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We revisit systematics in determining the local dark matter density (rho_dm) from the vertical motion of stars in the Solar Neighbourhood. Using a simulation of a Milky Way-like galaxy, we determine the data-quality required to detect the…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2011-08-29 Silvia Garbari , Justin I. Read , George Lake

In this work, we consider an inhomogeneous (discrete time) Markov chain and are interested in its long time behavior. We provide sufficient conditions to ensure that some of its asymptotic properties can be related to the ones of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-09 Michel Benaïm , Florian Bouguet , Bertrand Cloez

Estimating the entropy based on data is one of the prototypical problems in distribution property testing and estimation. For estimating the Shannon entropy of a distribution on $S$ elements with independent samples, [Paninski2004] showed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-25 Yanjun Han , Jiantao Jiao , Chuan-Zheng Lee , Tsachy Weissman , Yihong Wu , Tiancheng Yu

We compute the stationary distribution of a continuous-time Markov chain which is constructed by gluing together two finite, irreducible Markov chains by identifying a pair of states of one chain with a pair of states of the other and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-22 Bence Mélykúti , Peter Pfaffelhuber

We study the long-time behavior of the probability density associated with the decoupled continuous-time random walk which is characterized by a superheavy-tailed distribution of waiting times. It is shown that if the random walk is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-05-02 S. I. Denisov , H. Kantz

The statistics of first-passage times of random walks to target sites has proved to play a key role in determining the kinetics of space exploration in various contexts. In parallel, the number of distinct sites visited by a random walker…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-23 J. Klinger , A. Barbier-Chebbah , R. Voituriez , O. Bénichou

The upper extremes of a Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution are known to exhibit under general conditions a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. More generally, if the Markov chain is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Johan Segers

We prove the Local Limit Theorems for bounded additive functionals of uniformly elliptic inhomogeneous Markov arrays. As an application we obtain the precise asymptotics in the large deviation regime for bounded additive functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-31 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Omri Sarig

In this note, we present the closed form solution for the joint distribution of the range and terminal value of a Brownian motion. Based on this distribution we build a range scaled terminal value distribution and show the derivation steps…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Oleg Svirschi

Let $\{W_t\}_{t=1}^{\infty}$ be a finite state stationary Markov chain, and suppose that $f$ is a real-valued function on the state space. If $f$ is bounded, then Gillman's expander Chernoff bound (1993) provides concentration estimates for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Assaf Naor , Shravas Rao , Oded Regev

We consider a Markov control model in discrete time with countable both state space and action space. Using the value function of a suitable long-run average reward problem, we study various reachability/controllability problems. First, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Daniel Avila , Mauricio Junca

We prove results for random walks in dynamic random environments which do not require the strong uniform mixing assumptions present in the literature. We focus on the "environment seen from the walker"-process and in particular its…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Stein Andreas Bethuelsen , Florian Völlering

We consider tilings of a closed region of the Kagome lattice (partition of the plane into regular hexagons and equilateral triangles such that each edge is shared by one triangle and one hexagon). We are interested in the rate of…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Alexandra Ugolnikova

Let $\{X_n\}_{n\in\N}$ be a Markov chain on a measurable space $\X$ with transition kernel $P$ and let $V:\X\r[1,+\infty)$. The Markov kernel $P$ is here considered as a linear bounded operator on the weighted-supremum space $\cB_V$…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

For a continuous-time random walk $X=\{X_t,t\ge 0\}$ (in general non-Markov), we study the asymptotic behavior, as $t\rightarrow \infty$, of the normalized additive functional $c_t\int_0^{t} f(X_s)ds$, $t\ge 0$. Similarly to the Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Yuri Kondratiev , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

In this paper, we introduce the notion of efficiency (consistency) and examine some asymptotic properties of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. We apply these results to the data augmentation (DA) procedure for independent and identically…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-17 Kengo Kamatani

A wide class of ``counting'' problems have been studied in Computer Science. Three typical examples are the estimation of - (i) the permanent of an $n\times n$ 0-1 matrix, (ii) the partition function of certain $n-$ particle Statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ravi Kannan

For irreducible, time-homogeneous Markov networks, mutual linearity has recently been established for both occupation probabilities and network currents in the stationary regime as well as in the non-stationary regime in Laplace space. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-04 Julian B. Voits , Ulrich S. Schwarz

In this paper we consider stopping problems for continuous-time Markov chains under a general risk-sensitive optimization criterion for problems with finite and infinite time horizon. More precisely our aim is to maximize the certainty…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-05 Nicole Bäuerle , Anton Popp

We settle an open problem, raised by Y. Peres and D. Revelle, concerning the $L^2$ mixing time of the random walk on the lamplighter graph. We also provide general bounds relating the entropy decay of a Markov chain to the separation…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Murali K. Ganapathy , Prasad Tetali