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Related papers: Adaptive nonparametric confidence sets

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Confidence bands are confidence sets for an unknown function f, containing all functions within some sup-norm distance of an estimator. In the density estimation, regression, and white noise models, we consider the problem of constructing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Adam D. Bull

We propose a general method for constructing confidence intervals and statistical tests for single or low-dimensional components of a large parameter vector in a high-dimensional model. It can be easily adjusted for multiplicity taking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Sara van de Geer , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov , Ruben Dezeure

In this note, we consider the problem of existence of adaptive confidence bands in the fixed design regression model, adapting ideas in Hoffmann and Nickl (2011) to the present case. In the course of the proof, we show that sup-norm…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-20 Pierre-Yves Massé , William Meiniel

In the analysis of survey data it is of interest to estimate and quantify uncertainty about means or totals for each of several non-overlapping subpopulations, or areas. When the sample size for a given area is small, standard confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Kyle Burris , Peter Hoff

A nonparametric adaptation theory is developed for the construction of confidence intervals for linear functionals. A between class modulus of continuity captures the expected length of adaptive confidence intervals. Sharp lower bounds are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 T. Tony Cai , Mark G. Low

Depth measures have gained popularity in the statistical literature for defining level sets in complex data structures like multivariate data, functional data, and graphs. Despite their versatility, integrating depth measures into…

Adaptive confidence intervals for regression functions are constructed under shape constraints of monotonicity and convexity. A natural benchmark is established for the minimum expected length of confidence intervals at a given function in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-27 T. Tony Cai , Mark G. Low , Yin Xia

We consider non-parametric estimation problems in the presence of dependent data, notably non-parametric regression with random design and non-parametric density estimation. The proposed estimation procedure is based on a dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Nicolas Asin , Jan Johannes

This paper revisits a fundamental problem in statistical inference from a non-asymptotic theoretical viewpoint $\unicode{x2013}$ the construction of confidence sets. We establish a finite-sample bound for the estimator, characterizing its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Lang Liu , Zaid Harchaoui

We propose confidence regions for the parameters of incomplete models with exact coverage of the true parameter in finite samples. Our confidence region inverts a test, which generalizes Monte Carlo tests to incomplete models. The test…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-07 Lixiong Li , Marc Henry

In the present paper we study the problem of existence of honest and adaptive confidence sets for matrix completion. We consider two statistical models: the trace regression model and the Bernoulli model. In the trace regression model, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Alexandra Carpentier , Olga Klopp , Matthias Löffler , Richard Nickl

We propose methodology for estimation of sparse precision matrices and statistical inference for their low-dimensional parameters in a high-dimensional setting where the number of parameters $p$ can be much larger than the sample size. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-21 Jana Janková , Sara van de Geer

We propose a trust-region method for finite-sum minimization with an adaptive sample size adjustment technique, which is practical in the sense that it leads to a globally convergent method that shows strong performance empirically without…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-09 Robert Mohr , Oliver Stein

We provide adaptive confidence intervals on a parameter of interest in the presence of nuisance parameters when some of the nuisance parameters have known signs. The confidence intervals are adaptive in the sense that they tend to be short…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-20 Philipp Ketz , Adam McCloskey

A new gradient-based adaptive sampling method is proposed for design of experiments applications which balances space filling, local refinement, and error minimization objectives while reducing reliance on delicate tuning parameters. High…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Lucas Caparini , Gwynn J. Elfring , Mauricio Ponga

Motivated by finance and technical applications, the objective of this paper is to consider adaptive estimation of regression and density distribution based on Fourier-Legendre expansion, and construction of confidence intervals - also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-19 E. Ostrovsky , Y. Zelikov

In this paper, we propose a covariate-adjusted nonlinear regression model. In this model, both the response and predictors can only be observed after being distorted by some multiplicative factors. Because of nonlinearity, existing methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Xia Cui , Wensheng Guo , Lu Lin , Lixing Zhu

The problem of establishing out-of-sample bounds for the values of an unkonwn ground-truth function is considered. Kernels and their associated Hilbert spaces are the main formalism employed herein along with an observational model where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Paul Scharnhorst , Emilio T. Maddalena , Yuning Jiang , Colin N. Jones

In this paper, we consider adaptive estimation of an unknown planar compact, convex set from noisy measurements of its support function on a uniform grid. Both the problem of estimating the support function at a point and that of estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-18 Tony Cai , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Yuting Wei

An important problem in statistics is the construction of confidence regions for unknown parameters. In most cases, asymptotic distribution theory is used to construct confidence regions, so any coverage probability claims only hold…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Ryan Martin