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Identifying and quantifying memory are often critical steps in developing a mechanistic understanding of stochastic processes. These are particularly challenging and necessary when exploring processes that exhibit long-range correlations.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-20 Sarah E. Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

We present a purely deep neural network-based approach for estimating long memory parameters of time series models that incorporate the phenomenon of long-range dependence. Parameters, such as the Hurst exponent, are critical in…

We find the asymptotic distribution of the sample autocovariances of long-memory processes in cases of finite and infinite fourth moment. Depending on the interplay of assumptions on moments and the intensity of dependence, there are three…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Lajos Horváth , Piotr Kokoszka

Human close-range proximity interactions are the key determinant for spreading processes like knowledge diffusion, norm adoption, and infectious disease transmission. These dynamical processes can be modeled with time-respecting paths on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-28 Silvia Guerrini , Ciro Cattuto , Lorenzo Dall'Amico

Memory-augmented neural networks consisting of a neural controller and an external memory have shown potentials in long-term sequential learning. Current RAM-like memory models maintain memory accessing every timesteps, thus they do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-21 Hung Le , Truyen Tran , Svetha Venkatesh

The orientational memory of particles can serve as an effective measure of diffusivity, spreading, and search efficiency in complex stochastic processes. We develop a theoretical framework to describe the decay of directional correlations…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-09-05 Zeinab Sadjadi , M. Reza Shaebani

In this paper we give simple sufficient conditions for linear type processes with short memory that imply the invariance principle. Various examples including projective criterion are considered as applications. In particular, we treat the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

Direct reciprocity is a wide-spread mechanism for evolution of cooperation. In repeated interactions, players can condition their behavior on previous outcomes. A well known approach is given by reactive strategies, which respond to the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Nikoleta E. Glynatsi , Martin A. Nowak , Christian Hilbe

Continuous-time event data are common in applications such as individual behavior data, financial transactions, and medical health records. Modeling such data can be very challenging, in particular for applications with many different types…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Alex Boyd , Robert Bamler , Stephan Mandt , Padhraic Smyth

Memory is often defined as the mental capacity of retaining information about facts, events, procedures and more generally about any type of previous experience. Memories are remembered as long as they influence our thoughts, feelings, and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-06-16 Stefano Fusi

The article discusses a generalization of model of economic growth with constant pace, which takes into account the effects of dynamic memory. Memory means that endogenous or exogenous variable at a given time depends not only on their…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-04 Valentina V. Tarasova , Vasily E. Tarasov

Most present applications of time-dependent density functional theory use adiabatic functionals, i.e. the effective potential at time t is determined solely by the density at the same time. This paper discusses a method that aims to go…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2009-11-10 Yair Kurzweil , Roi Baer

We introduce a general theory on stationary approximations for locally stationary continuous-time processes. Based on the stationary approximation, we use $\theta$-weak dependence to establish laws of large numbers and central limit type…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Robert Stelzer , Bennet Ströh

Many biological, social and man-made systems are better described in terms of temporal networks, i.e. networks whose links are only present at certain points in time, rather than by static ones. In particular, it has been found that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-22 Oliver E. Williams , Fabrizio Lillo , Vito Latora

We propose a single chunk model of long-term memory that combines the basic features of the ACT-R theory and the multiple trace memory architecture. The pivot point of the developed theory is a mathematical description of the creation of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-18 Ihor Lubashevsky , Bohdan Datsko

We study stationarity and moments properties of some count time series models from contraction and stability properties of iterated random maps. Both univariate and multivariate processes are considered, including the recent multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Zinsou Max Debaly , Lionel Truquet

We investigate the presence of memory in the sequential measurement statistics of an open quantum system, as witnessed by the departure from the quantum regression theorem (QRT), that is, the possibility to predict multitime probabilities…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-08 Paolo Luppi , Claudia Benedetti , Andrea Smirne

We extend the recently developed generalized Floquet theory [Phys. Rev. Lett. 110, 170602 (2013)] to systems with infinite memory. In particular, we show that a lower asymptotic bound exists for the Floquet exponents associated to such…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-08-20 Fabio L. Traversa , Massimiliano Di Ventra , Federica Cappelluti , Fabrizio Bonani

Catastrophic forgetting of connectionist neural networks is caused by the global sharing of parameters among all training examples. In this study, we analyze parameter sharing under the conditional computation framework where the parameters…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-18 Min Lin , Jie Fu , Yoshua Bengio

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg