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In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

We develop a family of accelerated stochastic algorithms that minimize sums of convex functions. Our algorithms improve upon the fastest running time for empirical risk minimization (ERM), and in particular linear least-squares regression,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-25 Roy Frostig , Rong Ge , Sham M. Kakade , Aaron Sidford

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

We consider non-parametric estimation problems in the presence of dependent data, notably non-parametric regression with random design and non-parametric density estimation. The proposed estimation procedure is based on a dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Nicolas Asin , Jan Johannes

In this paper, we consider adaptive estimation of an unknown planar compact, convex set from noisy measurements of its support function on a uniform grid. Both the problem of estimating the support function at a point and that of estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-18 Tony Cai , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Yuting Wei

With regard to a three-step estimation procedure, proposed without theoretical discussion by Li and You in Journal of Applied Statistics and Management, for a nonparametric regression model with time-varying regression function, local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Jiyanglin Li , Tao Li

In the area of sparse recovery, numerous researches hint that non-convex penalties might induce better sparsity than convex ones, but up until now those corresponding non-convex algorithms lack convergence guarantees from the initial…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-29 Laming Chen , Yuantao Gu

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating parameters of a linear regression model. Using a hybrid systems framework, a hybrid algorithm is proposed allowing the estimate to converge to the exact value of the unknown parameters in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-04 Adnane Saoud , Ryan S. Johnson , Ricardo G. Sanfelice

Model predictive control solves a constrained optimization problem online in order to compute an implicit closed-loop control policy. Recursive feasibility -- guaranteeing that the optimal control problem will have a solution at every time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Jacob W. Knaup , Panagiotis Tsiotras

This paper is devoted to the class of paraconvex functions and presents some of its fundamental properties, characterization, and examples that can be used for their recognition and optimization. Next, the convergence analysis of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Morteza Rahimi , Susan Ghaderi , Yves Moreau , Masoud Ahookhosh

In this paper, we propose an improved numerical algorithm for solving minimax problems based on nonsmooth optimization, quadratic programming and iterative process. We also provide a rigorous proof of convergence for our algorithm under…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Qing Xu , Xiaohua Xuan

This paper investigates the optimality analysis of the recursive least-squares (RLS) algorithm for autoregressive systems with exogenous inputs (ARX systems). A key challenge in analyzing is managing the potential unboundedness of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Xingrui Liu , Jieming Ke , Yanlong Zhao

The Lasso is a popular model selection and estimation procedure for linear models that enjoys nice theoretical properties. In this paper, we study the Lasso estimator for fitting autoregressive time series models. We adopt a double…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-09 Yuval Nardi , Alessandro Rinaldo

We present the first minimax risk bounds for estimators of the spectral measure in multivariate linear factor models, where observations are linear combinations of regularly varying latent factors. Non-asymptotic convergence rates are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Youssef Marzouk , Viet Anh Nguyen , Sven Wang

We propose an accelerated meta-algorithm, which allows to obtain accelerated methods for convex unconstrained minimization in different settings. As an application of the general scheme we propose nearly optimal methods for minimizing…

An autoregressive process with Markov regime is an autoregressive process for which the regression function at each time point is given by a nonobservable Markov chain. In this paper we consider the asymptotic properties of the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Tobias Ryden

For statistical inference of means of stationary processes, one needs to estimate their time-average variance constants (TAVC) or long-run variances. For a stationary process, its TAVC is the sum of all its covariances and it is a multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-01 Wei Biao Wu

In this work, we approach the minimization of a continuously differentiable convex function under linear equality constraints by a second-order dynamical system with an asymptotically vanishing damping term. The system under consideration…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-15 David Alexander Hulett , Dang-Khoa Nguyen

We analyze the convergence rate of the monotone accelerated proximal gradient method, which can be used to solve structured convex composite optimization problems. A linear convergence rate is established when the smooth part of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Zepeng Wang , Juan Peypouquet

There are many time series in the literature with high dimension yet limited sample sizes, such as macroeconomic variables, and it is almost impossible to obtain efficient estimation and accurate prediction by using the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li
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