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In this study, we develop a stochastic optimal control approach with reinforcement learning structure to learn the unknown parameters appeared in the drift and diffusion terms of the stochastic differential equation. By choosing an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-22 Shuzhen Yang

We study the problem of unbiased estimation of expectations with respect to (w.r.t.) $\pi$ a given, general probability measure on $(\mathbb{R}^d,\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^d))$ that is absolutely continuous with respect to a standard Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Hamza Ruzayqat , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

We consider the problem of frequency estimation by observations of the periodic diffusion process possesing ergodic properties in two different situations. The first one corresponds to continuously differentiable with respect to parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-30 Reinhard Höpfner , Yury A Kutoyants

We study a regulation problem for stochastic systems subject to both continuous fluctuations and rare but significant shocks, modeled as a jump-diffusion with uncertainty in both the drift and the jump intensity. Such settings arise in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Abel Azze , Bernardo D'Auria , Giorgio Ferrari

While many real-world data streams imply that they change frequently in a nonstationary way, most of deep learning methods optimize neural networks on training data, and this leads to severe performance degradation when dataset shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Wonju Lee , Seok-Yong Byun , Jooeun Kim , Minje Park , Kirill Chechil

The paper is a full version of the short presentation in \cite{amv17}. Ergodic control for one-dimensional controlled diffusion is tackled; both drift and diffusion coefficients may depend on a strategy which is assumed markovian. Ergodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Svetlana Anulova , Hilmar Mai , Alexander Veretennikov

We prove the asymptotic normality of the discretized maximum likelihood estimator for the drift parameter in the homogeneous ergodic diffusion model.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Kostiantyn Ralchenko

This paper presents several situations leading to the observation of multiple correlated copies of a drifted process, and then non-asymptotic risk bounds are established on nonparametric estimators of the drift function $b_0$ and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Nicolas Marie

The paper explores the challenges of regression analysis in evolving data streams, an area that remains relatively underexplored compared to classification. We propose a standardized evaluation process for regression and prediction interval…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Yibin Sun , Heitor Murilo Gomes , Bernhard Pfahringer , Albert Bifet

We consider nonlinear drift-diffusion equations (both porous medium equations and fast diffusion equations) with a measure-valued external force. We establish existence of nonnegative weak solutions satisfying gradient estimates, provided…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-01-15 Sukjung Hwang , Kyungkeun Kang , Hwa Kil Kim , Jung-Tae Park

With today's abundant streams of data, the only constant we can rely on is change. For stream classification algorithms, it is necessary to adapt to concept drift. This can be achieved by monitoring the model error, and triggering counter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Lukas Fleckenstein , Sebastian Kauschke , Johannes Fürnkranz

When learning from streaming data, a change in the data distribution, also known as concept drift, can render a previously-learned model inaccurate and require training a new model. We present an adaptive learning algorithm that extends…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Ashraf Tahmasbi , Ellango Jothimurugesan , Srikanta Tirthapura , Phillip B. Gibbons

We address the variational formulation of the risk-sensitive reward problem for non-degenerate diffusions on $\mathbb{R}^d$ controlled through the drift. We establish a variational formula on the whole space and also show that the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Ari Arapostathis , Anup Biswas , Vivek S. Borkar , K. Suresh Kumar

Ergodic Optimization is the process of finding invariant probability measures that maximize the integral of a given function. It has been conjectured that "most" functions are optimized by measures supported on a periodic orbit, and it has…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Anthony Quas , Jason Siefken

We consider parametric tests for multidimensional ergodic diffusions based on high frequency data. We propose two-step testing method for diffusion parameters and drift parameters. To construct test statistics of the tests, we utilize the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Tetsuya Kawai , Masayuki Uchida

We consider the problem of the Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion coefficient functions in a stochastic differential equation given discrete observations of a realisation of its solution. We give conditions for the well-posedness and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Jean-Charles Croix , Masoumeh Dashti , Istvàn Zoltàn Kiss

This paper is the third part of our study started with Cattiaux, Le\'{o}n and Prieur [Stochastic Process. Appl. 124 (2014) 1236-1260; ALEA Lat. Am. J. Probab. Math. Stat. 11 (2014) 359-384]. For some ergodic Hamiltonian systems, we obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Patrick Cattiaux , José R. León , Clémentine Prieur

We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Alexandre Lecestre

A one dimensional diffusion process $X=\{X_t, 0\leq t \leq T\}$, with drift $b(x)$ and diffusion coefficient $\sigma(\theta, x)=\sqrt{\theta} \sigma(x)$ known up to $\theta>0$, is supposed to switch volatility regime at some point $t^*\in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-20 A. De Gregorio , S. M. Iacus

The smoothing distribution is the conditional distribution of the diffusion process in the space of trajectories given noisy observations made continuously in time. It is generally difficult to sample from this distribution. We use the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Oskar Eklund , Annika Lang , Moritz Schauer
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