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Related papers: Identification of multitype branching processes

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We study a critical multitype Bellman--Harris branching particle system in \(\mathbb R^N\) with a finite type space \(\mathbf K=\{1,\dots,K\}\). Particles of type \(I\) move according to a symmetric \(\alpha_i\)-stable process, have…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-29 E. T. Kolkovska , J. A. López-Mimbela , J. H. Ramírez-González

We consider a supercritical branching L\'evy process on the real line. Under mild moment assumptions on the number of offspring and their displacements, we prove a second-order limit theorem on the empirical mean position.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-25 David Cheek , Seva Shneer

This paper derives confidence intervals (CI) and time-uniform confidence sequences (CS) for the classical problem of estimating an unknown mean from bounded observations. We present a general approach for deriving concentration bounds, that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-29 Ian Waudby-Smith , Aaditya Ramdas

This paper is devoted to the study of the general linear hypothesis testing (GLHT) problem of multi-sample high-dimensional mean vectors. For the GLHT problem, we introduce a test statistic based on $L^2$-norm and random integration method,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Mingxiang Cao , Yelong Qiu , Junyong Park

The paper studies a class of critical Markov branching processes with infinite variance of the offspring distribution. The processes admit also an immigration component at the jump-points of a non-homogeneous Poisson process, assuming that…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Kosto V. Mitov , Nikolay M. Yanev

A branching process in random environment $(Z_n, n \in \N)$ is a generalization of Galton Watson processes where at each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly. In this paper we give several results which belong to the class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-15 Vincent Bansaye , Julien Berestycki

We elaborate on the idea that loop corrections to belief propagation could be dealt with in a systematic way on pairwise Markov random fields, by using the elements of a cycle basis to define region in a generalized belief propagation…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-07-20 Cyril Furtlehner , Aurélien Decelle

In this paper, we introduce a fundamental model for independent and identically distributed sequence with model uncertainty on the canonical space $(\mathbb{R}^\mathbb{N},\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^\mathbb{N}))$ via probability kernels. Thanks…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Xiaofan Guo , Xinpeng Li

We construct and study branching Markov processes on the space of finite configurations of the state space of a given standard process, controlled by a branching kernel and a killing one. In particular, we may start with a superprocess,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-03 Lucian Beznea , Oana Lupascu

We study statistical properties of the optimal value and optimal solutions of the Sample Average Approximation of risk averse stochastic problems. Central Limit Theorem type results are derived for the optimal value and optimal solutions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Vincent Guigues , Volker Krätschmer , Alexander Shapiro

Motivated by problems from neuroimaging in which existing approaches make use of "mass univariate" analysis which neglects spatial structure entirely, but the full joint modelling of all quantities of interest is computationally infeasible,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-19 Denishrouf Thesingarajah , Adam M. Johansen

We propose a multilevel Monte Carlo-FEM algorithm to solve elliptic Bayesian inverse problems with "Besov random tree prior". These priors are given by a wavelet series with stochastic coefficients, and certain terms in the expansion…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-03 Andreas Stein , Viet Ha Hoang

This paper introduces a practical sampling method for training surrogate models in the context of uncertainty propagation. We propose a heuristic method to uniformly draw samples within highest density regions of the density given by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Jocelyn Minini , Micha Wasem

We study the matrix discrepancy problem in the average-case setting. Given a sequence of $m \times m$ symmetric matrices $A_1,\ldots,A_n$, its discrepancy is defined as the minimal spectral norm over all signed sums $\sum_{i=1}^n x_iA_i$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Dmitriy Kunisky , Timm Oertel , Nicola Wengiel , Peiyuan Zhang

We study the harmonic moments of Galton-Watson processes, possibly non homogeneous, with positive values. Good estimates of these are needed to compute unbiased estimators for non canonical branching Markov processes, which occur, for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Didier Piau

Branching processes form an important family of stochastic processes that have been successfully applied in many fields. In this paper, we focus our attention on controlled multi-type branching processes (CMBPs). A Feller-type diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-13 Matyas Barczy , Miguel González , Pedro Martín-Chávez , Inés del Puerto

We consider Gaussian and bootstrap approximations for the supremum of additive functionals of aperiodic Harris recurrent Markov chains. The supremum is taken over a function class that may depend on the sample size, which allows for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Kyuseong Choi , Gabriella Ciolek

This article describes a multivariate polynomial regression method where the uncertainty of the input parameters are approximated with Gaussian distributions, derived from the central limit theorem for large weighted sums, directly from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-04 Peter Kovesarki , Ian C. Brock

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods provide an essential tool in statistics for sampling from complex probability distributions. While the standard approach to MCMC involves constructing discrete-time reversible Markov chains whose transition…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-29 Joris Bierkens , Andrew Duncan

We consider the efficient use of an approximation within Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), with subsequent importance sampling (IS) correction of the Markov chain inexact output, leading to asymptotically exact inference. We detail…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-15 Jordan Franks
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