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We study large deviations for random walks on stratified (Carnot) Lie groups. For such groups, there is a natural collection of vectors which generates their Lie algebra, and we consider random walks with increments in only these…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-16 Maria Gordina , Tai Melcher , Dan Mikulincer , Jing Wang

We provide a direct proof of Cram\'er's theorem for geodesic random walks in a complete Riemannian manifold $(M,g)$. We show how to exploit the vector space structure of the tangent spaces to study large deviation properties of geodesic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Rik Versendaal

This article is devoted to the study of tail index estimation based on i.i.d. multivariate observations, drawn from a standard heavy-tailed distribution, i.e. of which 1-d Pareto-like marginals share the same tail index. A multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Stéphan Clémençon , Antoine Dematteo

Conservative and semiconservative random walks in $\mathbb{Z}^d$ were introduced and studied in [V.M. Abramov, J. Theor. Probab. (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10959-017-0747-3]. In the present paper, we extend these concepts for random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-08 Vyacheslav M. Abramov

Motivated by applications to insurance mathematics, we prove some heavy-traffic limit theorems for process which encompass the fractionally integrated random walk as well as some FARIMA processes, when the innovations are in the domain of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-25 Ph. Barbe , W. P. McCormick

We study the full distribution $P_M(S)$ of the number of distinct sites $S$ visited by a random walker on a $d$-dimensional lattice after $M$ steps. We focus on the case $d \ge 2$, and we are interested in the long-time limit $M \gg 1$. Our…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-16 Naftali R. Smith

We study a random walk on a complex of finitely many half-lines joined at a common origin; jumps are heavy-tailed and of two types, either one-sided (towards the origin) or two-sided (symmetric). Transmission between half-lines via the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Mikhail V. Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis , Andrew R. Wade

We consider a ballistic random walk in an i.i.d. random environment that does not allow retreating in a certain fixed direction. Homogenization and regeneration techniques combine to prove a law of large numbers and an averaged invariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 F. Rassoul-Agha , T. Seppalainen

We propose a class of strongly efficient rare event simulation estimators for random walks and compound Poisson processes with a regularly varying increment/jump-size distribution in a general large deviations regime. Our estimator is based…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-14 Bohan Chen , Jose Blanchet , Chang-Han Rhee , Bert Zwart

This paper investigates L\'evy walks with random velocities, extending classical models beyond constant speed assumptions. We derive scaling limits, demonstrating that diffusion depends on interplay between heavy-tailed duration and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Hubert Woszczek , Marek A. Teuerle , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

Recently observation of random walks in complex environments like the cell and other glassy systems revealed that the spreading of particles, at its tails, follows a spatial exponential decay instead of the canonical Gaussian. We use the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-23 Wanli Wang , Eli Barkai , Stanislav Burov

We obtain concentration and large deviation for the sums of independent and identically distributed random variables with heavy-tailed distributions. Our concentration results are concerned with random variables whose distributions satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Milad Bakhshizadeh , Arian Maleki , Victor H. de la Pena

The so-called partition function is a sample moment statistic based on blocks of data and it is often used in the context of multifractal processes. It will be shown that its behaviour is strongly influenced by the tail of the distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-02 Danijel Grahovac , Mofei Jia , Nikolai N. Leonenko , Emanuele Taufer

In this paper we characterize the limiting behavior of sums of extreme values of long range dependent sequences defined as functionals of linear processes with finite variance. The extremal sums behave completely different by compared to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rafal Kulik

Levy walks are random processes with an underlying spatiotemporal coupling. This coupling penalizes long jumps, and therefore Levy walks give a proper stochastic description for a particle's motion with broad jump length distribution. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Igor M. Sokolov , Ralf Metzler

We analyze a class of linear partial differential equations that arise as deterministic descriptions of the scaling limits of L\'evy walks, in which transport is driven by a convex combination of fractional material derivatives and a source…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Łukasz Płociniczak , Marek A. Teuerle , Hubert Woszczek

In this paper we discuss the problem of the estimation of extreme event occurrence probability for data drawn from some multifractal process. We also study the heavy (power-law) tail behavior of probability density function associated with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jean-Francois Muzy , Emmanuel Bacry , Alexey Kozhemyak

Veraverbeke's (1977) theorem relates the tail of the distribution of the supremum of a random walk with negative drift to the tail of the distribution of its increments, or equivalently, the probability that a centered random walk with…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-26 Philippe Barbe , Bill McCormick

Weak convergence of various general functionals of partial sums of dependent random variables to stochastic integral now play a major role in the modern statistics theory. In this paper, we obtain the weak convergence of various general…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-03 Zheng-Yan Lin , Han-Chao Wang

We consider the general branching random walk under minimal assumptions, which in particular guarantee that the empirical particle distribution admits an almost sure central limit theorem. For such a process, we study the large time decay…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Oren Louidor , Eliad Tsairi