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In this paper, we study backward doubly stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions and Poisson process (BDSDEP in short) with non-Lipschitz coefficients on random time interval. The probabilistic interpretation for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-17 Qingfeng Zhu , Yufeng Shi

The evaluation of the error to be attributed to cut efficiencies is a common question in the practice of experimental particle physics. Specifically, the need to evaluate the efficiency of the cuts for background removal, when they are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-02-02 Gioacchino Ranucci

Intensity estimation is a common problem in statistical analysis of spatial point pattern data. This paper proposes a nonparametric Bayesian method for estimating the spatial point process intensity based on mixture of finite mixture (MFM)…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-09 Junxian Geng , Wei Shi , Guanyu Hu

In high energy physics, a widely used method to treat systematic uncertainties in confidence interval calculations is based on combining a frequentist construction of confidence belts with a Bayesian treatment of systematic uncertainties.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Fredrik Tegenfeldt , Jan Conrad

The Poisson-binomial distribution is useful in many applied problems in engineering, actuarial science, and data mining. The Poisson-binomial distribution models the distribution of the sum of independent but not identically distributed…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-07 Man Zhang , Yili Hong , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan

We investigate the relation of the semigroup probability density of an infinite activity L\'{e}vy process to the corresponding L\'{e}vy density. For subordinators, we provide three methods to compute the former from the latter. The first…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-06 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , Friedrich Hubalek

We introduce a random partition model for Bayesian nonparametric regression. The model is based on infinitely-many disjoint regions of the range of a latent covariate-dependent Gaussian process. Given a realization of the process, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-04 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

We prove tail and moment inequalities for multiple stochastic integrals on the Poisson space and for Poisson $U$-statistics. We use them to demonstrate the Law of the Iterated Logarithm for these processes when the intensity of the Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-09 Radosław Adamczak , Dominik Kutek

We propose a new class of discrete generalized linear models based on the class of Poisson-Tweedie factorial dispersion models with variance of the form $\mu + \phi\mu^p$, where $\mu$ is the mean, $\phi$ and $p$ are the dispersion and…

In this paper, we consider statistical inference for Poisson-Laguerre tessellations in $\mathbb{R}^d$. The object of interest is a distribution function $F$ which uniquely determines the intensity measure of the underlying Poisson process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-04 Thomas van der Jagt , Geurt Jongbloed , Martina Vittorietti

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

We propose a general modeling framework for marked Poisson processes observed over time or space. The modeling approach exploits the connection of the nonhomogeneous Poisson process intensity with a density function. Nonparametric Dirichlet…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-02 Matthew A. Taddy , Athanasios Kottas

We discuss a Bayesian methodology for the solution of the inverse problem underlying the determination of parton distribution functions (PDFs). In our approach, Gaussian Processes (GPs) are used to model the PDF prior, while Bayes theorem…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-07-03 Alessandro Candido , Luigi Del Debbio , Tommaso Giani , Giacomo Petrillo

Identification of local structure in intensive data -- such as time series, images, and higher dimensional processes -- is an important problem in astronomy. Since the data are typically generated by an inhomogeneous Poisson process, an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Jeffrey D. Scargle

We investigate, by numerical simulation, the path probability of non dissipative mechanical systems undergoing stochastic motion. The aim is to search for the relationship between this probability and the usual mechanical action. The model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-17 T. L. Lin , R. Wang , W. P. Bi , A. El Kaabouchi , C. Pujos , F. Calvayrac , Q. A. Wang

Posterior distributions on parameters computed from experimental data using Bayesian techniques are only as accurate as the models used to construct them. In many applications these models are incomplete, which both reduces the prospects of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-06-23 Christopher J. Moore , Jonathan R. Gair

Define the scaled empirical point process on an independent and identically distributed sequence $\{Y_i: i\le n\}$ as the random point measure with masses at $a_n^{-1} Y_i$. For suitable $a_n$ we obtain the weak limit of these point…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 André Dabrowski , Gail Ivanoof , Rafal Kulik

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

Bayesian Poisson probability distributions for the average n can be analytically converted into equivalent chi-squared distributions. These can then be combined with other Gaussian or Bayesian Poisson distributions to make a total…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Dennis Silverman

This paper tackles the challenge presented by small-data to the task of Bayesian inference. A novel methodology, based on manifold learning and manifold sampling, is proposed for solving this computational statistics problem under the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Christian Soize , Roger Ghanem