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The Bou\'e-Dupuis variational formula gives a representation for log Laplace transforms of bounded measurable functions of a finite dimensional Brownian motion on a compact time interval as an infimum of a suitable cost over a collection of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-05 A. Budhiraja

Gaussian Processes (GPs) offer an attractive method for regression over small, structured and correlated datasets. However, their deployment is hindered by computational costs and limited guidelines on how to apply GPs beyond simple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Kenza Tazi , Jihao Andreas Lin , Ross Viljoen , Alex Gardner , ST John , Hong Ge , Richard E. Turner

In this paper, the large deviations on trajectory level for ergodic Markov processes are studied. These processes take values in the non-negative quadrant of the two dimension lattice and are concentrated on step-wise functions. The rates…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-22 A. Mogulskii , E. Pechersky , A. Yambartsev

We study the large deviation estimates for the short time asymptotic behavior of a strongly degenerate diffusion process. Assuming a nilpotent structure of the Lie algebra generated by the driving vector fields, we obtain a graded large…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Gérard Ben Arous , Jing Wang

In order to scale standard Gaussian process (GP) regression to large-scale datasets, aggregation models employ factorized training process and then combine predictions from distributed experts. The state-of-the-art aggregation models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Haitao Liu , Jianfei Cai , Yi Wang , Yew-Soon Ong

We consider finite dimensional rough differential equations driven by centered Gaussian processes. Combining Malliavin calculus, rough paths techniques and interpolation inequalities, we establish upper bounds on the density of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-18 Benjamin Gess , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel

In this paper we propose a framework that enables the study of large deviations for point processes based on stationary sequences with regularly varying tails. This framework allows us to keep track not of the magnitude of the extreme…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-21 Henrik Hult , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We prove the large deviation principle for the trajectory of a broad class of mean field interacting Markov jump processes via a general analytic approach based on viscosity solutions. Examples include generalized Ehrenfest models as well…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Richard Kraaij

We present both the Lagrangian and Hamiltonian procedures for treating higher-order equations of motion for mechanical models by adopting the Riemann-Liouville Fractional integral to describe their action. We point out and discuss its…

Classical Physics · Physics 2018-08-28 C. F. L. Godinho , Nelson Panza , J. A. Helayël Neto

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in nonparametric regression, classification and spatio-temporal modeling, motivated in part by a rich literature on theoretical properties. However, a well known drawback of GPs that limits their use…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-29 Anjishnu Banerjee , David Dunson , Surya Tokdar

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a class of kernel methods that have shown to be very useful in geoscience applications. They are widely used because they are simple, flexible and provide very accurate estimates for nonlinear problems,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Juan Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

We establish a large deviation principle for the empirical measure process associated with a general class of finite-state mean field interacting particle systems with Lipschitz continuous transition rates that satisfy a certain ergodicity…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Paul Dupuis , Kavita Ramanan , Wei Wu

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

For Laplacian models in dimension $(1+1)$ we derive sample path large deviations for the profile height function, that is, we study scaling limits of Gaussian integrated random walks and Gaussian integrated random walk bridges perturbed by…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-27 Stefan Adams , Alexander Kister , Hendrik Weber

Motivated by metastability in the zero-range process, we consider i.i.d.\ random variables with values in $\N_0$ and Weibull-like (stretched exponential) law $\mathbb P(X_i =k) = c \exp( - k^\alpha)$, $\alpha \in (0,1)$. We condition on…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Sabine Jansen

We use a weak Gibbs property and a weak form of specification to derive level-2 large deviations principles for symbolic systems equipped with a large class of reference measures. This has applications to a broad class of symbolic systems,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-10-25 Vaughn Climenhaga , Daniel J. Thompson , Kenichiro Yamamoto

The increased demand for online prediction and the growing availability of large data sets drives the need for computationally efficient models. While exact Gaussian process regression shows various favorable theoretical properties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Armin Lederer , Alejandro Jose Ordonez Conejo , Korbinian Maier , Wenxin Xiao , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

The aim of the paper is to show the probabilistically strong well-posedness of rough differential equations with distributional drifts driven by the Gaussian rough path lift of fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Konstantinos Dareiotis , Máté Gerencsér , Khoa Lê , Chengcheng Ling

Adaptive importance sampling techniques are widely known for the Gaussian setting of Brownian driven diffusions. In this work, we want to extend them to jump processes. Our approach relies on a change of the jump intensity combined with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-09 Laetitia Badouraly Kassim , Jérôme Lelong , Imane Loumrhari

This work leverages recent advances in probabilistic machine learning to discover conservation laws expressed by parametric linear equations. Such equations involve, but are not limited to, ordinary and partial differential,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-13 Maziar Raissi , George Em. Karniadakis
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