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Bayesian supervised predictive classifiers, hypothesis testing, and parametric estimation under Partition Exchangeability are implemented. The two classifiers presented are the marginal classifier (that assumes test data is i.i.d.) next to…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-06 Ville Kinnula , Jing Tang , Ali Amiryousefi

We present an elementary non-recursive formula for the multivariate moments of the Dirichlet distribution on the standard simplex, in terms of the pattern inventory of the moments' exponents. We obtain analog formulas for the multivariate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-21 Lorenzo Dello Schiavo , Filippo Quattrocchi

We consider a Moran model with recombination in a haploid population of size $N$. At each birth event, with probability $1-\rho_N R$ the offspring copies one parent's chromosome, and with probability $\rho_N R$ she inherits a chromosome…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Amaury Lambert , Verónica Miró Pina , Emmanuel Schertzer

We study a family of Markov processes on $\mathcal{P}^{(k)}$, the space of partitions of the natural numbers with at most $k$ blocks. The process can be constructed from a Poisson point process on…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-14 Harry Crane

We study the dynamics of erasing randomly chosen letters from words by introducing a certain class of discrete-time stochastic processes, general erased-word processes(GEWPs), and investigating three closely related topics: Representation,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-27 Julian Gerstenberg

The classical embeddability problem asks whether a given stochastic matrix $T$, describing transition probabilities of a $d$-level system, can arise from the underlying homogeneous continuous-time Markov process. Here, we investigate the…

We apply Markov chain lumping techniques to aggregate codons from an empirical substitution matrix. The standard genetic code as well as higher order amino acid substitution groups are identified. Since the aggregates are derived from first…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2008-10-28 Olof Görnerup , Martin Nilsson Jacobi

We study a class of Markov chains that model the evolution of a quantum system subject to repeated measurements. Each Markov chain in this class is defined by a measure on the space of matrices. It is then given by a random product of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-03 Tristan Benoist , Martin Fraas , Yan Pautrat , Clément Pellegrini

Birkner et al. obtained necessary and sufficient conditions for the frequency between two independent and identically distributed continuous-state branching processes time-changed by a functional of the total mass process to be a Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-10 Adrián González Casanova , Imanol Nuñez , J. -L. Pérez

The paper is concerned with the equilibrium distributions of continuous-time density dependent Markov processes on the integers. These distributions are known typically to be approximately normal, and the approximation error, as measured in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-06 Sanda N. Socoll , A. D. Barbour

We present the probability preserving description of the decaying particle within the framework of quantum mechanics of open systems taking into account the superselection rule prohibiting the superposition of the particle and vacuum. In…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. Caban , J. Rembielinski , K. A. Smolinski , Z. Walczak

In a coalescing random walk, a set of particles make independent random walks on a graph. Whenever one or more particles meet at a vertex, they unite to form a single particle, which then continues the random walk through the graph.…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-12-28 Colin Cooper , Robert Elsasser , Hirotaka Ono , Tomasz Radzik

We investigate the infinitely many demes limit of the genealogy of a sample of individuals from a subdivided population subject to sporadic mass extinction events. By exploiting a separation of timescales property of Wright's island model,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-29 Jesse E. Taylor , Amandine Veber

Pilgrim's monopoly is a probabilistic process giving rise to a non-negative sequence $T_1, T_2,\ldots$ that is infinitely exchangeable, a natural model for time-to-event data. The one-dimensional marginal distributions are exponential. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-02 Walter Dempsey , Peter McCullagh

We introduce and analyze a waiting time model for the accumulation of genetic changes. The continuous time conjunctive Bayesian network is defined by a partially ordered set of mutations and by the rate of fixation of each mutation. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-09-18 Niko Beerenwinkel , Seth Sullivant

In this paper, we introduce a one-dimensional model of particles performing independent random walks, where only pairs of particles can produce offspring ("cooperative branching"), and particles that land on an occupied site merge with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Anja Sturm , Jan M. Swart

The paper deals with a certain class of random evolutions. We develop a construction that yields an invariant measure for a continuous-time Markov process with random transitions. The approach is based on a particular way of constructing…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Y. Belopolskaya , Y. Suhov

Kingman's coalescent is a random tree that arises from classical population genetic models such as the Moran model. The individuals alive in these models correspond to the leaves in the tree and the following two laws of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Andrej Depperschmidt , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Annika Scheuringer

The standard coalescent is widely used in evolutionary biology and population genetics to model the ancestral history of a sample of molecular sequences as a rooted and ranked binary tree. In this paper, we present a representation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Mackenzie Simper , Julia A. Palacios

In the operatorial formulation of quantum statistics, the time evolution of density matrices is governed by von Neumann's equation. Within the phase space formulation of quantum mechanics it translates into Moyal's equation, and a formal…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2023-06-28 Carlo Pagani , Martin Reuter