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We extend our BDI (birth-death-immigration) process based stochastic model of an infectious disease to time-nonhomogeneous cases. First, we discuss the deterministic model, and derive the expected value of the infection process. Then as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-25 Hisashi Kobayashi

How will the novel coronavirus evolve? I study a simple epidemiological model, in which mutations may change the properties of the virus and its associated disease stochastically and antigenic drifts allow new variants to partially evade…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-27 Patrick Mellacher

The spread of infectious diseases, rumors, fashions, innovations are complex contagion processes, embedded both in networked and spatial contexts. Here we investigate the pattern dynamics of a complex contagion, where two agents, say $A$…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-18 Li Chen

Tumor-immune interactions are central to cancer progression and treatment outcomes. In this study, we present a stochastic agent-based model that integrates cellular heterogeneity, spatial cell-cell interactions, and drug resistance…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-19 Yuhong Zhang , Chenghang Li , Boya Wang , Jinzhi Lei

Nonlinear dynamical stochastic models are ubiquitous in different areas. Excitable media models are typical examples with large state dimensions. Their statistical properties are often of great interest but are also very challenging to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Nan Chen , Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

Contacts between individuals serve as pathways where infections may propagate. These contact patterns can be represented by network structures. Static structures have been the common modeling paradigm but recent results suggest that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-25 Luis Enrique Correa Rocha , Adeline Decuyper , Vincent D Blondel

Organisms have evolved immune systems that can counter pathogenic threats. The adaptive immune system in vertebrates consists of a diverse repertoire of immune receptors that can dynamically reorganize to specifically target the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-29 Quinn N Bellamy , Zachary Montague , Luca Peliti , Armita Nourmohammad

Ecosystems display a complex spatial organization. Ecologists have long tried to characterize them by looking at how different measures of biodiversity change across spatial scales. Ecological neutral theory has provided simple predictions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-13 Simone Pigolotti , Massimo Cencini , Daniel Molina , Miguel A. Muñoz

The replicator equation is ubiquitous for many areas of mathematical biology. One of major shortcomings of this equation is that it does not allow for an explicit spatial structure. Here we review analytical approaches to include spatial…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-05-06 Artem S. Novozhilov , Vladimir P. Posvyanskii , Alexander S. Bratus

A compartment epidemic model for infectious disease spreading is investigated, where movement of individuals is governed by spatial diffusion. The model includes infection age of the infected individuals and assumes a logistic growth of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Christoph Walker

Immunological systems have been an abundant inspiration to contemporary computer scientists. Problem solving strategies, stemming from known immune system phenomena, have been successfully applied to challenging problems of modern computing…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-24 Alexandre de Castro , Carlos Frederico Fronza , Domingos Alves

The physical interpretation of the functioning of the adaptive immune system, which has been thoroughly characterized on genetic and molecular levels, provides a unique opportunity to define an adaptive self-organizing biological system in…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-19 Jozsef Prechl

We study a three-species cyclic game system where organisms face a contagious disease whose virulence may change by a pathogen mutation. As a responsive defence strategy, organisms' mobility is restricted to reduce disease dissemination in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-27 J. Menezes , S. Batista , E. Rangel

Biological systems are majorly dependent on their property of bistability in order to exhibit nongenetic heterogeneity in terms of cellular morphology and physiology. Spatial patterns of phenotypically heterogeneous cells, arising due to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-25 Priya Chakraborty , Ushasi Roy , Mohit K. Jolly , Sayantari Ghosh

Traditional stochastic modeling of reactive systems limits the domain of applicability of the associated path thermodynamics to systems involving a single elementary reaction at the origin of each observed change in composition. An…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-18 F. Baras , A. L. Garcia , M. Malek Mansour

Pathogen transmission and virulence are main evolutionary variables broadly assumed to be linked through trade-offs. In well-mixed populations, these trade-offs are often ascribed to physiological restrictions, while populations with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-10 Victor Buendía , Miguel A. Muñoz , Susanna Manrubia

Stochastic modeling of disease dynamics has had a long tradition. Among the first epidemic models including a spatial structure in the form of local interactions is the contact process. In this article we investigate two extensions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 L. Belhadji , N. Lanchier

This article is dedicated to the study and comparison of two chemostat-like competition models in a heterogeneous environment. The first model is a probabilistic model where we build a PDMP simulating the effect of the temporal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Sten Madec , G Lagasquie

The surprisingly mercurial Covid-19 pandemic has highlighted the need to not only accelerate research on infectious disease, but to also study them using novel techniques and perspectives. A major contributor to the difficulty of containing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-21 Aminur Rahman , Angela Peace , Ramesh Kesawan , Souparno Ghosh

Natural Immune system plays a vital role in the survival of the all living being. It provides a mechanism to defend itself from external predates making it consistent systems, capable of adapting itself for survival incase of changes. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-03-11 Tejbanta Singh Chingtham , G. Sahoo , M. K. Ghose