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Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification. This study explores the application of conformal prediction in scenarios where covariates are missing, which introduces significant challenges for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Jingsen Kong , YIming Liu , Guangren Yang

We study estimation of the covariance matrix under relative condition number loss $\kappa(\Sigma^{-1/2} \hat{\Sigma} \Sigma^{-1/2})$, where $\kappa(\Delta)$ is the condition number of matrix $\Delta$, and $\hat{\Sigma}$ and $\Sigma$ are the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-18 David L. Donoho , Behrooz Ghorbani

Correlation matrices are a major type of multivariate data. To examine properties of a given correlation matrix, a common practice is to compare the same quantity between the original correlation matrix and reference correlation matrices,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-07-25 Naoki Masuda , Sadamori Kojaku , Yukie Sano

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

Covariance matrix estimation is a persistent challenge for cosmology. We focus on a class of model covariance matrices that can be generated with high accuracy and precision, using a tiny fraction of the computational resources that would…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-29 Ross O'Connell , Daniel J. Eisenstein

We consider covariance parameter estimation for a Gaussian process under inequality constraints (boundedness, monotonicity or convexity) in fixed-domain asymptotics. We address the estimation of the variance parameter and the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-04 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Andrés F. López-Lopera

In many cases, the values of some model parameters are determined by maximising the likelihood of a set of data points given the parameter values. The presence of outliers in the data and correlations between data points complicate this…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2017-08-28 M. de Jong

This work addresses the issue of large covariance matrix estimation in high-dimensional statistical analysis. Recently, improved iterative algorithms with positive-definite guarantee have been developed. However, these algorithms cannot be…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-29 Fei Wen , Yuan Yang , Peilin Liu , Robert C. Qiu

Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) is a prominent risk measure that is being used extensively in various domains. We develop a new formula for the gradient of the CVaR in the form of a conditional expectation. Based on this formula, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-25 Aviv Tamar , Yonatan Glassner , Shie Mannor

A classical approach to accurately estimating the covariance matrix \Sigma of a p-variate normal distribution is to draw a sample of size n > p and form a sample covariance matrix. However, many modern applications operate with much smaller…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Elizaveta Levina , Roman Vershynin

The estimation of a covariance matrix from an insufficient amount of data is one of the most common problems in fields as diverse as multivariate statistics, wireless communications, signal processing, biology, learning theory and finance.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-24 Gabriel H. Tucci , Ke Wang

Covariance matrix estimation is an important problem in multivariate data analysis, both from theoretical as well as applied points of view. Many simple and popular covariance matrix estimators are known to be severely affected by model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Soumya Chakraborty , Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh

A constrained L1 minimization method is proposed for estimating a sparse inverse covariance matrix based on a sample of $n$ iid $p$-variate random variables. The resulting estimator is shown to enjoy a number of desirable properties. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-14 Tony Cai , Weidong Liu , Xi Luo

This paper deals with multivariate Gaussian models for which the covariance matrix is a Kronecker product of two matrices. We consider maximum likelihood estimation of the model parameters, in particular of the covariance matrix. There is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-09 Beata Roś , Fetsje Bijma , Jan C. de Munck , Mathisca C. M. de Gunst

In recursive linear models, the multivariate normal joint distribution of all variables exhibits a dependence structure induced by a recursive (or acyclic) system of linear structural equations. These linear models have a long tradition and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Mathias Drton , Michael Eichler , Thomas S. Richardson

This article proposes a generalized notion of extreme multivariate dependence between two random vectors which relies on the extremality of the cross-covariance matrix between these two vectors. Using a partial ordering on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-10 Damien Bosc , Alfred Galichon

As a classical problem, covariance estimation has drawn much attention from the statistical community for decades. Much work has been done under the frequentist and the Bayesian frameworks. Aiming to quantify the uncertainty of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-17 W. Jenny Shi , Jan Hannig , Randy C. S. Lai , Thomas C. M. Lee

We propose a nonconvex estimator for joint multivariate regression and precision matrix estimation in the high dimensional regime, under sparsity constraints. A gradient descent algorithm with hard thresholding is developed to solve the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-03 Jinghui Chen , Quanquan Gu

Simple exponential smoothing is widely used in forecasting economic time series. This is because it is quick to compute and it generally delivers accurate forecasts. On the other hand, its multivariate version has received little attention…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-17 Federico Poloni , Giacomo Sbrana

Statistical inference of the dependence between objects often relies on covariance matrices. Unless the number of features (e.g. data points) is much larger than the number of objects, covariance matrix cleaning is necessary to reduce…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-09 Christian Bongiorno , Damien Challet
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