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Numerical solutions to fractional differential equations can be extremely computationally intensive due to the effect of non-local derivatives in which all previous time points contribute to the current iteration. In finite difference…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2010-04-30 Brian P. Sprouse , Christopher L. MacDonald , Gabriel A. Silva

When split conformal prediction operates in batch mode with exchangeable data, we determine the exact distribution of the empirical coverage of prediction sets produced for a finite batch of future observables, as well as the exact…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-23 Paulo C. Marques F

Most of the existing methods for estimating the local intrinsic dimension of a data distribution do not scale well to high-dimensional data. Many of them rely on a non-parametric nearest neighbors approach which suffers from the curse of…

This paper develops the first online algorithms for estimating the spectral density function -- a fundamental object of interest in time series analysis -- that satisfies the three core requirements of streaming inference: fixed memory,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-17 Shahriar Hasnat Kazi , Niall Adams , Edward A. K. Cohen

This paper presents $whittlehurst$, a Python package implementing Whittle's likelihood method for estimating the Hurst exponent in fractional Brownian motion (fBm). While the theoretical foundations of Whittle's estimator are…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-04 Bálint Csanády , Lóránt Nagy , András Lukács

Conformal methods create prediction bands that control average coverage assuming solely i.i.d. data. Although the literature has mostly focused on prediction intervals, more general regions can often better represent uncertainty. For…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-06 Rafael Izbicki , Gilson Shimizu , Rafael B. Stern

A novel IV estimation method, that we term Locally Trimmed LS (LTLS), is developed which yields estimators with (mixed) Gaussian limit distributions in situations where the data may be weakly or strongly persistent. In particular, we allow…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-24 Zhishui Hu , Ioannis Kasparis , Qiying Wang

We consider a simple mean reverting diffusion process, with piecewise constant drift and diffusion coefficients, discontinuous at a fixed threshold. We discuss estimation of drift and diffusion parameters from discrete observations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

We propose an efficient algorithm for approximate computation of the profile maximum likelihood (PML), a variant of maximum likelihood maximizing the probability of observing a sufficient statistic rather than the empirical sample. The PML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-21 Dmitri S. Pavlichin , Jiantao Jiao , Tsachy Weissman

Texture segmentation constitutes a standard image processing task, crucial to many applications. The present contribution focuses on the particular subset of scale-free textures and its originality resides in the combination of three key…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-06-27 Nelly Pustelnik , Herwig Wendt , Patrice Abry , Nicolas Dobigeon

We study the approximation of certain stochastic integrals with respect to a d-dimensional diffusion by corresponding stochastic integrals with piece-wise constant integrands. In finance this corresponds to replacing a continuously adjusted…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mika Hujo

We consider time-harmonic Maxwell's equations set in an heterogeneous medium with perfectly conducting boundary conditions. Given a divergence-free right-hand side lying in $L^2$, we provide a frequency-explicit approximability estimate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-03 T. Chaumont-Frelet , P. Vega

Filtering and parameter estimation under partial information for multiscale problems is studied in this paper. After proving mean square convergence of the nonlinear filter to a filter of reduced dimension, we establish that the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

In this article, we deal with the efficient computation of the Wright function in the cases of interest for the expression of solutions of some fractional differential equations. The proposed algorithm is based on the inversion of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Lidia Aceto , Fabio Durastante

This paper proposes a local representation for Empirical Likelihood (EL). EL admits the classical local linear quadratic representation by its likelihood ratio property. A local estimator is derived by using the new representation.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Zhengyuan Gao

We prove maximum and comparison principles for fractional discrete derivatives in the integers. Regularity results when the space is a mesh of length $h$, and approximation theorems to the continuous fractional derivatives are shown. When…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Luciano Abadías , Marta de León-Contreras , José L. Torrea

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

In this paper, we introduce weighted fractional generalized cumulative past entropy of a nonnegative absolutely continuous random variable with bounded support. Various properties of the proposed weighted fractional measure are studied.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Suchandan Kayal , N. Balakrishnan

We present a robust algorithm that computes (maximally localized) Wannier functions (WFs) without the need of providing an initial guess. Instead, a suitable starting point is constructed automatically from so-called local orbitals which…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-07-01 Sebastian Tillack , Andris Gulans , Claudia Draxl

Power spectral densities are often interpreted through ensemble averages and long-time asymptotics. In many experiments, however, only a single finite record is available, so spectral estimators remain broadly distributed and the usual…