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We define a model of Galton Watson processes in dynamical environments where the environment evolves according to a dynamical system (X, T). Three behaviours are possible: uniformly subcritical, critical, and uniformly supercritical. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Thomas Morand

We study functionals of the form \[\zeta_{t}=\int_0^{t}...\int_0^{t} | X_1(s_1)+...+ X_p(s_p)|^{-\sigma}ds_1... ds_p\] where $X_1(t),..., X_p(t)$ are i.i.d. $d$-dimensional symmetric stable processes of index $0<\bb\le 2$. We obtain results…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-17 R. Bass , X. Chen , J. Rosen

The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-06 L. Caramellino , B. Pacchiarotti

In this paper we study precise large deviations for the partial sums of a stationary sequence with a subexponential marginal distribution. Our main focus is on distributions which either have a regularly varying or a lognormal-type tail. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Thomas Mikosch , Igor Rodionov

Let $\{{\bf \mathcal{Z}}_n:n\geq 1\}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random probability measures. Independently, for each $n\geq 1$, let $(X_{n1},\ldots, X_{nn})$ be a random vector of positive random variables that add up to one. This paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Shui Feng

In this paper, we obtain some results on precise large deviations for non-random and random sums of widely dependent random variables with common dominatedly varying tail distribution or consistently varying tail distribution on…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

Large deviations for sums of i.i.d.\ random variables with stretched-exponential tails (also called Weibull or semi-exponential tails) have been well understood since the 60's, going back to Nagaev's seminal work. Many extensions in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Nina Gantert , Joscha Prochno , Philipp Tuchel

Gaussian random processes which variances reach theirs maximum values at unique points are considered. Exact asymptotic behaviors of probabilities of large absolute maximums of theirs trajectories have been evaluated using Double Sum Method…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-29 E. Hashorva , S. Kobelkov , V. I. Piterbarg

The problem of (pathwise) large deviations for conditionally continuous Gaussian processes is investigated. The theory of large deviations for Gaussian processes is extended to the wider class of random processes -- the conditionally…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Barbara Pacchiarotti , Alessandro Pigliacelli

Linear fractional Galton-Watson branching processes in i.i.d.~random environment are, on the quenched level, intimately connected to random difference equations by the evolution of the random parameters of their linear fractional marginals.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Gerold Alsmeyer

We present an analytic method for computing the moments of a sum of independent and identically distributed random variables. The limiting behavior of these sums is very important to statistical theory, and the moment expressions that we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-17 Daniel M. Packwood

In this paper we characterize the limiting behavior of sums of extreme values of long range dependent sequences defined as functionals of linear processes with finite variance. The extremal sums behave completely different by compared to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rafal Kulik

We prove large deviation principles for two versions of fractional Poisson processes. Firstly we consider the main version which is a renewal process; we also present large deviation estimates for the ruin probabilities of an insurance…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-26 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

We present a formalization of the well-known thesis that, in the case of independent identically distributed random variables $X_1,\dots,X_n$ with power-like tails of index $\alpha\in(0,2)$, large deviations of the sum $X_1+\dots+X_n$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-29 Iosif Pinelis

We establish an exact asymptotic formula for the square variation of certain partial sum processes. Let $\{X_{i}\}$ be a sequence of independent, identically distributed mean zero random variables with finite variance $\sigma$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-07 Allison Lewko , Mark Lewko

Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum S n = X 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + X n of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated, in particular when X 1 is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Fabien Brosset , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Pierre Petit

We introduce a numerical procedure to evaluate directly the probabilities of large deviations of physical quantities, such as current or density, that are local in time. The large-deviation functions are given in terms of the typical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Cristian Giardina' , Jorge Kurchan , Luca Peliti

Let (X_n,Y_n) be i.i.d. random vectors. Let W(x) be the partial sum of Y_n just before that of X_n exceeds x>0. Motivated by stochastic models for neural activity, uniform convergence of the form $\sup_{c\in I}|a(c,x)\operatorname…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Zhiyi Chi

In this paper, we establish the first large deviation bounds for the Airy point process. The proof is based on a novel approach which relies upon the approximation of the Airy point process using the Gaussian unitary ensemble (GUE) up to an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-23 Chenyang Zhong

We study the probability distribution $P$ of the sum of a large number of non-identically distributed random variables $n_m$. Condensation of fluctuations, the phenomenon whereby one of such variables provides a macroscopic contribution to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-29 Federico Corberi