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Markov chain Monte Carlo is widely used in a variety of scientific applications to generate approximate samples from intractable distributions. A thorough understanding of the convergence and mixing properties of these Markov chains can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-23 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Kshitij Khare

We investigate three different methods for systematically approximating the diffusion coefficient of a deterministic random walk on the line which contains dynamical correlations that change irregularly under parameter variation. Capturing…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-28 Georgie Knight , Rainer Klages

We derive Edgeworth expansions that describe corrections to the Gaussian limiting behaviour of slow-fast systems. The Edgeworth expansion is achieved using a semi-group formalism for the transfer operator, where a Duhamel-Dyson series is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-02-05 Jeroen Wouters , Georg A. Gottwald

In this paper a new estimator for the transition density $\pi$ of an homogeneous Markov chain is considered. We introduce an original contrast derived from regression framework and we use a model selection method to estimate $\pi$ under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Claire Lacour

The aim of this paper is to propose diffusion strategies for distributed estimation over adaptive networks, assuming the presence of spatially correlated measurements distributed according to a Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) model. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-22 Paolo Di Lorenzo

Continuous diffusion models have demonstrated remarkable performance in data generation across various domains, yet their efficiency remains constrained by two critical limitations: (1) the local adjacency structure of the forward Markov…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-29 Xunpeng Huang , Yingyu Lin , Nikki Lijing Kuang , Hanze Dong , Difan Zou , Yian Ma , Tong Zhang

In this work, we consider rather general and broad class of Markov chains, Ito chains, that look like Euler-Maryama discretization of some Stochastic Differential Equation. The chain we study is a unified framework for theoretical analysis.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Aleksei Ustimenko , Aleksandr Beznosikov

We study the weak approximation error of a skew diffusion with bounded measurable drift and H\"older diffusion coefficient by an Euler-type scheme, which consists of iteratively simulating skew Brownian motions with constant drift. We first…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-30 Noufel Frikha

Network method of moments arXiv:1202.5101 is an important tool for nonparametric network inference. However, there has been little investigation on accurate descriptions of the sampling distributions of network moment statistics. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-09 Yuan Zhang , Dong Xia

Consider a sequence (indexed by n) of Markov chains Z^n in R^d characterized by transition kernels that approximately (in n) depend only on the rescaled state n^{-1} Z^n. Subject to a smoothness condition, such a family can be closely…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-17 Kamil Szczegot

We provide a criterion for establishing lower bounds on the rate of convergence in $f$-variation of a continuous-time ergodic Markov process to its invariant measure. The criterion consists of novel super- and submartingale conditions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Miha Brešar , Aleksandar Mijatović

We prove the convergence of the law of grid-valued random walks, which can be seen as time-space Markov chains, to the law of a general diffusion process. This includes processes with sticky features, reflecting or absorbing boundaries and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-15 Alexis Anagnostakis , Antoine Lejay , Denis Villemonais

In this work we investigate the multivariate statistical description of the matter distribution in the nonlinear regime. We introduce the multivariate Edgeworth expansion of the lognormal distribution to model the cosmological matter field.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 F. S. Kitaura

The explicit criteria for several types of ergodicity of one-dimensional diffusions or birth-death processes have been found out recently in a surprisingly short period. One of the criteria is for exponential ergodicity of birth-death…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mu-Fa chen

We consider the parameter estimation of Markov chain when the unknown transition matrix belongs to an exponential family of transition matrices. Then, we show that the sample mean of the generator of the exponential family is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Masahito Hayashi , Shun Watanabe

We develop a higher-order asymptotic analysis for the semi-hard triplet loss using the Edgeworth expansion. It is known that this loss function enforces that embeddings of similar samples are close while those of dissimilar samples are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-18 Masanari Kimura

Estimation of parameters of a diffusion based on discrete time observations poses a difficult problem due to the lack of a closed form expression for the likelihood. From a Bayesian computational perspective it can be casted as a missing…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-30 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

In this work, we propose \texttt{TimeGrad}, an autoregressive model for multivariate probabilistic time series forecasting which samples from the data distribution at each time step by estimating its gradient. To this end, we use diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Kashif Rasul , Calvin Seward , Ingmar Schuster , Roland Vollgraf

In this article, we consider diffusion approximations for a general class of stochastic recursions. Such recursions arise as models for population growth, genetics, financial securities, multiplicative time series, numerical schemes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-13 David Kelly

The Wright--Fisher diffusion is important in population genetics in modelling the evolution of allele frequencies over time subject to the influence of biological phenomena such as selection, mutation, and genetic drift. Simulating paths of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-16 Jaromir Sant , Paul A. Jenkins , Jere Koskela , Dario Spanò