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To learn about the past from a sample of genomic sequences, one needs to understand how evolutionary processes shape genetic diversity. Most population genetic inference is based on frameworks assuming adaptive evolution is rare. But if…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-25 Richard A. Neher

We study a density-dependent Markov jump process describing a population where each individual is characterized by a type, and reproduces at rates depending both on its type and on the population type distribution. We are interested in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Madeleine Kubasch

We introduce a broad class of spatial models to describe how spatially heterogeneous populations live, die, and reproduce. Individuals are represented by points of a point measure, whose birth and death rates can depend both on spatial…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Alison M. Etheridge , Thomas G. Kurtz , Ian Letter , Peter L. Ralph , Terence Tsui Ho Lung

The recent interest in human dynamics has led researchers to investigate the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in various contexts. Here we propose a generative model to capture the dynamics of survival analysis,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-30 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

Populations interact non-linearly and are influenced by environmental fluctuations. In order to have realistic mathematical models, one needs to take into account that the environmental fluctuations are inherently stochastic. Often,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

We investigate a continuous time, probability measure-valued dynamical system that describes the process of mutation-selection balance in a context where the population is infinite, there may be infinitely many loci, and there are weak…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-09-20 Steven N. Evans , David Steinsaltz , Kenneth W. Wachter

We consider a discrete model that describes a locally regulated spatial population with mortality selection. This model was studied in parallel by Bolker and Pacala and Dieckmann, Law and Murrell. We first generalize this model by adding…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nicolas Fournier , Sylvie Meleard

By exploiting an analogy between population genetics and statistical mechanics, we study the evolution of a polygenic trait under stabilizing selection, mutation, and genetic drift. This requires us to track only four macroscopic variables,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-11-18 Harold P. de Vladar , Nick Barton

We present an individual-based model of phenotypic trait evolution in two-sex populations, which includes semi-random mating of individuals of the opposite sex, natural death and intra-specific competition. By passing the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Paweł Zwoleński

Under constant selection, each trait has a fixed fitness, and small mutation rates allow populations to efficiently exploit the optimal trait. Therefore it is reasonable to expect mutation rates will evolve downwards. However, we find this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-23 Brian Mintz , Feng Fu

The goal of this paper is to provide mathematically rigorous tools for modelling the evolution of a community of interacting individuals. We model the population by a measure space where the measure determines the abundance of individual…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-17 Thomas Cass , Terry Lyons

With a view to connecting random mutation on the molecular level to punctuated equilibrium behavior on the phenotype level, we propose a new model for biological evolution, which incorporates random mutation and natural selection. In this…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 M. Y. Choi , H. Y. Lee , D. Kim , S. H. Park

We consider a fitness-structured population model with competition and migration between nearest neighbors. Under a combination of large population and rare migration limits we are particularly interested in the asymptotic behavior of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-20 Anton Bovier , Shi-Dong Wang

We study a stochastic branching model for a population structured by a quantitative phenotypic trait and subject to births, deaths, and mutations. In a regime of large population and small mutations, and in logarithmic scales of size and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Méléard , Sepideh Mirrahimi , Viet Chi Tran

We consider an approximating sequence of interacting population models with branching, mutation and competition. Each individual is characterized by its trait and the traits of its ancestors. Birth- and death-events happen at exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-08 Sandra Kliem

We examine the feasibility of predicting and subsequently managing the future evolution of a Complex Adaptive System. Our archetypal system mimics a competitive population of mechanical, biological, informational or human objects. We show…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 David M. D. Smith , Neil F. Johnson

Population genetics struggles to model extinction; standard models track the relative rather than absolute fitness of genotypes, while the exceptions describe only the short-term transition from imminent doom to evolutionary rescue. But…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-20 Jason Bertram , Kevin Gomez , Joanna Masel

We propose a stochastic model for evolution through mutation and natural selection of a population that evolves on a $\bbT_d^+$ tree. We think of this model as a way of describing the evolution fitness landscape of a population. We obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Carolina Grejo , Fabio Lopes , Fábio Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

The n-person Prisoner's Dilemma is a widely used model for populations where individuals interact in groups. The evolutionary stability of populations has been analysed in the literature for the case where mutations in the population may be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Anders Eriksson , Kristian Lindgren

We study a universal object for the genealogy of a sample in populations with mutations: the critical birth-death process with Poissonian mutations, conditioned on its population size at a fixed time horizon. We show how this process arises…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-30 G. Achaz , C. Delaporte , A. Lambert