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A new class of time-dependent Dirichlet priors is introduced as a generalisation of the Wright-Fisher diffusion, allowing discontinuities in the trajectories, as well as non-Markovian memory. This class is obtained as a simple stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Nathan A. Judd , Dario Spanò

Many studies of biomedical time series signals aim to measure the association between frequency-domain properties of time series and clinical and behavioral covariates. However, the time-varying dynamics of these associations are largely…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-05 Scott A. Bruce , Martica H. Hall , Daniel J. Buysse , Robert T. Krafty

Statistical inference for spatial processes from partially realized or scattered data has seen voluminous developments in diverse areas ranging from environmental sciences to business and economics. Inference on the associated rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Didong Li , Aritra Halder , Sudipto Banerjee

The spectrum and coherency are useful quantities for characterizing the temporal correlations and functional relations within and between point processes. This paper begins with a review of these quantities, their interpretation and how…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. R. Jarvis , P. P. Mitra

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

There is a lack of methodological results for continuous time change detection due to the challenges of noninformative prior specification and efficient posterior inference in this setting. Most methodologies to date assume data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-28 Dan Cunha , Mark Friedl , Luis Carvalho

The spacing of nearest levels of the spectrum of a complex network can be regarded as a time series. Joint use of Multi-fractal Detrended Fluctuation Approach (MF-DFA) and Diffusion Entropy (DE) is employed to extract characteristics from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Huijie Yang , Fangcui Zhao , Longyu Qi , Beilai Hu

Data from experimental observations of a class of neurological processes (Freeman K-sets) present functional distribution reproducing Bessel function behavior. We model such processes with couples of damped/amplified oscillators which…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-30 Walter J. Freeman , Antonio Capolupo , Robert Kozma , Andres Olivares del Campo , Giuseppe Vitiello

This paper addresses the prediction of stationary functional time series. Existing contributions to this problem have largely focused on the special case of first-order functional autoregressive processes because of their technical…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-01 Alexander Aue , Diogo Dubart Norinho , Siegfried Hörmann

We consider the problem of detecting change-points in univariate time series by fitting a continuous piecewise linear signal using the residual sum of squares. Values of the inferred signal at slope breaks are restricted to a finite set of…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-08 Vincent Runge , Marco Pascucci , Nicolas Deschamps de Boishebert

Warped time-frequency systems have recently been introduced as a class of structured continuous frames for functions on the real line. Herein, we generalize this framework to the setting of functions of arbitrary dimensionality. After…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Nicki Holighaus , Felix Voigtlaender

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

We present a convex approach to probabilistic segmentation and modeling of time series data. Our approach builds upon recent advances in multivariate total variation regularization, and seeks to learn a separate set of parameters for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-17 Matt Wytock , J. Zico Kolter

Variational models with coupling terms are becoming increasingly popular in image analysis. They involve auxiliary variables, such that their energy minimisation splits into multiple fractional steps that can be solved easier and more…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-13 Aaron Wewior , Joachim Weickert

Asynchronous Time Series is a multivariate time series where all the channels are observed asynchronously-independently, making the time series extremely sparse when aligning them. We often observe this effect in applications with complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi , Johannes Burchert , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

This work investigates whether time series of natural phenomena can be understood as being generated by sequences of latent states which are ordered in systematic and regular ways. We focus on clinical time series and ask whether clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Michael Hagmann , Michael Staniek , Stefan Riezler

In the present Short Note an idea is proposed to explain the emergence and the observation of processes in complex media that are driven by fractional non-Markovian master equations. Particle trajectories are assumed to be solely Markovian…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-19 Gianni Pagnini

Time series foundation models have recently gained a lot of attention due to their ability to model complex time series data encompassing different domains including traffic, energy, and weather. Although they exhibit strong average…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Shivani Tomar , Seshu Tirupathi , Elizabeth Daly , Ivana Dusparic

We study the use of Temporal-Difference learning for estimating the structural parameters in dynamic discrete choice models. Our algorithms are based on the conditional choice probability approach but use functional approximations to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-23 Karun Adusumilli , Dita Eckardt

We study a linear-fractional Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process with a general type space. The corresponding tree contour process is described by an alternating random walk with the downward jumps having a geometric distribution. This leads…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-07 Alexey Lindo , Serik Sagitov
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