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Previous critiques of the Drake Equation have highlighted its deterministic nature, implying that the number of civilizations is the same at all times. Here, I build upon earlier work and present a stochastic formulation. The birth of…

Popular Physics · Physics 2021-03-25 David Kipping

Spatiotemporal evolution in the real Ginzburg-Landau equation is studied with space-time noise and a slowly increasing critical parameter. Analytical estimates for the characteristic size of the domains formed in a slow sweep through the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. D. Lythe

We consider a stochastic individual-based population model with competition, trait-structure affecting reproduction and survival, and changing environment. The changes of traits are described by jump processes, and the dynamics can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-17 Benoît Henry , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

In the system we study, 1's and 0's represent occupied and vacant sites in the contact process with births at rate $\lambda$ and deaths at rate 1. $-1$'s are sterile individuals that do not reproduce but appear spontaneously on vacant sites…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-13 Xiangying Huang , Rick Durrett

The logistic birth and death process is perhaps the simplest stochastic population model that has both density-dependent reproduction, and a phase transition, and a lot can be learned about the process by studying its extinction time,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Eric Foxall

In this paper, we study the significance of ecological interactions and separation of birth and death dynamics in stochastic heterogeneous populations via general birth-death processes. Interactions can manifest through the birth dynamics,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-03 Erin Beckman , Heyrim Cho , Linh Huynh

In this paper one presents the extension of the transient analysis of the class of continuous-time birth and death processes defined on non-negative integers with special transitions from and to the origin. From the origin transitions can…

In this paper, we study a birth and death process $\{N_t\}_{t\ge0}$ on positive half lattice, which at each discontinuity jumps at most a distance $R\ge 1$ to the right or exactly a distance $1$ to the left. The transitional probabilities…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-16 Hua-Ming Wang

Stochastic processes wherein the size of the state space is changing as a function of time offer models for the emergence of scale-invariant features observed in complex systems. I consider such a sample-space reducing (SSR) stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-05-04 Avinash Chand Yadav

We consider a hierarchically structured population in which the amount of resources an individual has access to is affected by individuals that are larger, and that the intake of resources by an individual only affects directly the growth…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Carles Barril , Àngel Calsina , József Z. Farkas

A method yielding simple relationships among bilateral birth-and-death processes is outlined. This allows one to relate birth and death rates of two processes in such a way that their transition probabilities, first-passage-time densities…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-03-11 Antonio Di Crescenzo

Birth and death Markov processes can model stochastic physical systems from percolation to disease spread and, in particular, wildfires. We introduce and analyze a birth-death-suppression Markov process as a model of controlled culling of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-10-11 George Hulsey , David L. Alderson , Jean Carlson

A continuous time mixed state branching process is constructed as the scaling limits of two-type Galton-Watson processes. The process can also be obtained by the pathwise unique solution to a stochastic equation system. From the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Shukai Chen , Zenghu Li

We investigate parameter estimation in subcritical continuous-time birth-and-death processes with multiple births. We show that the classical maximum likelihood estimators for the model parameters, based on the continuous observation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Sophie Hautphenne , Emma Horton

Birth-death processes track the size of a univariate population, but many biological systems involve interaction between populations, necessitating models for two or more populations simultaneously. A lack of efficient methods for…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-08 Lam Si Tung Ho , Jason Xu , Forrest W. Crawford , Vladimir N. Minin , Marc A. Suchard

Extinction is the ultimate absorbing state of any stochastic birth-death process, hence the time to extinction is an important characteristic of any natural population. Here we consider logistic and logistic-like systems under the combined…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-27 Yitzhak Yahalom , Nadav M. Shnerb

Comprehensive models of stochastic, clonally reproducing populations are defined in terms of general branching processes, allowing birth during maternal life, as for higher organisms, or by splitting, as in cell division. The populations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-14 Kais Hamza , Peter Jagers , Fima C. Klebaner

We discover death-immigration non-equilibrium stochastic dynamics in the continuum also known as the Surgailis process. Explicit expression for the correlation functions is presented. Dynamics of states and their generating functionals are…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-01-27 Dmitri Finkelshtein

A continuous-state polynomial branching process is constructed as the pathwise unique solution of a stochastic integral equation with absorbing boundary condition. The extinction and explosion probabilities and the mean extinction and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Pei-Sen Li

A coinless quantisation procedure of continuous and discrete time Birth and Death (BD) processes is presented. The quantum Hamiltonian H is derived by similarity transforming the matrix L describing the BD equation in terms of the square…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-02-05 Ryu Sasaki
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