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We study the performance of a stochastic algorithm based on the power method that adaptively learns the large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes, used in physics to model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Francesco Coghi , Hugo Touchette

The paper is devoted to the development of control procedures with a guide for conflict-controlled dynamical systems described by ordinary fractional differential equations with the Caputo derivative of an order $\alpha \in (0, 1).$ For the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-10 Mikhail Gomoyunov

Empirically defining some constant probabilistic orbits of f(x) and g(x) iterated high-order functions, the stability of these functions in possible entangled interaction dynamics of the environment through its orbit's connectivity (open…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-11-19 Charles Roberto Telles

We derive an annealed large deviation principle for the normalised local times of a continuous-time random walk among random conductances in a finite domain in $\Z^d$ in the spirit of Donsker-Varadhan \cite{DV75}. We work in the interesting…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-11 Wolfgang König , Michele Salvi , Tilman Wolff

We present a systematic analysis of stochastic processes conditioned on an empirical measure $Q_T$ defined in a time interval $[0,T]$ for large $T$. We build our analysis starting from a discrete time Markov chain. Results for a continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-26 Bernard Derrida , Tridib Sadhu

We consider the FCFS $M/H_2/n + M$ queue in the Halfin-Whitt heavy traffic regime. It is known that the normalized sequence of steady-state queue length distributions is tight and converges weakly to a limiting random variable W. However,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 David A. Goldberg , Debankur Mukherjee , Yuan Li

We study large deviations asymptotics for a class of unbounded additive functionals, interpreted as normalized accumulated areas, of one-dimensional Langevin diffusions with sub-linear gradient drifts. Our results provide parametric…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Mihail Bazhba , Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Bert Zwart

A large deviation function mathematically characterizes the statistical property of atypical events. Recently, in non-equilibrium statistical mechanics, large deviation functions have been used to describe universal laws such as the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-04-26 Shin-ichi Sasa

We prove a large-deviation principle (LDP) for the sample paths of jump Markov processes in the small noise limit when, possibly, all the jump rates vanish uniformly, but slowly enough, in a region of the state space. We further discuss the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Andrea Agazzi , Luisa Andreis , Robert I. A. Patterson , D. R. Michiel Renger

Asymptotic statistical theory for estimating functions is reviewed in a generality suitable for stochastic processes. Conditions concerning existence of a consistent estimator, uniqueness, rate of convergence, and the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-06 Jean Jacod , Michael Sørensen

We consider expansive homeomorphisms with the specification property. We give a new simple proof of a large deviation principle for Gibbs measures corresponding to a regular potential and we establish a general symmetry of the rate function…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-26 Christian Maes , Evgeny Verbitskiy

In a series of two papers, we investigate the large deviations and asymptotic behavior of stochastic models of brain neural networks with random interaction coefficients. In this first paper, we take into account the spatial structure of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-05 Tanguy Cabana , Jonathan Touboul

The theory of large deviations constitutes a mathematical cornerstone in the foundations of Boltzmann-Gibbs statistical mechanics, based on the additive entropy $S_{BG}=- k_B\sum_{i=1}^W p_i \ln p_i$. Its optimization under appropriate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-31 Guiomar Ruiz , Constantino Tsallis

We consider Markov chains that obey the following general non-linear state space model: $\Phi_{k+1} = F(\Phi_k, \alpha(\Phi_k, U_{k+1}))$ where the function $F$ is $C^1$ while $\alpha$ is typically discontinuous and $\{U_k: k \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Alexandre Chotard , Anne Auger

In this paper we study the asymptotic theory for quadratic variation of a harmonizable fractional $\al$-stable process. We show a law of large numbers with a non-ergodic limit and obtain weak convergence towards a L\'evy-driven Rosenblatt…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Mark Podolskij

The event of large losses plays an important role in credit risk. As these large losses are typically rare, and portfolios usually consist of a large number of positions, large deviation theory is the natural tool to analyze the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Vincent Leijdekker , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

In this paper, we propose a variance reduction approach for Markov chains based on additive control variates and the minimization of an appropriate estimate for the asymptotic variance. We focus on the particular case when control variates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Denis Belomestny , Artur Goldman , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov

We consider covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes with functional inputs. From an increasing-domain asymptotics perspective, we prove the asymptotic consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator. We extend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Lucas Reding , Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc

Let $(X_n)$ be a Markov chain on a standard borelian space $\mathbb{X}$. Any stopping time $\tau$ such that $\mathbb{E}_x\tau$ is finite for all $x\in\mathbb{X}$ induces a Markov chain in $\mathbb{X}$. In this article, we show that there is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Jean-Baptiste Boyer

We study a random walk driven by a particle system from a generic class, and establish a law of large numbers for the walk for almost all densities of the environment. To do so, we exploit the finite-ranged approximations of the environment…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Guillaume Conchon--Kerjan , Toril Palaniappan