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We posit that autoregressive flow models are well-suited to performing a range of causal inference tasks - ranging from causal discovery to making interventional and counterfactual predictions. In particular, we exploit the fact that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-28 Ricardo Pio Monti , Ilyes Khemakhem , Aapo Hyvarinen

Regression models are used in a wide range of applications providing a powerful scientific tool for researchers from different fields. Linear, or simple parametric, models are often not sufficient to describe complex relationships between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet

The regression of a functional response on a set of scalar predictors can be a challenging task, especially if there is a large number of predictors, or the relationship between those predictors and the response is nonlinear. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-24 Sidi Wu , Cédric Beaulac , Jiguo Cao

We propose a factor network autoregressive (FNAR) model for time series with complex network structures. The coefficients of the model reflect many different types of connections between economic agents ("multilayer network"), which are…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-24 Matteo Barigozzi , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Graziano Moramarco

We consider heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models, when both the mean function and variance function are unknown and to be estimated with nonparametric approaches. We derive convergence rates of posterior distributions for this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-07 Yuao Hu

In performative prediction, a predictive model impacts the distribution that generates future data, a phenomenon that is being ignored in classical supervised learning. In this closed-loop setting, the natural measure of performance named…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Yulai Zhao

Weak-to-strong generalization, where weakly supervised strong models outperform their weaker teachers, offers a promising approach to aligning superhuman models with human values. To deepen the understanding of this approach, we provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Wei Yao , Wenkai Yang , Gengze Xu , Ziqiao Wang , Yankai Lin , Yong Liu

We consider variational regularization of nonlinear inverse problems in Banach spaces using Tikhonov functionals. This article addresses the problem of $\Gamma$-convergence of a family of Tikhonov functionals and assertions of the…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-12 Alexey Belenkin , Michael Hartz , Thomas Schuster

In functional data analysis, functional linear regression has attracted significant attention recently. Herein, we consider the case where both the response and covariates are functions. There are two available approaches for addressing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Mauro Bernardi , Antonio Canale , Marco Stefanucci

We introduce a new extragradient iterative process, motivated and inspired by [S. H. Khan, A Picard-Mann Hybrid Iterative Process, Fixed Point Theory and Applications, doi:10.1186/1687-1812-2013-69], for finding a common element of the set…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-14 Ibrahim Karahan , Murat Ozdemir

We consider a general nonparametric regression model called the compound model. It includes, as special cases, sparse additive regression and nonparametric (or linear) regression with many covariates but possibly a small number of relevant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-04 Arnak Dalalyan , Yuri Ingster , Alexandre Tsybakov

We show a new functional limit theorem for weakly dependent regularly varying sequences of random vectors. As it turns out, the convergence takes place in the space of R^d valued c\`{a}dl\`{a}g functions endowed with the so-called weak M1…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-19 Bojan Basrak , Danijel Krizmanić

We describe a new framework for fitting jump models to a sequence of data. The key idea is to alternate between minimizing a loss function to fit multiple model parameters, and minimizing a discrete loss function to determine which set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-22 A. Bemporad , V. Breschi , D. Piga , S. Boyd

In this paper, weak convergences of marked empirical processes in $L^2(\mathbb{R},\nu)$ and their applications to statistical goodness-of-fit tests are provided, where $L^2(\mathbb{R},\nu)$ is the set of equivalence classes of the square…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Koji Tsukuda , Yoichi Nishiyama

We consider an inverse source problem for partially coherent light propagating in the Fresnel regime. The data is the coherence of the field measured away from the source. The reconstruction is based on a minimum residue formulation, which…

We present several new results on the feasibility of inferring the hidden states in strongly-connected trackable weak models. Here, a weak model is a directed graph in which each node is assigned a set of colors which may be emitted when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Mark Chilenski , George Cybenko , Isaac Dekine , Piyush Kumar , Gil Raz

We consider random processes that are history-dependent, in the sense that the distribution of the next step of the process at any time depends upon the entire past history of the process. In general, therefore, the Markov property cannot…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Peter Clifford , David Stirzaker

Functional data is a powerful tool for capturing and analyzing complex patterns and relationships in a variety of fields, allowing for more precise modeling, visualization, and decision-making. For example, in healthcare, functional data…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-26 Xiyuan Gao , Jiayi Wang , Guanyu Hu , Jianguo Sun

We consider a generalization of the weighted random ball model. The model is driven by a random Poisson measure with a product heavy tailed intensity measure. Such a model typically represents the transmission of a network of stations with…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-01 Jean-Christophe Breton , Clement Dombry

This article extends weak convergence bounds of Markov transition kernels to convergence bounds on the variance of the Markov kernel applied to Lipschitz functions. In the reversible case, weak convergence rates of the transition kernels…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Austin Brown