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A parametric theory of statistical inference is developed for the moderate deviation probability zone. The new approach to the proofs is based on the Taylor series expansion of the logarithm of the likelihood ratio based on the Hellinger…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Mikhail Ermakov

Precise asymptotics for moderate deviation probabilities are established for open convex sets in both the finite- and infinite-dimensional settings. Our results are based on the existence of dominating points for these sets, a related…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Uwe Einmahl , James Kuelbs

This is basically a polished presentation for Sections 1,2 of arXiv:0801.1050. The Moderate Deviations Principle (MDP) is well-understood for sums of independent random variables, worse understood for stationary random sequences, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Boris Tsirelson

Importance sampling has become an important tool for the computation of tail-based risk measures. Since such quantities are often determined mainly by rare events standard Monte Carlo can be inefficient and importance sampling provides a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-29 Pierre Nyquist

We prove two Large deviations principles (LDP) in the zone of moderate deviation probabilities. First we establish LDP for the conditional distributions of moderate deviations of empirical bootstrap measures given empirical probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-22 Mikhail Ermakov

We derive out naturally some important distributions such as high order normal distributions and high order exponent distributions and the Gamma distribution from a geometrical way. Further, we obtain the exact mean-values of integral form…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-04 Cheng-shi Liu

Probabilistic submeasures generalizing the classical (numerical) submeasures are introduced and discussed in connection with some classes of aggregation functions. A special attention is paid to triangular norm-based probabilistic…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2012-07-12 Lenka Halčinová , Ondrej Hutník , Radko Mesiar

Geometric tempering is a popular approach to sampling from challenging multi-modal probability distributions by instead sampling from a sequence of distributions which interpolate, using the geometric mean, between an easier proposal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-09 Omar Chehab , Anna Korba , Austin Stromme , Adrien Vacher

A generalization of expectiles for d-dimensional multivariate distribution functions is introduced. The resulting geometric expectiles are unique solutions to a convex risk minimization problem and are given by d-dimensional vectors. They…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-19 Klaus Herrmann , Marius Hofert , Melina Mailhot

We establish a moderate deviation principle for the maximum likelihood estimator of the four parameters of a geometrically ergodic Heston process. We also obtain moderate deviations for the maximum likelihood estimator of the couple of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-26 Marie du Roy de Chaumaray

We introduce a notion of geometric tempering using exponentially-dampened Mittag-Leffler tempering functions and closely investigate the univariate case. Characteristic exponents and cumulants are calculated, as well as spectral densities.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-26 Lorenzo Torricelli

Moderate deviation principles (MDPs) for random walks on covering graphs with groups of polynomial volume growth are discussed in a geometric point of view. They deal with any intermediate spatial scalings between those of laws of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-12 Ryuya Namba

We find large deviation principles for the degree distribution and the proportion of isolated vertices for the near intermediate random geometric graph models on n vertices placed uniformly in [0, 1]^d, for d in N. In the course of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-13 Kwabena Doku-Amponsah

The work of Gantert, Kim, and Ramanan [Large deviations for random projections of $\ell^p$ balls, Ann. Probab. 45 (6B), 2017] has initiated and inspired a new direction of research in the asymptotic theory of geometric functional analysis.…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Joscha Prochno

Moderate deviation principles for empirical measure processes associated with weakly interacting Markov processes are established. Two families of models are considered: the first corresponds to a system of interacting diffusions whereas…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-09 Amarjit Budhiraja , Ruoyu Wu

We establish Gaussian limits for general measures induced by binomial and Poisson point processes in d-dimensional space. The limiting Gaussian field has a covariance functional which depends on the density of the point process. The general…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yu. Baryshnikov , J. E. Yukich

Consider a population of individuals belonging to an infinity number of types, and assume that type proportions follow the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet distribution. A sample of size n is selected from the population. The total number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Stefano Favaro , Shui Feng , Fuqing Gao

In this paper we prove large and moderate deviations principles for the recursive kernel estimator of a probability density function and its partial derivatives. Unlike the density estimator, the derivatives estimators exhibit a quadratic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Abdelkader Mokkadem , Mariane Pelletier , Baba Thiam

Several new geometric quantile-based measures for multivariate dispersion, skewness, kurtosis, and spherical asymmetry are defined. These measures differ from existing measures, which use volumes and are easy to calculate. Some theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Ha-Young Shin , Hee-Seok Oh

We consider a stable but nearly unstable autoregressive process of any order. The bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with spectral radius $\rho(A_{n}) < 1$ satisfying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Frédéric Proïa