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Large deviation theory is a branch of probability theory that is devoted to a study of the "rate" at which empirical estimates of various quantities converge to their true values. The object of study in this paper is the rate at which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-17 Mathukumalli Vidyasagar

The asymptotic variance is an important criterion to evaluate the performance of Markov chains, especially for the central limit theorems. We give the variational formulas for the asymptotic variance of discrete-time (non-reversible) Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lu-Jing Huang , Yong-Hua Mao

The theory of $L^2$-spectral gaps for reversible Markov chains has been studied by many authors. In this paper we consider positive recurrent general state space Markov chains with stationary transition probabilities. Replacing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-07 Achim Wuebker , Zakhar Kabluchko

In this article, we consider products of ergodic Markov chains and discuss their cutoffs in the total variation. Through a new inequality relating the total variation and the Hellinger distance, we may identify the total variation cutoffs…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-13 Guan-Yu Chen , Takashi Kumagai

For every given real value of the ratio $\mu:=A_X/G_X>1$ of the arithmetic and geometric means of a positive random variable $X$ and every real $v>0$, exact upper bounds on the right- and left-tail probabilities $\mathsf{P}(X/G_X\ge v)$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Iosif Pinelis

A large deviation principle is derived for stochastic partial differential equations with slow-fast components. The result shows that the rate function is exactly that of the averaged equation plus the fluctuating deviation which is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-28 Wei Wang , A. J. Roberts , Jinqiao Duan

On the basis of the Vlasov chain of equations, a new infinite dispersion chain of equations is obtained for the distribution functions of mixed higher order kinematical values. In contrast to the Vlasov chain, the dispersion chain contains…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-01-26 E. E. Perepelkin , B. I. Sadovnikov , N. G. Inozemtseva , I. I. Aleksandrov

This paper presents an elementary proof of stochastic stability of a discrete-time reversible Markov chain starting from a Foster-Lyapunov drift condition. Besides its relative simplicity, there are two salient features of the proof: (i) it…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta

We introduce a general algorithm for the computation of the scale functions of a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$, based on a natural weak approximation of $X$ via upwards skip-free continuous-time Markov chains with stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Aleksandar Mijatović , Matija Vidmar , Saul Jacka

Using the renewal approach we prove exponential inequalities for additive functionals and empirical processes of ergodic Markov chains, thus obtaining counterparts of inequalities for sums of independent random variables. The inequalities…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-18 Radosław Adamczak , Witold Bednorz

Markov processes restarted or reset at random times to a fixed state or region in space have been actively studied recently in connection with random searches, foraging, and population dynamics. Here we study the large deviations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-01-06 Janusz M. Meylahn , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Hugo Touchette

Given an irreducible discrete-time Markov chain on a finite state space, we consider the largest expected hitting time $T(\alpha)$ of a set of stationary measure at least $\alpha$ for $\alpha\in(0,1)$. We obtain tight inequalities among the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-29 Simon Griffiths , Ross J. Kang , Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira , Viresh Patel

We use the $f-divergence$ also called relative entropy as a measure of diversity between probability densities and review its basic properties. In the sequence we define a few objects which capture relevant information from the sample of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-20 A. R. Baigorri , C. R. Goncalves , P. A. A. Resende

The upper extremes of a Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution are known to exhibit under general conditions a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. More generally, if the Markov chain is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Johan Segers

Reversible Markov chains play a central role in stochastic modelling and in algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Motivated by the fundamental importance of reversibility in classical settings, this paper develops a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Damjan Škulj

Bernstein's theorem (also called Hausdorff--Bernstein--Widder theorem) enables the integral representation of a completely monotonic function. We introduce a finite completely monotonic function, which is a completely monotonic function…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Yohei M. Koyama

We propose an exact technique to calculate lower bounds of spectral gaps of discrete time reversible Markov chains on finite state sets. Spectral gaps are a common tool for evaluating convergence rates of Markov chains. As an illustration,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 N. Destainville

Random sampling of large Markov matrices with a tunable spectral gap, a nonuniform stationary distribution, and a nondegenerate limiting empirical spectral distribution (ESD) is useful. Fix $c>0$ and $p>0$. Let $A_n$ be the adjacency matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-09 Zhiyi Chi

We show sharp bounds for probabilities of large deviations for sums of independent random variables satisfying Bernstein's condition. One such bound is very close to the tail of the standard Gaussian law in certain case; other bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-13 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

We consider a sequence of additive functionals {\phi_n}, set on a sequence of Markov chains {X_n} that weakly converges to a Markov process X. We give sufficient condition for such a sequence to converge in distribution, formulated in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yuri N. Kartashov , Alexey M. Kulik