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Historically time-reversibility of the transitions or processes underpinning Markov chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC) has played a key r\^ole in their development, while the self-adjointness of associated operators together with the use of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Christophe Andrieu , Samuel Livingstone

We present a relatively simple and mostly elementary proof of the L\'evy--Khintchine formula for subordinators. The main idea is to study the Poisson process time-changed by the subordinator. The technical tools used are conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Yuri Yakubovich

A general class of Markov processes with a local interaction is introduced, which includes exclusion and Kawasaki processes as a very particular case. Bernoulli invariant measures are found for this class of processes.

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-11-30 V. A. Malyshev , A. A. Zamyatin

We consider a bivariate first hitting-time model in which durations are the crossing times of dependent compound Poisson processes with fixed thresholds. The identifiability of the model is discussed, and likelihood estimators of the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Mikael Escobar-Bach , Alexandre Popier , Malo Sahin

Under very general conditions the hitting time of a set by a stochastic process is a stopping time. We give a new simple proof of this fact. The section theorems for optional and predictable sets are easy corollaries of the proof.

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Richard F. Bass

Knutson introduced two families of reverse juggling Markov chains (single and multispecies) motivated by the study of random semi-infinite matrices over $\mathbb{F}_q$. We present natural generalizations of both chains by placing generic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Arvind Ayyer , Svante Linusson

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

Matrix Dirichlet processes, in reference to their reversible measure, appear in a natural way in many different models in probability. Applying the language of diffusion operators and the method of boundary equations, we describe Dirichlet…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Songzi Li

Given a strongly stationary Markov chain and a finite set of stopping rules, we prove the existence of a polynomial algorithm which projects the Markov chain onto a minimal Markov chain without redundant information. Markov complexity is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Giacomo Aletti

We study the geometric structure of the drift dynamics of Irreversible port-Hamiltonian systems. This drift dynamics is defined with respect to a product of quasi-Poisson brackets, reflecting the interconnection structure and the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-03-06 Jonas Kirchhoff , Bernhard Maschke

The space-fractional and the time-fractional Poisson processes are two well-known models of fractional evolution. They can be constructed as standard Poisson processes with the time variable replaced by a stable subordinator and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-09 Luisa Beghin , Costantino Ricciuti

We study a two parameter family of processes with linear regressions and linear conditional variances. We give conditions for the unique solution of this problem, and point out the connection between the resulting Markov processes and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-14 Wlodzimierz Bryc , Jacek Wesolowski

We investigate a non-Poissonian version of the asymmetric simple exclusion process, motivated by the observation that coarse-graining the interactions between particles in complex systems generically leads to a stochastic process with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-26 R. J. Concannon , R. A. Blythe

We consider a Markov chain obtained by random iterations of Lipschitz maps $T_i$ chosen with a probability $p_i(x)$ depending on the current position $x$. We assume this system has a property of "contraction on average", that is $\sum_i…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-22 Olivier Durieu

Recently Belopolskaya and Suhov studied Markov process's in a random environment, where the environment changes in likeness to a Markov process. Constructions were made to allow the process to "interact with the environment", this was done…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-07 Anirban Das

A random Lie group action on a compact manifold generates a discrete time Markov process. The main object of this paper is the evaluation of associated Birkhoff sums in a regime of weak, but sufficiently effective coupling of the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2010-11-22 Christian Sadel , Hermann Schulz-Baldes

A method is proposed to reconstruct a cyclic time-inhomogeneous Markov pro- cess from measured data. First, a time-inhomogeneous Markov model is fit to the data, taken here from measurements on a wind turbine. From the time-dependent…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-06-16 Teresa Scholz , Vitor V. Lopes , Pedro Lind , Frank Raischel

We generate the fractional Poisson process by subordinating the standard Poisson process to the inverse stable subordinator. Our analysis is based on application of the Laplace transform with respect to both arguments of the evolving…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-24 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi

That Dirichlet processes are discrete with probability 1 is demonstrated once more. And yes, these two pages spent fifty years in Norwegian.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Nils Lid Hjort

We consider a piecewise deterministic Markov decision process, where the expected exponential utility of total (nonnegative) cost is to be minimized. The cost rate, transition rate and post-jump distributions are under control. The state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Xin Guo , Yi Zhang
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