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We study the minimax optimal rates for estimating a range of Integral Probability Metrics (IPMs) between two unknown probability measures, based on $n$ independent samples from them. Curiously, we show that estimating the IPM itself between…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-05 Tengyuan Liang

In this paper we study the isoperimetric-type equalities for rosettes, i.e. regular closed planar curves with non-vanishing curvature. We find the exact relations between the length and the oriented area of rosettes based on the oriented…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2020-05-12 M. Zwierzyński

In this article two methods to distinguish between polynomial and exponential tails are introduced. The methods are mainly based on the properties of the residual coefficient of variation for the exponential and non-exponential…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-12-21 Joan del Castillo , Jalila Daoudi , Richard Lockhart

From mostly a measure-theoretic consideration, we show that for every nonnegative, finite, and $L^{1}$ function on a given finite measure space there is some nontrivial sequence of real numbers such that the series, obtained from summing…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Yu-Lin Chou

This paper is an overview of the classical level crossing problem which is studied extensively in the literature and is fundamental in many branches of applied probability. We discuss a number of approximations with an emphasis on their…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Vsevolod Malinovskii

We study large deviation properties of probability distributions with either a compact support or a fat tail by comparing them with q-deformed exponential distributions. Our main result is a large deviation property for probability…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-02 Jan Naudts , Hiroki Suyari

Gaussian Process regression is a kernel method successfully adopted in many real-life applications. Recently, there is a growing interest on extending this method to non-Euclidean input spaces, like the one considered in this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Antonio Candelieri , Andrea Ponti , Francesco Archetti

Ising models originated in statistical physics and are widely used in modeling spatial data and computer vision problems. However, statistical inference of this model remains challenging due to intractable nature of the normalizing constant…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-06 Minwoo Kim , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

The aim of this paper is to investigate extremum problems with pay-off being the total variational distance metric defined on the space of probability measures, subject to linear functional constraints on the space of probability measures,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-01-22 Charalambos D. Charalambous , Ioannis Tzortzis , Sergey Loyka , Themistoklis Charalambous

We establish sharp tail asymptotics for component-wise extreme values of bivariate Gaussian random vectors with arbitrary correlation between the components. We consider two scaling regimes for the tail event in which we demonstrate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Remco van der Hofstad , Harsha Honnappa

We show on theoretical grounds that, even in the presence of noise, probabilistic measurement strategies (which have a certain probability of failure or abstention) can provide, upon a heralded successful outcome, estimates with a precision…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-10-27 J. Calsamiglia , B. Gendra , R. Munoz-Tapia , E. Bagan

Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

We use the local curvature to investigate the possible existence of non-Gaussianity/asymmetry in the WMAP data. Considering the full sky we find results which are consistent with the Gaussian assumption. However, strong non-Gaussian…

Astrophysics · Physics 2010-04-06 Frode K. Hansen , Paolo Cabella , Domenico Marinucci , Nicola Vittorio

We analyze, both analytically and numerically, the time-dependence of the return probability in closed systems of interacting particles. Main attention is paid to the interplay between two regimes, one of which is characterized by the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 F. M. Izrailev , A. Castaneda-Mendoza

We establish upper and lower bounds with matching leading terms for tails of weighted sums of two-sided exponential random variables. This extends Janson's recent results for one-sided exponentials.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Jiawei Li , Tomasz Tkocz

A product of two Gaussians (or normal distributions) is another Gaussian. That's a valuable and useful fact! Here we use it to derive a refactoring of a common product of multivariate Gaussians: The product of a Gaussian likelihood times a…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-01 David W. Hogg , Adrian M. Price-Whelan , Boris Leistedt

We investigate what happens when an entire sample path of a smooth Gaussian process on a compact interval lies above a high level. Specifically, we determine the precise asymptotic probability of such an event, the extent to which the high…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Arijit Chakrabarty , Gennady Samorodnitsky

Most of the modern literature on robust mean estimation focuses on designing estimators which obtain optimal sub-Gaussian concentration bounds under minimal moment assumptions and sometimes also assuming contamination. This work looks at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-30 Lucas Resende

An isoperimetric inequality on the Hamming cube for exponents $\beta\ge 0.50057$ is proved, achieving equality on any subcube. This was previously known for $\beta\ge \log_2(3/2)\approx 0.585$. Improved bounds are also obtained at the…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2024-07-18 Polona Durcik , Paata Ivanisvili , Joris Roos

Probabilistic regression models typically use the Maximum Likelihood Estimation or Cross-Validation to fit parameters. These methods can give an advantage to the solutions that fit observations on average, but they do not pay attention to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-24 Naoufal Acharki , Antoine Bertoncello , Josselin Garnier