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We explore two aspects of geometric approximation via a coupling approach to Stein's method. Firstly, we refine precision and increase scope for applications by convoluting the approximating geometric distribution with a simple translation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Fraser Daly , Claude Lefèvre

The Eulerian number A(n,k) counts permutations of n symbols with exactly k descents. Motivated by problems in cryptography, several authors have studied the proportion of permutations whose number of descents lies in a fixed congruence…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Jason Fulman , Adrian Röllin

Consider d uniformly random permutation matrices on n labels. Consider the sum of these matrices along with their transposes. The total can be interpreted as the adjacency matrix of a random regular graph of degree 2d on n vertices. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Ioana Dumitriu , Tobias Johnson , Soumik Pal , Elliot Paquette

Correcting for skewness can result in more accurate tail probability approximations in the central limit theorem for sums of independent random variables. In this paper, we extend the theory to sums of local statistics of independent random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-05 Xiao Fang , Li Luo , Qi-Man Shao

The framework of Stein's method for Poisson process approximation is presented from the point of view of Palm theory, which is used to construct Stein identities and define local dependence. A general result (Theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Louis H. Y. Chen , Aihua Xia

As an application of Stein's method for Poisson approximation, we prove rates of convergence for the tail probabilities of two scan statistics that have been suggested for detecting local signals in sequences of independent random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Xiao Fang , David Siegmund

We combine Malliavin calculus with Stein's method, in order to derive explicit bounds in the Gaussian and Gamma approximations of random variables in a fixed Wiener chaos of a general Gaussian process. We also prove results concerning…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-10 Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati

Let $M$ be a random matrix in the orthogonal group $\O_n$, distributed according to Haar measure, and let $A$ be a fixed $n\times n$ matrix over $\R$ such that $\tr(AA^t)=n$. Then the total variation distance of the random variable…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-18 Elizabeth Meckes

For integer valued random variables, the translated Poisson distributions form a flexible family for approximation in total variation, in much the same way that the normal family is used for approximation in Kolmogorov distance. Using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-26 A. D. Barbour , Malwina J. Luczak , Aihua Xia

In a recent paper by the authors, a new approach--called the "embedding method"--was introduced, which allows to make use of exchangeable pairs for normal and multivariate normal approximation with Stein's method in cases where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-18 Gesine Reinert , Adrian Röllin

We use Stein characterizations to obtain new moment-type estimators for the parameters of three classical spherical distributions (namely the Fisher-Bingham, the von Mises-Fisher, and the Watson distributions) in the i.i.d. case. This leads…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-05 Adrian Fischer , Robert E. Gaunt , Yvik Swan

We provide non-asymptotic $L^1$ bounds to the normal for four well-known models in statistical physics and particle systems in $\mathbb{Z}^d$; the ferromagnetic nearest-neighbor Ising model, the supercritical bond percolation model, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-30 Larry Goldstein , Nathakhun Wiroonsri

This paper is concerned with normal approximation under relaxed moment conditions using Stein's method. We obtain the explicit rates of convergence in the central limit theorem for (i) nonlinear statistics with finite absolute moment of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-16 Nguyen Tien Dung

Generalized gamma distributions arise as limits in many settings involving random graphs, walks, trees, and branching processes. Pek\"oz, R\"ollin, and Ross (2016, arXiv:1309.4183 [math.PR]) exploited characterizing distributional fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-08 Tobias Johnson , Erol Peköz

Providing theoretical guarantees for parameter estimation in exponential random graph models is a largely open problem. While maximum likelihood estimation has theoretical guarantees in principle, verifying the assumptions for these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Adrian Fischer , Gesine Reinert , Wenkai Xu

Small subgraph counts can be used as summary statistics for large random graphs. We use the Stein-Chen method to derive Poisson approximations for the distribution of the number of subgraphs in the stochastic block model which are…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-21 Matthew Coulson , Robert E. Gaunt , Gesine Reinert

We build on the formalism developed in [arXiv:1906.08372v1] to propose new representations of solutions to Stein equations. We provide new uniform and non uniform bounds on these solutions (a.k.a.\ Stein factors). We use these…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-14 Marie Ernst , Yvik Swan

We develop a variant of Stein's method of comparison of generators to bound the Kolmogorov, total variation, and Wasserstein-1 distances between distributions on the real line. Our discrepancy is expressed in terms of the ratio of reverse…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Paul Mansanarez , Guillaume Poly , Yvik Swan

In this paper we establish a multivariate exchangeable pairs approach within the framework of Stein's method to assess distributional distances to potentially singular multivariate normal distributions. By extending the statistics into a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-06 Gesine Reinert , Adrian Röllin

We propose a new general version of Stein's method for univariate distributions. In particular we propose a canonical definition of the Stein operator of a probability distribution {which is based on a linear difference or differential-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-28 Christophe Ley , Gesine Reinert , Yvik Swan
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