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Related papers: Adaptive nonparametric confidence sets

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A goodness-of-fit test for the fitting of a parametric model to data obtained from a detector with finite resolution and limited acceptance is proposed. The parameters of the model are found by minimization of a statistic that is used for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-17 N. D. Gagunashvili

We investigate function estimation in nonparametric regression models with random design and heteroscedastic correlated noise. Adaptive properties of warped wavelet nonlinear approximations are studied over a wide range of Besov scales,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Rafał Kulik , Marc Raimondo

Rating systems are ubiquitous, with applications ranging from product recommendation to teaching evaluations. Confidence intervals for functionals of rating data such as empirical means or quantiles are critical to decision-making in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Robert Nowak , Ervin Tánczos

Recent advances in statistics introduced versions of the central limit theorem for high-dimensional vectors, allowing for the construction of confidence regions for high-dimensional parameters. In this note, $s$-sparsely convex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Sven Klaassen

Machine learning models trained on uncurated datasets can often end up adversely affecting inputs belonging to underrepresented groups. To address this issue, we consider the problem of adaptively constructing training sets which allow us…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Greg Fields , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Tara Javidi

We introduce a new $hp$-adaptive strategy for self-adjoint elliptic boundary value problems that does not rely on using classical a posteriori error estimators. Instead, our approach is based on a generally applicable prediction strategy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-23 Patrick Bammer , Andreas Schröder , Thomas P. Wihler

We design a general framework for answering adaptive statistical queries that focuses on providing explicit confidence intervals along with point estimates. Prior work in this area has either focused on providing tight confidence intervals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Ryan Rogers , Aaron Roth , Adam Smith , Nathan Srebro , Om Thakkar , Blake Woodworth

We study nonasymptotic (finite-sample) confidence intervals for treatment effects in randomized experiments. In the existing literature, the effective sample sizes of nonasymptotic confidence intervals tend to be looser than the…

We consider clinical trials in which an experimental treatment is compared with a control in pre-specified patient subpopulations. In such settings, adaptive enrichment designs allow the enrolled population to be modified at an interim…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Enyu Li , Nigel Stallard , Ekkehard Glimm , Dominic Magirr , Peter K. Kimani

We derive bounds on the scope for a confidence band to adapt to the unknown regularity of a nonparametric function that is observed with noise, such as a regression function or density, under the self-similarity condition proposed by Gine…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-07 Timothy B. Armstrong

This work is concerned with the study of the adaptivity properties of nonparametric regression estimators over the $d$-dimensional sphere within the global thresholding framework. The estimators are constructed by means of a form of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-27 Claudio Durastanti

Confidence region prediction is a practically useful extension to the commonly studied pattern recognition problem. Instead of predicting a single label, the constraint is relaxed to allow prediction of a subset of labels given a desired…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-27 David Lindsay , Sian Lindsay

Many scientific problems involve data exhibiting both temporal and cross-sectional dependencies. While linear dependencies have been extensively studied, the theoretical analysis of regression estimators under nonlinear dependencies remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Marie-Christine Düker , Adam Waterbury

The issue of honesty in constructing confidence sets arises in nonparametric regression. While optimal rate in nonparametric estimation can be achieved and utilized to construct sharp confidence sets, severe degradation of confidence level…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-30 Kun Zhou , Ker-Chau Li , Qing Zhou

A nonparametric procedure for robust regression estimation and for quantile regression is proposed which is completely data-driven and adapts locally to the regularity of the regression function. This is achieved by considering in each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-06 Markus Reiss , Yves Rozenholc , Charles-Andre Cuenod

In the need for low assumption inferential methods in infinite-dimensional settings, Bayesian adaptive estimation via a prior distribution that does not depend on the regularity of the function to be estimated nor on the sample size is…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-23 Catia Scricciolo

While conformal predictors reap the benefits of rigorous statistical guarantees on their error frequency, the size of their corresponding prediction sets is critical to their practical utility. Unfortunately, there is currently a lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-12 Guneet S. Dhillon , George Deligiannidis , Tom Rainforth

We consider the problem of adaptive estimation of the regression function in a framework where we replace ergodicity assumptions (such as independence or mixing) by another structural assumption on the model. Namely, we propose adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-03 Sylvain Delattre , Stéphane Gaïffas

Conformal prediction provides a principled framework for constructing predictive sets with finite-sample validity. While much of the focus has been on univariate response variables, existing multivariate methods either impose rigid…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-19 Sacha Braun , Liviu Aolaritei , Michael I. Jordan , Francis Bach

Optimal estimation and inference for both the minimizer and minimum of a convex regression function under the white noise and nonparametric regression models are studied in a nonasymptotic local minimax framework, where the performance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 T. Tony Cai , Ran Chen , Yuancheng Zhu
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