems. The problems include estimation and inferences of instantaneous returns and volatility functions of time-homogeneous and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Jianqing Fan

The scaling invariance for chaotic orbits near a transition from unlimited to limited diffusion in a dissipative standard mapping is explained via the analytical solution of the diffusion equation. It gives the probability of observing a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-12-02 Edson D. Leonel , Celia Mayumi Kuwana , Makoto Yoshida , Juliano Antonio de Oliveira

Consider discrete values of functions shifted by unobserved translation effects, which are independent realizations of a random variable with unknown distribution $\mu$, modeling the variability in the response of each individual. Our aim…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Ismael Castillo , Jean-Michel Loubes

We address the problem of estimating unknown model parameters and state variables in stochastic reaction processes when only sparse and noisy measurements are available. Using an asymptotic system size expansion for the backward equation we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-07-02 Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

The statistical properties of a stochastic process may be described (1)by the expectation values of the observables, (2)by the probability distribution functions or (3)by probability measures on path space. Here an analysis of level (3) is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Vilela Mendes , R. Lima , T. Araujo

We consider the problem of sequential estimation of the unknowns of state-space and deep state-space models that include estimation of functions and latent processes of the models. The proposed approach relies on Gaussian and deep Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Yuhao Liu , Marzieh Ajirak , Petar Djuric

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a class of continuous-time state space models. In particular, we explore the case of a partially observed diffusion, with data also arriving according to a diffusion process. Based upon a…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-16 Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas , Hamza Ruzayqat

In a financial market model, we consider the variance-optimal semi-static hedging of a given contingent claim, a generalization of the classic variance-optimal hedging. To obtain a tractable formula for the expected squared hedging error…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-19 Paolo Di Tella , Martin Haubold , Martin Keller-Ressel

We study the problem of estimating the coefficients of a diffusion (X_t,t\geq 0); the estimation is based on discrete data X_{n\Delta},n=0,1,...,N. The sampling frequency \Delta^{-1} is constant, and asymptotics are taken as the number N of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Emmanuel Gobet , Marc Hoffmann , Markus Reiss

Understanding variable dependence, particularly eliciting their statistical properties given a set of covariates, provides the mathematical foundation in practical operations management such as risk analysis and decision-making given…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

Random invariant manifolds often provide geometric structures for understanding stochastic dynamics. In this paper, a dynamical approximation estimate is derived for a class of stochastic partial differential equations, by showing that the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-10-08 Wei Wang , Jinqiao Duan

In this paper, we give a new covariation spectral representation of some non stationary symmetric $\alpha$-stable processes (S$\alpha$S). This representation is based on a weaker covariation pseudo additivity condition which is more general…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-22 Nourddine Azzaoui