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This paper studies a nonlinear filtering problem over an infinite time interval. The signal to be estimated is driven by a stochastic partial differential equation involves unknown parameters. Based on discrete observation, strongly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-12 Qizhu Liang , Jie Xiong , Xingqiu Zhao

The coefficients in a second order parabolic linear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) are estimated from multiple spatially localised measurements. Assuming that the spatial resolution tends to zero and the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Randolf Altmeyer , Anton Tiepner , Martin Wahl

The purpose of this review is to present a comprehensive overview of the theory of ensemble Kalman-Bucy filtering for continuous-time, linear-Gaussian signal and observation models. We present a system of equations that describe the flow of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

We generalize the notion of Gaussian bridges by conditioning Gaussian processes given that certain linear functionals of the sample paths vanish. We show the equivalence of the laws of the unconditioned and the conditioned process and by an…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-05 Maik Gorgens

This paper focuses on inverse problems to identify parameters by incorporating information from measurements. These generally ill-posed problems are formulated here in a probabilistic setting based on Bayes's theorem because it leads to a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-20 Jaroslav Vondřejc , Hermann G. Matthies

A series of recent articles introduced a method to construct stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) which are invariant with respect to the distribution of a given conditioned diffusion. These works are restricted to the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-08 Martin Hairer , Andrew M. Stuart , Jochen Voss

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) have become a key modelling tool in applications. Yet, there are many classes of SPDEs, where the existence and regularity theory for solutions is not completely developed. Here we…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-05 Christian Kuehn , Alexandra Neamtu

In this paper, we investigate a class of approximate Gaussian processes (GP) obtained by taking a linear combination of compactly supported basis functions with the basis coefficients endowed with a dependent Gaussian prior distribution.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Jaehoan Kim , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

We consider a broad class of semilinear SPDEs with multiplicative noise driven by a finite-dimensional Wiener process. We show that, provided that an infinite-dimensional analogue of H\"ormander's bracket condition holds, the Malliavin…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Andris Gerasimovics , Martin Hairer

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) are the mathematical tool of choice for modelling spatiotemporal PDE-dynamics under the influence of randomness. Based on the notion of mild solution of an SPDE, we introduce a novel neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Cristopher Salvi , Maud Lemercier , Andris Gerasimovics

Gaussian processes and random fields have a long history, covering multiple approaches to representing spatial and spatio-temporal dependence structures, such as covariance functions, spectral representations, reproducing kernel Hilbert…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-18 Finn Lindgren , David Bolin , Håvard Rue

We consider divergence form uniformly parabolic SPDEs with VMO bounded leading coefficients, bounded coefficients in the stochastic part, and possibly growing lower-order coefficients in the deterministic part. We look for solutions which…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2010-02-02 N. V. Krylov

Probabilistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) solvers have been introduced over the past decade as uncertainty-aware numerical integrators. They typically proceed by assuming a functional prior to the ODE solution, which is then…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Yvann Le Fay , Simo Särkkä , Adrien Corenflos

This paper introduces SPDE bridges with observation noise and contains an analysis of their spatially semidiscrete approximations. The SPDEs are considered in the form of mild solutions in an abstract Hilbert space framework suitable for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Giulia Di Nunno , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre , Andreas Petersson

This paper is devoted to filtering, smoothing, and prediction of polynomial processes that are partially observed. These problems are known to allow for an explicit solution in the simpler case of linear Gaussian state space models. The key…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Jan Kallsen , Ivo Richert

The solutions to a large class of semi-linear parabolic PDEs are given in terms of expectations of suitable functionals of a tree of branching particles. A sufficient, and in some cases necessary, condition is given for the integrability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 D. Blömker , M. Romito , R. Tribe

Using tools from the theory of random fields with stationary increments, we introduce a new class of processes which can be used as a model for the noise perturbing an SPDE. This type of noise (called harmonizable) is not necessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Raluca M. Balan

A popular approach for modeling and inference in spatial statistics is to represent Gaussian random fields as solutions to stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) of the form $L^{\beta}u = \mathcal{W}$, where $\mathcal{W}$ is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-03 David Bolin , Kristin Kirchner

In the task of predicting spatio-temporal fields in environmental science using statistical methods, introducing statistical models inspired by the physics of the underlying phenomena that are numerically efficient is of growing interest.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Lucia Clarotto , Denis Allard , Thomas Romary , Nicolas Desassis