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We give a method for proactively identifying small, plausible shifts in distribution which lead to large differences in model performance. These shifts are defined via parametric changes in the causal mechanisms of observed variables, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Nikolaj Thams , Michael Oberst , David Sontag

In this work, we present a globalized stochastic semismooth Newton method for solving stochastic optimization problems involving smooth nonconvex and nonsmooth convex terms in the objective function. We assume that only noisy gradient and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-12 Andre Milzarek , Xiantao Xiao , Shicong Cen , Zaiwen Wen , Michael Ulbrich

Stochastic partial differential equations of second order with two unknown parameters are studied. Based on ergodicity, two suitable families of minimum constrast estimators are introduced. Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Josef Janak

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We study the problem of global maximization of a function f given a finite number of evaluations perturbed by noise. We consider a very weak assumption on the function, namely that it is locally smooth (in some precise sense) with respect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Michal Valko , Alexandra Carpentier , Rémi Munos

Large-scale kernel approximation is an important problem in machine learning research. Approaches using random Fourier features have become increasingly popular [Rahimi and Recht, 2007], where kernel approximation is treated as empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-25 Wei-Cheng Chang , Chun-Liang Li , Yiming Yang , Barnabas Poczos

Stein's method is used to approximate sums of discrete and locally dependent random variables by a centered and symmetric Binomial distribution. Under appropriate smoothness properties of the summands, the same order of accuracy as in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Adrian Röllin

Biased stochastic estimators, such as finite-differences for noisy gradient estimation, often contain parameters that need to be properly chosen to balance impacts from the bias and the variance. While the optimal order of these parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Henry Lam , Xinyu Zhang , Xuhui Zhang

Causal mediation analysis aims to estimate the natural direct and indirect effects under clearly specified assumptions. Traditional mediation analysis based on Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) relies on the absence of unmeasured causes of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-07 Cedric E. Ginestet , Richard Emsley , Sabine Landau

The objective of the paper is to identify and investigate all possible types of asymptotic behavior for the maximum likelihood estimators of the unknown parameters in the second-order linear stochastic ordinary differential equation driven…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-08 Ning Lin , Sergey V. Lototsky

We address parameter estimation in second-order stochastic differential equations (SDEs), which are prevalent in physics, biology, and ecology. The second-order SDE is converted to a first-order system by introducing an auxiliary velocity…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Predrag Pilipovic , Adeline Samson , Susanne Ditlevsen

The "fast iterative shrinkage-thresholding algorithm", a.k.a. FISTA, is one of the most well-known first-order optimisation scheme in the literature, as it achieves the worst-case $O(1/k^2)$ optimal convergence rate in terms of objective…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Jingwei Liang , Tao Luo , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

We study estimation of a multivariate function $f:\mathbf{R}^d\to\mathbf{R}$ when the observations are available from the function $Af$, where $A$ is a known linear operator. Both the Gaussian white noise model and density estimation are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Jussi Klemelä , Enno Mammen

Structure-agnostic causal inference studies how well one can estimate a treatment effect given black-box machine learning estimates of nuisance functions (like the impact of confounders on treatment and outcomes). Here, we find that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-10 Jikai Jin , Lester Mackey , Vasilis Syrgkanis

In the framework of matrix valued observables with low rank means, Stein's unbiased risk estimate (SURE) can be useful for risk estimation and for tuning the amount of shrinkage towards low rank matrices. This was demonstrated by Cand\`es…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-01 Niels Richard Hansen

We address the problem of image denoising in additive white noise without placing restrictive assumptions on its statistical distribution. In the recent literature, specific noise distributions have been considered and correspondingly,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-01-28 Sagar Venkatesh Gubbi , Chandra Sekhar Seelamantula

Estimating a covariance matrix is an important task in applications where the number of variables is larger than the number of observations. Shrinkage approaches for estimating a high-dimensional covariance matrix are often employed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-18 Anestis Touloumis

Since Stein's 1956 seminal paper, shrinkage has played a fundamental role in both parametric and nonparametric inference. This article discusses minimaxity and adaptive minimaxity in nonparametric function estimation. Three interrelated…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-23 T. Tony Cai

Motivated by the proliferation of observational datasets and the need to integrate non-randomized evidence with randomized controlled trials, causal inference researchers have recently proposed several new methodologies for combining biased…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-14 Evan T. R. Rosenman , Francesca Dominici , Luke Miratrix

Shrinkage estimation is a fundamental tool of modern statistics, pioneered by Charles Stein upon his discovery of the famous paradox involving the multivariate Gaussian. A large portion of the subsequent literature only considers the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Max Fathi , Larry Goldstein , Gesine Reinert , Adrien Saumard