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Many inverse problems require reconstructing physical fields from limited and noisy data while incorporating known governing equations. A growing body of work within probabilistic numerics formalizes such tasks via Bayesian inference in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-19 Alex Alberts , Ilias Bilionis

In the setting of stochastic Volterra equations, and in particular rough volatility models, we show that conditional expectations are the unique classical solutions to path-dependent PDEs. The latter arise from the functional It\^o formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Ofelia Bonesini , Antoine Jacquier , Alexandre Pannier

A novel approach to account for hard-body interactions in (overdamped) Brownian dynamics simulations is proposed for systems with non-vanishing force fields. The scheme exploits the analytically known transition probability for a Brownian…

Computational Physics · Physics 2012-11-07 Hans Behringer , Ralf Eichhorn

In this paper, we present several path properties, simulations, inferences, and generalizations of the weighted sub-fractional Brownian motion. A primary focus is on the derivation of the covariance function $R_{f,b}(s,t)$ for the weighted…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Ramirez-Gonzalez Jose Hermenegildo , Sun Ying

Large classes of multi-dimensional Gaussian processes can be enhanced with stochastic Levy area(s). In a previous paper, we gave sufficient and essentially necessary conditions, only involving variational properties of the covariance.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Peter Friz , Nicolas Victoir

This paper develops an It\^o-type fractional pathwise integration theory for fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameters \( H \in (\frac{1}{3}, \frac{1}{2}] \), using the Lyons' rough path framework. This approach is designed to fill…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Zhongmin Qian , Xingcheng Xu

We study the convergence in rough path topology of a certain class of discrete processes, the hidden Markov walks, to a Brownian motion with an area anomaly. This area anomaly, which is a new object, keeps track of the time-correlation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-20 Olga Lopusanschi , Damien Simon

Billera-Holmes-Vogtmann (BHV) tree space is a geodesic metric space of edge-weighted phylogenetic trees with a fixed leaf set. Constructing parametric distributions on this space is challenging due to its non-Euclidean geometry and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-30 William M. Woodman , Tom M. W. Nye

Since diffusion processes arise in so many different fields, efficient tech-nics for the simulation of sample paths, like discretization schemes, represent crucial tools in applied probability. Such methods permit to obtain approximations…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-22 Samuel Herrmann , Cristina Zucca

We introduce a simulation-based, amortised Bayesian inference scheme to infer the parameters of random walks. Our approach learns the posterior distribution of the walks' parameters with a likelihood-free method. In the first step a graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Hippolyte Verdier , François Laurent , Alhassan Cassé , Christian Vestergaard , Jean-Baptiste Masson

In this article integro-differential Volterra equations whose convolution kernel depends on the vector variable are considered and a connection of these equations with a class of semi-Markov processes is established. The variable order…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Mladen Savov , Bruno Toaldo

The classical inverse first passage time problem asks whether, for a Brownian motion $(B_t)_{t\geq 0}$ and a positive random variable $\xi$, there exists a barrier $b:\mathbb{R}_+\to\mathbb{R}$ such that $\mathbb{P}\{B_s>b(s), 0\leq s \leq…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-18 Boris Ettinger , Alexandru Hening , Tak Kwong Wong

We generalize Lyons' rough paths theory in order to give a pathwise meaning to some nonlinear infinite-dimensional evolution equation associated to an analytic semigroup and driven by an irregular noise. As an illustration, we discuss a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-26 Massimiliano Gubinelli , Samy Tindel

We study the recovery of one-dimensional semipermeable barriers for a stochastic process in a planar domain. The considered process acts like Brownian motion when away from the barriers and is reflected upon contact until a sufficient but…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Alexander Van Werde , Jaron Sanders

We investigate the process of eigenvalues of a symmetric matrix-valued process which upper diagonal entries are independent one-dimensional H\"older continuous Gaussian processes of order gamma in (1/2,1). Using the stochastic calculus with…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-29 David Nualart , Victor Pérez-Abreu

The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

We propose a novel stochastic method to generate Brownian paths conditioned to start at an initial point and end at a given final point during a fixed time $t_{f}$ under a given potential $U(x)$. These paths are sampled with a probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-24 Marc Delarue , Patrice Koehl , Henri Orland

In this paper, we first prove that the local time associated with symmetric $\alpha$-stable processes is of bounded $p$-variation for any $p>\frac{2}{\alpha-1}$ partly based on Barlow's estimation of the modulus of the local time of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-09 Qingfeng Wang , Huaizhong Zhao

The question how the extremal values of a stochastic process achieved on different time intervals are correlated to each other has been discussed within the last few years on examples of the running maximum of a Brownian motion, of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-04 Brandon Annesi , Enzo Marinari , Gleb Oshanin

It is considered the integrated process $X(t)= x + \int _0^t Y(s) ds ,$ where $Y(t)$ is a Gauss-Markov process starting from $y.$ The first-passage time (FPT) of $X$ through a constant boundary and the first-exit time of $X$ from an…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Mario Abundo