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Inverse probability weighting (IPW) is widely used in many areas when data are subject to unrepresentativeness, missingness, or selection bias. An inevitable challenge with the use of IPW is that the IPW estimator can be remarkably unstable…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-29 Yukun Liu , Yan Fan

A nonlinear model with response variable missing at random is studied. In order to improve the coverage accuracy, the empirical likelihood ratio (EL) method is considered. The asymptotic distribution of EL statistic and also of its…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-05-19 Gabriela Ciuperca

The most popular approach in extreme value statistics is the modelling of threshold exceedances using the asymptotically motivated generalised Pareto distribution. This approach involves the selection of a high threshold above which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

Generalized estimating equations (GEE) are widely used to analyze longitudinal data; however, they are not appropriate for heteroscedastic data, because they only estimate regressor effects on the mean response{\textemdash}and therefore do…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-29 Amadou Barry , Karim Oualkacha , Arthur Charpentier

Empirical Bayes (EB) is a popular framework for large-scale inference that aims to find data-driven estimators to compete with the Bayesian oracle that knows the true prior. Two principled approaches to EB estimation have emerged over the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-21 Yandi Shen , Yihong Wu

Finite mixture models are widely used in econometric analyses to capture unobserved heterogeneity. This paper shows that maximum likelihood estimation of finite mixtures of parametric densities can suffer from substantial finite-sample bias…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Raphaël Langevin

The generative aspect model is an extension of the multinomial model for text that allows word probabilities to vary stochastically across documents. Previous results with aspect models have been promising, but hindered by the computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Thomas P. Minka , John Lafferty

Mixture of Experts (MoE) are successful models for modeling heterogeneous data in many statistical learning problems including regression, clustering and classification. Generally fitted by maximum likelihood estimation via the well-known…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Bao-Tuyen Huynh

In the usual statistical inference problem, we estimate an unknown parameter of a statistical model using the information in the random sample. A priori information about the parameter is also known in several real-life situations. One such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-11 Lakshmi Kanta Patra , Constantinos Petropoulos , Shrajal Bajpai , Naresh Garg

The East Lansing Model is a global, uncertainty-quantified optical potential for neutron and proton projectiles, with a novel form for the neutron-proton asymmetry component, with the goal to improve extrapolations away from stability. Our…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-04-02 K. Beyer , F. M. Nunes

The bias of an estimator is defined as the difference of its expected value from the parameter to be estimated, where the expectation is with respect to the model. Loosely speaking, small bias reflects the desire that if an experiment is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis

We address the problem of structured covariance matrix estimation for radar space-time adaptive processing (STAP). A priori knowledge of the interference environment has been exploited in many previous works to enable accurate estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-18 Bosung Kang , Vishal Monga , Muralidhar Rangaswamy , Yuri I. Abramovich

We develop an unsupervised mixture model for non-negative, skewed and heavy-tailed data, such as losses in actuarial and risk management applications. The mixture has a lognormal component, which is usually appropriate for the body of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 Marco Bee , Flavio Santi

The Description Logic EL has recently drawn considerable attention since, on the one hand, important inference problems such as the subsumption problem are polynomial. On the other hand, EL is used to define large biomedical ontologies.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Franz Baader , Barbara Morawska

In this paper, we study fluctuations of conditionally centered statistics of the form $$N^{-1/2}\sum_{i=1}^N c_i(g(\sigma_i)-\mathbb{E}_N[g(\sigma_i)|\sigma_j,j\neq i])$$ where $(\sigma_1,\ldots ,\sigma_N)$ are sampled from a dependent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Nabarun Deb

Models defined by moment conditions are at the center of structural econometric estimation, but economic theory is mostly agnostic about moment selection. While a large pool of valid moments can potentially improve estimation efficiency, in…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-15 Jinyuan Chang , Zhentao Shi , Jia Zhang

Fine-tuned large language models (LLMs) often exhibit overconfidence, particularly when trained on small datasets, resulting in poor calibration and inaccurate uncertainty estimates. Evidential Deep Learning (EDL), an uncertainty-aware…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Yawei Li , David Rügamer , Bernd Bischl , Mina Rezaei

Longitudinal imaging studies are essential to understanding the neural development of neuropsychiatric disorders, substance use disorders, and the normal brain. The main objective of this paper is to develop a two-stage adjusted…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-12 Xiaoyan Shi , Joseph G. Ibrahim , Jeffrey Lieberman , Martin Styner , Yimei Li , Hongtu Zhu

In a mixture of linear regression model, the regression coefficients are treated as random vectors that may follow either a continuous or discrete distribution. We propose two Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithms to estimate this prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Andrew Welbaum , Wanli Qiao

Statistical models incorporating change points are common in practice, especially in the area of biomedicine. This approach is appealing in that a specific parameter is introduced to account for the abrupt change in the response variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Hongling Zhou , Kung-Yee Liang