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Self-interacting jump processes (SIJPs) describe systems with non-Markovian stochastic dynamics in which transition rates depend on empirical observables of the process, which gives rise to long-range memory and feedback. We derive the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-23 Francesco Coghi , Juan P. Garrahan

We present a general framework for applying machine-learning algorithms to the verification of Markov decision processes (MDPs). The primary goal of these techniques is to improve performance by avoiding an exhaustive exploration of the…

We consider a distributionally robust Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (DR-POMDP), where the distribution of the transition-observation probabilities is unknown at the beginning of each decision period, but their realizations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Hideaki Nakao , Ruiwei Jiang , Siqian Shen

We introduce a framework for approximate analysis of Markov decision processes (MDP) with bounded-, unbounded-, and infinite-horizon properties. The main idea is to identify a "core" of an MDP, i.e., a subsystem where we provably remain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-22 Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer

Structural results impose sufficient conditions on the model parameters of a Markov decision process (MDP) so that the optimal policy is an increasing function of the underlying state. The classical assumptions for MDP structural results…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-07 Vikram Krishnamurthy

Importance sampling has become an important tool for the computation of tail-based risk measures. Since such quantities are often determined mainly by rare events standard Monte Carlo can be inefficient and importance sampling provides a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-29 Pierre Nyquist

The inspection of residuals is a fundamental step to investigate the quality of adjustment of a parametric model to data. For spatial point processes, the concept of residuals has been recently proposed by Baddeley et al. (2005) as an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-07 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Frédéric Lavancier

Stochastic orders on point processes are partial orders which capture notions like being larger or more variable. Laplace functional ordering of point processes is a useful stochastic order for comparing spatial deployments of wireless…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-27 Junghoon Lee , Cihan Tepedelenlioglu

Robust Markov decision processes (MDPs) aim to handle changing or partially known system dynamics. To solve them, one typically resorts to robust optimization methods. However, this significantly increases computational complexity and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-14 Esther Derman , Matthieu Geist , Shie Mannor

Various soft materials share some common features, such as significant entropic effect, large fluctuations, sensitivity to thermodynamic conditions, and mesoscopic characteristic spatial and temporal scales. However, no quantitative…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2017-03-10 Baoji He , Yanting Wang

We present a general theory to quantify the uncertainty from imposing structural assumptions on the second-order structure of nonstationary Hilbert space-valued processes, which can be measured via functionals of time-dependent spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Anne van Delft , Holger Dette

In this article we establish two fundamental results for the sublevel set persistent homology for stationary processes indexed by the positive integers. The first is a strong law of large numbers for the persistence diagram (treated as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Andrew M. Thomas

In the first part of this paper we study approximations of trajectories of Piecewise Deter-ministic Processes (PDP) when the flow is not explicit by the thinning method. We also establish a strong error estimate for PDPs as well as a weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-10 Vincent Lemaire , Michèle Thieullen , Nicolas Thomas

The material point method (MPM) has been increasingly used for the simulation of large deformation processes in fluid-infiltrated porous materials. For undrained poromechanical problems, however, standard MPMs are numerically unstable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-27 Yidong Zhao , Jinhyun Choo

We present metrics for measuring state similarity in Markov decision processes (MDPs) with infinitely many states, including MDPs with continuous state spaces. Such metrics provide a stable quantitative analogue of the notion of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Norman Ferns , Prakash Panangaden , Doina Precup

We introduce the Markov Distributional Conformal Prediction (MDCP) method that extends the distributional conformal prediction (previously developed for regression) to the setting of a strictly stationary Markov process. Instead of relying…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Dehao Dai , Kejin Wu , Dimitris N. Politis

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are a popular model for performance analysis and optimization of stochastic systems. The parameters of stochastic behavior of MDPs are estimates from empirical observations of a system; their values are not…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-10-26 Dimitri Scheftelowitsch , Peter Buchholz , Vahid Hashemi , Holger Hermanns

For a Pfaffian point process we show that its Palm measures, its normalised compositions with multiplicative functionals, and its conditional measures with respect to fixing the configuration in a bounded subset are Pfaffian point processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Alexander I. Bufetov , Fabio Deelan Cunden , Yanqi Qiu

In this article, we present $\textbf{ldmppr}$, an R package for estimating, evaluating, simulating from, and visualizing location-dependent marked spatial point processes. To date, it has commonly been assumed that the marks associated with…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-20 Lane Drew , Andee Kaplan

Poisson processes and one-dimensional Poisson point processes satisfy three main properties: superposition, thinning, and conditioning. The proof of the first two relies on basic estimates involving the Poisson distribution that are also…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Nicolas Lanchier