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Engineering simulations using boundary-value partial differential equations often implicitly assume that the uncertainty in the location of the boundary has a negligible impact on the output of the simulation. In this work, we develop a…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-11 S. Gerry Gralton , Farah Alkhatib , Ben Zwick , George Bourantas , Adam Wittek , Karol Miller

We revisit the problem of parameter estimation for discrete probability distributions with values in $\mathbb{Z}^d$. To this end, we adapt a technique called Stein's Method of Moments to discrete distributions which often gives closed-form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Adrian Fischer

Robust Bayesian analysis has been mainly devoted to detecting and measuring robustness w.r.t. the prior distribution. Many contributions in the literature aim to define suitable classes of priors which allow the computation of variations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Antonio Di Noia , Fabrizio Ruggeri , Antonietta Mira

In many fields of science, generalized likelihood ratio tests are established tools for statistical inference. At the same time, it has become increasingly common that a simulator (or generative model) is used to describe complex processes…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-21 Kyle Cranmer , Juan Pavez , Gilles Louppe

Regression classes modeling more than the mean of the response have found a lot of attention in the last years. Expectile regression is a special and computationally convenient case of this family of models. Expectiles offer a quantile-like…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-19 Elisabeth Waldmann , Fabian Sobotka , Thomas Kneib

The aim of this paper is to give fine asymptotics for random variables with moments of Gamma type. Among the examples we consider are random determinants of Laguerre and Jacobi beta ensembles with varying dimensions (the number of observed…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-19 Peter Eichelsbacher , Lukas Knichel

Smooth linear statistics of random permutation matrices, sampled under a general Ewens distribution, exhibit an interesting non-universality phenomenon. Though they have bounded variance, their fluctuations are asymptotically non-Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-13 Gérard Ben Arous , Kim Dang

We investigate small deviation properties of Gaussian random fields in the space $L_q(\R^N,\mu)$ where $\mu$ is an arbitrary finite compactly supported Borel measure. Of special interest are hereby "thin" measures $\mu$, i.e., those which…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mikhail Lifshits , Werner Linde , Zhan Shi

Current statistics literature on statistical inference of random fields typically assumes that the fields are stationary or focuses on models of non-stationary Gaussian fields with parametric/semiparametric covariance families, which may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Yunyi Zhang , Zhou Zhou

We consider a stochastic process model with time trend and measurement error. We establish consistency and derive the limiting distributions of the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators of the covariance function parameters under a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Jakob Lindinger , David Reeb , Christoph Lippert , Barbara Rakitsch

In this paper, we consider a classic problem concerning the high excursion probabilities of a Gaussian random field $f$ living on a compact set $T$. We develop efficient computational methods for the tail probabilities $P(\sup_T f(t) > b)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Xiaoou Li , Jingchen Liu

We consider a general class of statistical experiments, in which an $n$-dimensional centered Gaussian random variable is observed and its covariance matrix is the parameter of interest. The covariance matrix is assumed to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Cristina Butucea , Alexander Meister , Angelika Rohde

We recalculate the beta functions of higher derivative gravity in four dimensions using the one--loop approximation to an Exact Renormalization Group Equation. We reproduce the beta functions of the dimensionless couplings that were known…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 A. Codello , R. Percacci

We study Bayesian inference methods for solving linear inverse problems, focusing on hierarchical formulations where the prior or the likelihood function depend on unspecified hyperparameters. In practice, these hyperparameters are often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Qingping Zhou , Wenqing Liu , Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

Radiance fields are powerful and, hence, popular models for representing the appearance of complex scenes. Yet, constructing them based on image observations gives rise to ambiguities and uncertainties. We propose a versatile approach for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Linjie Lyu , Ayush Tewari , Marc Habermann , Shunsuke Saito , Michael Zollhöfer , Thomas Leimkühler , Christian Theobalt

Strongly consistent estimates are shown, via relative frequency, for the probability of "white balls" inside a dichotomous urn when such a probability is an arbitrary continuous time dependent function over a bounded time interval. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-20 Silvano Fiorin

We conduct non-asymptotic analysis on the mean-field variational inference for approximating posterior distributions in complex Bayesian models that may involve latent variables. We show that the mean-field approximation to the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-06 Wei Han , Yun Yang

It is common to model a deterministic response function, such as the output of a computer experiment, as a Gaussian process with a Mat\'ern covariance kernel. The smoothness parameter of a Mat\'ern kernel determines many important…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Toni Karvonen

We consider the problem of estimating the error variance in a general linear model when the error distribution is assumed to be spherically symmetric, but not necessary Gaussian. In particular we study the case of a scale mixture of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-18 Yuzo Maruyama , William E. Strawderman
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