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The article addresses a long-standing open problem on the justification of using variational Bayes methods for parameter estimation. We provide general conditions for obtaining optimal risk bounds for point estimates acquired from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Yun Yang

The estimation of the generalization error of classifiers often relies on a validation set. Such a set is hardly available in few-shot learning scenarios, a highly disregarded shortcoming in the field. In these scenarios, it is common to…

In statistical analysis, many classic results require the assumption that models have finite mean or variance, including the most standard versions of the laws of large numbers and the central limit theorems. Such an assumption may not be…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-28 Yuyu Chen , Ruodu Wang

Statistical model checking avoids the exponential growth of states associated with probabilistic model checking by estimating properties from multiple executions of a system and by giving results within confidence bounds. Rare properties…

Performance · Computer Science 2012-01-26 Cyrille Jégourel , Axel Legay , Sean Sedwards

Degrees of freedom is a fundamental concept in statistical modeling, as it provides a quantitative description of the amount of fitting performed by a given procedure. But, despite this fundamental role in statistics, its behavior not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-01 Ryan J. Tibshirani

Topological data analysis has emerged as a powerful tool for extracting the metric, geometric and topological features underlying the data as a multi-resolution summary statistic, and has found applications in several areas where data…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-16 Siddharth Vishwanath , Kenji Fukumizu , Satoshi Kuriki , Bharath Sriperumbudur

The finite sensitivity of instruments or detection methods means that data sets in many areas of astronomy, for example cosmological or exoplanet surveys, are necessarily systematically incomplete. Such data sets, where the population being…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-14 Adam B. Mantz

Let $Y$ be a Gaussian vector whose components are independent with a common unknown variance. We consider the problem of estimating the mean $\mu$ of $Y$ by model selection. More precisely, we start with a collection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-03 Yannick Baraud , Christophe Giraud , Sylvie Huet

This article attempts to offer some perspectives on Bayesian inference for finite population quantities when the units in the population are assumed to exhibit complex dependencies. Beginning with an overview of Bayesian hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Sudipto Banerjee

Many machine learning applications such as in vision, biology and social networking deal with data in high dimensions. Feature selection is typically employed to select a subset of features which im- proves generalization accuracy as well…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-15 Yamuna Prasad , Dinesh Khandelwal , K. K. Biswas

The current survey paper concerns stochastic mathematical models for the spread of infectious diseases. It starts with the simplest setting of a homogeneous population in which a transmittable disease spreads during a short outbreak.…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-30 Tom Britton

We develop a general framework for estimating function-valued parameters under equality or inequality constraints in infinite-dimensional statistical models. Such constrained learning problems are common across many areas of statistics and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Razieh Nabi , Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan , David Benkeser

We present new algorithms and fast implementations to find efficient approximations for modelling stochastic processes. For many numerical computations it is essential to develop finite approximations for stochastic processes. While the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Kipngeno Benard Kirui , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

Many statistical estimators are defined as the fixed point of a data-dependent operator, with estimators based on minimizing a cost function being an important special case. The limiting performance of such estimators depends on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Nhat Ho , Koulik Khamaru , Raaz Dwivedi , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan , Bin Yu

In the framework of shape constrained estimation, we review methods and works done in convex set estimation. These methods mostly build on stochastic and convex geometry, empirical process theory, functional analysis, linear programming,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

The estimation of cosmological parameters from precision observables is an important industry with crucial ramifications for particle physics. This article discusses the statistical methods presently used in cosmological data analysis,…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-12-15 Andrew R Liddle

Statistical extreme value theory is concerned with the use of asymptotically motivated models to describe the extreme values of a process. A number of commonly used models are valid for observed data that exceed some high threshold.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-10 J. Lee , Y. Fan , S. A. Sisson

Bayesian model selection is a tool to decide whether the introduction of a new parameter is warranted by data. I argue that the usual sampling statistic significance tests for a null hypothesis can be misleading, since they do not take into…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Roberto Trotta

Statistical models are used to produce estimates of demographic and global health indicators in populations with limited data. Such models integrate multiple data sources to produce estimates and forecasts with uncertainty based on model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Leontine Alkema , Herbert Susmann , Evan Ray

Scientific knowledge expands by observing the world, hypothesizing some theories about it, and testing them against collected data. When those theories take the form of statistical models, statistical analyses are involved in the process of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Arnaud Delaunoy