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Multiple-try Metropolis (MTM) is a popular Markov chain Monte Carlo method with the appealing feature of being amenable to parallel computing. At each iteration, it samples several candidates for the next state of the Markov chain and…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-25 Philippe Gagnon , Florian Maire , Giacomo Zanella

We demonstrate the use of a variational method to determine a quantitative lower bound on the rate of convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms as a function of the target density and proposal density. The bound relies on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-05-29 Fergal P. Casey , Joshua J. Waterfall , Ryan N. Gutenkunst , Christopher R. Myers , James P. Sethna

In this paper we study Markov chains associated with the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. We consider conditions under which the sequence of the successive densities of such a chain converges to the target density according to the total…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Dimiter Tsvetkov , Lyubomir Hristov , Ralitsa Angelova-Slavova

The performance of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampler depends critically on some algorithm parameters such as the total integration time and the numerical integration stepsize. The parameter tuning is particularly challenging when the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-19 Tengchao Yu , Hongqiao Wang , Jinglai Li

In this paper we study the ergodicity properties of some adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (MCMC) that have been recently proposed in the literature. We prove that under a set of verifiable conditions, ergodic averages calculated…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Christophe Andrieu , Éric Moulines

We consider Metropolis Hastings MCMC in cases where the log of the ratio of target distributions is replaced by an estimator. The estimator is based on m samples from an independent online Monte Carlo simulation. Under some conditions on…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-01 Geoff K. Nicholls , Colin Fox , Alexis Muir Watt

The Multiple-try Metropolis (MTM) method is an interesting extension of the classical Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. However, theoretical understandings of its convergence behavior as well as whether and how it may help are still unknown.…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-06 Xiaodong Yang , Jun S. Liu

Many applications in signal processing require the estimation of some parameters of interest given a set of observed data. More specifically, Bayesian inference needs the computation of {\it a-posteriori} estimators which are often…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-21 Luca Martino

The Markov chain Monte Carlo method (MCMC), especially the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm, is a widely used technique for sampling from a target probability distribution $P$ on a state space $\Omega$ and applied to various problems such…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-13 Koichi Miyamoto

Non-Gaussian distributions in cosmology are commonly evaluated with Monte Carlo Markov-chain methods, as the Fisher-matrix formalism is restricted to the Gaussian case. The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm will provide samples from the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-15 Lennart Röver , Heinrich von Campe , Maximilian Philipp Herzog , Rebecca Maria Kuntz , Björn Malte Schäfer

We propose a new class of learning algorithms that combines variational approximation and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation. Naive algorithms that use the variational approximation as proposal distribution can perform poorly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Nando de Freitas , Pedro Hojen-Sorensen , Michael I. Jordan , Stuart Russell

A well-known difficult problem regarding Metropolis-Hastings algorithms is to get sharp bounds on their convergence rates. Moreover, a fundamental but often overlooked problem in Markov chain theory is to study the convergence rates for…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Guanyang Wang

Over the last decades, various "non-linear" MCMC methods have arisen. While appealing for their convergence speed and efficiency, their practical implementation and theoretical study remain challenging. In this paper, we introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Grégoire Clarté , Antoine Diez , Jean Feydy

Bayesian inference via standard Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods is too computationally intensive to handle large datasets, since the cost per step usually scales like $\Theta(n)$ in the number of data points $n$. We propose the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-12 Robert Cornish , Paul Vanetti , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are commonly used for their versatility in sampling from complicated probability distributions. However, as the dimension of the distribution gets larger, the computational costs for a satisfactory…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-01 Hector J. Hortua , Riccardo Volpi , Dimitri Marinelli , Luigi Malago

Sampling from the lattice Gaussian distribution is emerging as an important problem in coding and cryptography. In this paper, the classic Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm from Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods is adapted for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Zheng Wang , Cong Ling

Can we make Bayesian posterior MCMC sampling more efficient when faced with very large datasets? We argue that computing the likelihood for N datapoints in the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) test to reach a single binary decision is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-17 Anoop Korattikara , Yutian Chen , Max Welling

The multiple-try Metropolis (MTM) algorithm is a generalization of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm in which the transition kernel uses a compound proposal consisting of multiple candidate draws. Since its seminal paper there have been…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-17 Renny Doig , Liangliang Wang

State-space models (SSMs) are commonly used to model time series data where the observations depend on an unobserved latent process. However, inference on the model parameters of an SSM can be challenging, especially when the likelihood of…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-08 Mary Llewellyn , Ruth King , Víctor Elvira , Gordon Ross

The computation of Bayesian estimates of system parameters and functions of them on the basis of observed system performance data is a common problem within system identification. This is a previously studied issue where stochastic…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-09 Johan Dahlin , Adrian Wills , Brett Ninness