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This paper develops semiparametric theory for counterfactual distribution, quantile, and lower-tail risk processes under unmeasured confounding using proximal negative-control proxies. Rather than treating each threshold as a separate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Pengyun Wang

We prove a monotonicity property of the Hurwitz zeta function which, in turn, translates into a chain of inequalities for polygamma functions of different orders. We provide a probabilistic interpretation of our result by exploiting a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Julyan Arbel , Olivier Marchal , Bernardo Nipoti

We prove new lower bounds for the upper tail probabilities of suprema of Gaussian processes. Unlike many existing bounds, our results are not asymptotic, but supply strong information when one is only a little into the upper tail. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-25 Adam J. Harper

We generalise the known fact that for binomial $X_{n,k} \sim \mathrm{Bin}(n, k/n)$ one has $\inf_{k>1,n} \mathrm{P}(X_{n,k} \geq k) \geq \lim_{k \to 1+}\mathrm{P}(X_{2,k} \geq k) = 1/4$ to cover probabilities of exceeding a constant shift…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-11 Tilo Wiklund

In this paper, we propose a new approach for deriving probabilistic inequalities. Our main idea is to exploit the information of underlying distributions by virtue of the monotone likelihood ratio property and Berry-Essen inequality.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Xinjia Chen

The tacnode process is a universal behavior arising in nonintersecting particle systems and tiling problems. For Dyson Brownian bridges, the tacnode process describes the grazing collision of two packets of walkers. We consider such a Dyson…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-22 Robert Buckingham , Karl Liechty

We establish distributional estimates for noncommutative martingales, in the sense of decreasing rearrangements of the spectra of unbounded operators, which generalises the study of distributions of random variables. Our results include…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Yong Jiao , Fedor Sukochev , Lian Wu , Dmitriy Zanin

We offer a proof of a summation formula equivalent to one due to Berndt. Our proof uses the M$\ddot{u}$ntz formula and the Poisson summation formula. By utilizing known properties of Mellin inversion, we give an example from a discontinuous…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Alexander E. Patkowski

Let v be a bounded function with bounded support in R^d, d>=3. Let x,y in R^d. Let Z(t) denote the path integral of v along the path of a Brownian bridge in R^d which runs for time t, starting at x and ending at y. As t->infty, it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle , Mathew Penrose

This article proposes a new method of truncated estimation to estimate the tail index $\alpha$ of the extremely heavy-tailed distribution with infinite mean or variance. We not only present two truncated estimators $\hat{\alpha}$ and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-13 F. Q. Tang , D. Han

In this paper, we introduce an extension of a Brownian bridge with a random length by including uncertainty also in the pinning level of the bridge. The main result of this work is that unlike for deterministic pinning point, the bridge…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Mohammed Louriki

A reinforcement algorithm introduced by H.A. Simon \cite{Simon} produces a sequence of uniform random variables with memory as follows. At each step, with a fixed probability $p\in(0,1)$, $\hat U_{n+1}$ is sampled uniformly from $\hat U_1,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Jean Bertoin

The modified Bessel function of the first kind, $I_{\nu}(x)$, arises in numerous areas of study, such as physics, signal processing, probability, statistics, etc. As such, there has been much interest in recent years in deducing properties…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-07 Prakash Balachandran , Weston Viles , Eric D. Kolaczyk

We prove a version of the Bombieri--Vinogradov Theorem with certain products of Gaussian primes as moduli, making use of their special form as polynomial expressions in several variables. Adapting Vaughan's proof of the classical…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Karin Halupczok

We give a new proof of the sharp symmetrized form of Talagrand's transport-entropy inequality. Compared to stochastic proofs of other Gaussian functional inequalities, the new idea here is a certain coupling induced by time-reversed…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Thomas A. Courtade , Max Fathi , Dan Mikulincer

Computing the distribution of permanents of random matrices has been an outstanding open problem for several decades. In quantum computing, "anti-concentration" of this distribution is an unproven input for the proof of hardness of the task…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-04-15 Sepehr Nezami

Let $\{X_j\}$ be independent, identically distributed random variables. It is well known that the functional CUSUM statistic and its randomly permuted version both converge weakly to a Brownian bridge if second moments exist. Surprisingly,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Alexander Aue , István Berkes , Lajos Horváth

The article shows a bridge representation for the joint density of a system of stochastic processes consisting of a Brownian motion with drift coupled with a correlated fractional Brownian motion with drift. As a result, a small time…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-12 Jiro Akahori , Xiaoming Song , Tai-Ho Wang

An efficient conditioning technique, the so-called Brownian Bridge simulation, has previously been applied to eliminate pricing bias that arises in applications of the standard discrete-time Monte Carlo method to evaluate options written on…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-08 P. V. Shevchenko

In some applied scenarios, the availability of complete data is restricted, often due to privacy concerns; only aggregated, robust and inefficient statistics derived from the data are made accessible. These robust statistics are not…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-23 Antoine Luciano , Christian P. Robert , Robin J. Ryder